A massive substack file of crime data, exhaustively sorted and analyzed, has come to that conclusion.
I've just started to work my way through it, feel free to do the same, post errors if you see them.
I usually get some squawking every time I post something like this, but I have no choice.
The Marxists and their propaganda machine have turned this entire concept upside down to justify a genocide against me.
I have no way to refute their propaganda other than by posting the facts.
And when it comes to murder, violence and mayhem, whites are not the threat.
Black males, that are roughly six percent of the overall population are responsible for over 50 percent of all US homicides.
You are many times more likely as a white to have a violent crime committed against you by a black, than the other way around.
The vast majority of "mass shootings", (that is defined as four or more people shot, not including the shooter, regardless of whether death or only injury was the outcome) are committed by blacks.
When adjusted to equalize for "frequency of police encounters", meaning that, when you compare the outcome of 1000 contacts with police by whites and 1000 contacts with police by blacks, for any reason, whites are 2.7 times more likely to suffer abuse or brutality or getting shot at the hands of cops than blacks.
4.5%, the Demographics of American Murder and USA Violent Crime Stats
https://datahazard.substack.com/p/american-murder
US Data on Murderers by Race, Sex and Age in the 2020s. From FBI UCR 2021 (NIBRS), CDC WONDER 2022 NVSS (National Vital Statistics System). Updated Mar 15, 2023
datahazard
Mar 8 2023
It’s impossible to understand the current moment in history without understanding the ongoing spike in violence across America.
And — due to local city politics & broken incentives in documenting crime — the only legitimate national measure of violence is found in Murder data. It’s just not that easy to hide a body.
You’ve surely heard a lot about crime since May 25, 2020. But it can all be summarized with just one number.
This is a comprehensive review on the demographics of murderers and their victims; published here with the goal of educating the public on an underreported topic, and with the hope of improving criminal justice policy in some small way.
4.5%
The number that summarizes the past 2.5 years of post-BLM life in America. But why?
4.5% of Black Males will commit murder in their lifetime as of 2021, if we choose to do nothing about the ongoing epidemic of violence.
6.5% of Black Males (15-74) commit murder over the past 60 years, assuming a 1:1 Murderer:Victim ratio, based on 1,084,990 actual murder victims (1968-2021).
Note: section added March 13
4.4%—7.2% of yearly Black Male deaths are homicides every year, with no exceptions, since at least 1968. Over 90% of these are Black Male-on-Black Male.
4.35% of Black Males (15-74) were murdered over the past 60 years, based on the 410,000 actual Black Male (15-74) murder victims from 1968-2021.
These are the low-end of what the rates could be in reality, given the large number of “unknowns” in the FBI data and the large number of “indeterminate” violent deaths coded by the CDC.
Whatabout repeat offenders, you ask? The most extreme assumptions can bring the 4.5% down to as low as 3.3%. I ask: does that change our conclusions? Do we continue decarceration on the off-chance that only 3.3% will commit murder?
4.5% of Black Males will commit murder in their lifetime as of 2021
The table below includes the 2021 murder rates of demographic groups split across age, sex, and race as derived from the FBI NIBRS estimation dataset.
Note: a Victim can have multiple Murderers and a Murderer can have multiple Victims. These both are a minority of murder offenses, and are in the same order of magnitude. Because of this, the actual ratio of Victims:Murderers is near 1:1.
(much much more at link...working my way through it)
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