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Think SPY at 276 goes up solidly by next monday from here
This time in the markets is unprecedented. More fear than 2008. Highly doubt things are this bad.
Think combination of Fed cuts in US and around the world and Trump will bring out bazooka with fiscal stimulus seems like this fear has to be overdone. Never seen anything close to this.
Markets are forward-looking. Is it "bad" right now? Not really but there are signs of a drop-off underway. How will the economy look in 2-3 months? How will earnings season look? Whether the virus is a real threat to society or not is mostly irrelevant. The fear being generated by media and .gov are making for a self-fulfilling prophecy.
"Let it not be said that we did nothing."-Ron Paul
"We have set them on the hobby-horse of an idea about the absorption of individuality by the symbolic unit of COLLECTIVISM. They have never yet and they never will have the sense to reflect that this hobby-horse is a manifest violation of the most important law of nature, which has established from the very creation of the world one unit unlike another and precisely for the purpose of instituting individuality."- A Quote From Some Old Book
VIX is super complacent right now. Held at 52-54 for hours. Probably need to spike into 60s for the bottom today. so probably another few percent down.
"Foreign aid is taking money from the poor people of a rich country, and giving it to the rich people of a poor country." - Ron Paul
"Beware the Military-Industrial-Financial-Pharma-Corporate-Internet-Media-Government Complex." - B4L update of General Dwight D. Eisenhower
"Debt is the drug, Wall St. Banksters are the dealers, and politicians are the addicts." - B4L
"Totally free immigration? I've never taken that position. I believe in national sovereignty." - Ron Paul
Proponent of real science.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own, and do not represent this forum or any other entities or persons.
We are currently at the full 20 percent correction from the high a few weeks ago .
Do something Danke
Apparently all kinds of margin calls happening. People need to raise cash, so they sell bonds and gold. 10 year Treasury yield inches up...
"Foreign aid is taking money from the poor people of a rich country, and giving it to the rich people of a poor country." - Ron Paul
"Beware the Military-Industrial-Financial-Pharma-Corporate-Internet-Media-Government Complex." - B4L update of General Dwight D. Eisenhower
"Debt is the drug, Wall St. Banksters are the dealers, and politicians are the addicts." - B4L
"Totally free immigration? I've never taken that position. I believe in national sovereignty." - Ron Paul
Proponent of real science.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own, and do not represent this forum or any other entities or persons.
Per registered decision, member has been banned for violating community standards as interpreted by TheTexan (respect his authoritah) as authorized by Brian4Liberty Ruling
May God have mercy on his atheist, police-hating, non-voting, anarchist soul.
Last edited by Voluntarist; 04-16-2020 at 12:07 PM.
You have the right to remain silent. Anything you post to the internet can and will be used to humiliate you.
Gold getting hammered again. What's going on? @devil21 needs to check in!
Last week it also sold off then rallied strongly.
Per registered decision, member has been banned for violating community standards as interpreted by TheTexan (respect his authoritah) as authorized by Brian4Liberty Ruling
May God have mercy on his atheist, police-hating, non-voting, anarchist soul.
Last edited by Voluntarist; 04-16-2020 at 12:07 PM.
You have the right to remain silent. Anything you post to the internet can and will be used to humiliate you.
- Kim KardashianIt's all about taking action and not being lazy. So you do the work, whether it's fitness or whatever. It's about getting up, motivating yourself and just doing it.
Donald Trump / Crenshaw 2024!!!!
My pronouns are he/him/his
Not going to lie this was the worst few weeks financially of my life. Lost a staggering amount on casinos, cruise ships and shorting the VIX. I nailed shorting treasuries and caught the market bounces but not even close to the losses on the other three. That said, trying to be as objective as I can be. I think the market has a historic rally. The breadth indexes I look at are either the lowest in history or second lowest.
$NYMO has had four of its lowest 15 readings in history in a two week stretch. Nothing close has happened. $NYAD is the lowest in history. I look at the bullish percent index and financials are at the same low level as when Lehman Brothers fell. The Fed has upped their repos substantially. They are likely to go big on the next cut. I think Trump will sell positive BS on TV tonight and promise the world. The VIX has held very high levels for an extended period of time. The pattern of big down day, big up day, big down day tends to be pretty bullish. This is the fastest 20 percent correction in history and you still have a zillion people who think it will go down another 10%.
There are just so many indicators right now that scream bullish. The dumb money index that Sentimentrader puts out is the most bearish ever and smart money is very bullish. Tons of gap downs clustered tends to indicate excessive fear. The last 7 Fridays have been down which tends to mark bottoms because people are scared of event risk to hold over the weekend. Two days ago was one of the worst days in market history. Those usually mark bottoms or a slight residual bottom before sharp rally.
Gut feel is the World Health Organization calling this a pandemic marks this as a low.
"Let it not be said that we did nothing."-Ron Paul
"We have set them on the hobby-horse of an idea about the absorption of individuality by the symbolic unit of COLLECTIVISM. They have never yet and they never will have the sense to reflect that this hobby-horse is a manifest violation of the most important law of nature, which has established from the very creation of the world one unit unlike another and precisely for the purpose of instituting individuality."- A Quote From Some Old Book
Last edited by devil21; 03-12-2020 at 08:30 AM.
"Let it not be said that we did nothing."-Ron Paul
"We have set them on the hobby-horse of an idea about the absorption of individuality by the symbolic unit of COLLECTIVISM. They have never yet and they never will have the sense to reflect that this hobby-horse is a manifest violation of the most important law of nature, which has established from the very creation of the world one unit unlike another and precisely for the purpose of instituting individuality."- A Quote From Some Old Book
Expanding a bit: Friday the 13th was when the Knights Templar were excommunicated, ordered rounded up by the Pope and all their wealth confiscated. A short time later the 23rd and last (official) Grand Master Jacques deMolay was burned at the stake. That's the origin of where the bad luck of number 13 and Friday the 13th comes from. 23 Entire modern banking system is based on the Templar's original trust and credit system. Who did the Templars worship as God? BAPHOMET
Oh and "Ides of March" is Sunday 15th, when Caesar was stabbed in the back by his own Senate. hmm....
from wiki:
The Ides of March was a day in the Roman calendar that corresponds to 15 March. It was marked by several religious observances and was notable for the Romans as a deadline for settling debts.
Last edited by devil21; 03-12-2020 at 09:24 AM.
"Let it not be said that we did nothing."-Ron Paul
"We have set them on the hobby-horse of an idea about the absorption of individuality by the symbolic unit of COLLECTIVISM. They have never yet and they never will have the sense to reflect that this hobby-horse is a manifest violation of the most important law of nature, which has established from the very creation of the world one unit unlike another and precisely for the purpose of instituting individuality."- A Quote From Some Old Book
"Let it not be said that we did nothing."-Ron Paul
"We have set them on the hobby-horse of an idea about the absorption of individuality by the symbolic unit of COLLECTIVISM. They have never yet and they never will have the sense to reflect that this hobby-horse is a manifest violation of the most important law of nature, which has established from the very creation of the world one unit unlike another and precisely for the purpose of instituting individuality."- A Quote From Some Old Book
Longest bull market in history officially ends - Ep 545
Sold out of ASE's.
"He's talkin' to his gut like it's a person!!" -me
"dumpster diving isn't professional." - angelatc
"You don't need a medical degree to spot obvious bullshit, that's actually a separate skill." -Scott Adams
"When you are divided, and angry, and controlled, you target those 'different' from you, not those responsible [controllers]" -Q
"Each of us must choose which course of action we should take: education, conventional political action, or even peaceful civil disobedience to bring about necessary changes. But let it not be said that we did nothing." - Ron Paul
"Paul said "the wave of the future" is a coalition of anti-authoritarian progressive Democrats and libertarian Republicans in Congress opposed to domestic surveillance, opposed to starting new wars and in favor of ending the so-called War on Drugs."
Go look at all of the Dow 4pm closing numbers.
https://www.cnbc.com/
Do I really need to write it?
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Rumors floating around the net that commercial lending is about to freeze up entirely, as major corps are raiding their credit lines for cash, presumably to maintain enough capital to service existing debts. Taking more debt to service other debt is always a wise business move and surely will end well.
Last edited by devil21; 03-12-2020 at 02:18 PM.
"Let it not be said that we did nothing."-Ron Paul
"We have set them on the hobby-horse of an idea about the absorption of individuality by the symbolic unit of COLLECTIVISM. They have never yet and they never will have the sense to reflect that this hobby-horse is a manifest violation of the most important law of nature, which has established from the very creation of the world one unit unlike another and precisely for the purpose of instituting individuality."- A Quote From Some Old Book
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