The Collins has been slacking lately when it comes to the creation of "OFFICIAL THREAD"s, so I thought I would go ahead and create one for reporting and discussing the results of the upcoming 2022 U.S. midterm elections (Tuesday 08 November).
Also, if anyone wants to make any predictions about the outcomes, post them below.
I'll try to collect and track them here, and we'll see who's the best prognosticator.
(I probably should've thought to set this up a week or so ago, instead of a day or so before, but oh well ...)
Here are the categories:
(1) Predict the final overall ratio of Democrats to Republicans for the US Senate (100 total seats).
US Senate ratio (D vs. R) CAUCUS Democrat (D) Republican (R) TOTAL INITIAL 48 + 2 (I) 50 100 CONTESTED 14 + 0 (I) 21 35 RESULT 48 + 2 (I)
(+ 0)49
(- 1)99 PENDING 1 1
GA Warnock (D) vs. Walker (R) runoff: 06 December 2022 { incumbent | challenger }Username Prediction Winner Dary + 1 CLOSEST helenpaul + 2 luctor-et-emergo + 3 spudea 53
(2) Predict the final overall ratio of Democrats to Republicans for the US House (435 total seats).
US House ratio (D vs. R) CAUCUS Democrat (D) Republican (R) TOTAL INITIAL 220 212 432 + 3 vacanciesCONTESTED ALL ALL 435 RESULT 209
(- 11)219
(+ 7)428 PENDING 7 7
AK-AL Peltola (D) vs. Palin (R) vs. Begich (R) CA-6 Bera (D) vs. Hamilton (R) CA-13 Gray (D) vs. Duarte (R) CA-21 Costa (D) vs. Maher (R) CA-22 Salas (D) vs. Valadao (R) CA-34 Gomez (D) vs. Kim (D) [non-partisan] CO-3 Frisch (D) vs. Boebert (R) { incumbent | challenger }Username Prediction Winner Dary + 0 CLOSEST helenpaul + 39 luctor-et-emergo + 27 spudea 240
(3) Predict the final overall ratio of Democrats to Republicans for state governors (50 total seats).
State Governors ratio (D vs. R) CAUCUS Democrat (D) Republican (R) TOTAL INITIAL 22 28 50 CONTESTED 16 20 36 RESULT 24
(+ 2)25
(- 3)49 PENDING 1 1
AK Gara (D) vs. Dunleavy (R) vs. Walker (I) { incumbent | challenger }Username Prediction Winner helenpaul + 2 spudea + 1 CLOSEST
(4) Predict the outcomes of individual races
For bonus points, predict the percent margin of victory.
Individual Races RACE Username Prediction Running Tally AZ governor:
Kari Lake (R)
Katie Hobbs (D) - WINNERA Son of Liberty Lake (R) 0 for 1 AZ senate:
Blake Masters (R)
Mark Kelly (D) - WINNERA Son of Liberty Masters (R) 0 for 2 FL governor:
Ron DeSantis (R) - WINNER
Charlie Crist (D)A Son of Liberty
69360DeSantis (R)
DeSantis (R)1 for 3
1 for 1GA governor:
Brian Kemp (R) - WINNER
Stacey Abrams (D)A Son of Liberty Kemp (R) 2 for 4 NH senate:
Don Bolduc (R)
Maggie Hassan (D) - WINNERA Son of LIberty Bolduc (R) 2 for 5 NV senate:
Adam Laxalt (R)
Catherine Cortez Masto (D) - WINNERA Son of Liberty Masto (D) 3 for 6 NY governor:
Lee Zeldin (R)
Kathy Hochul (D) - WINNERA Son of Liberty Hochul (D) 4 for 7 PA governor:
Doug Mastriano (R)
Josh Shapiro (D) - WINNERfamilydog Shapiro (D) 1 for 1 PA senate:
Mehmet Oz (R)
John Fetterman (D) - WINNERA Son of Liberty
familydogFetterman (D)
Oz (R)5 for 8
1 for 2 Final Tally69360
A Son of Liberty
familydog1 for 1 (100%)
5 for 8 (62.5%)
1 for 2 (50%)
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