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Thread: Fed Meetings Show .5% Hikes For Next Two Meetings

  1. #61
    Quote Originally Posted by Madison320 View Post
    That's higher than I thought they could get. Something is going to break. And if by some miracle nothing breaks and all the banks stay solvent, in the end the fed will have to pivot to keep the US from defaulting on its debt. If rates go to 5% that means the interest payments on the debt will go to over 1.5 trillion. That would be close to half our total tax revenue.
    Or maybe the plan is to default.
    Our credit would be ruined but we can take all the money we pay on the debt and use it for the budget instead of borrowing.
    They can always directly print the money too.
    Never attempt to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and annoys the pig.

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    Linus, from the Peanuts comic

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  3. #62
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Or maybe the plan is to default.
    Our credit would be ruined but we can take all the money we pay on the debt and use it for the budget instead of borrowing.
    They can always directly print the money too.

    Default would be a good thing. It would make it harder for us to borrow in the future.

    October they reduced the balance sheet by 80 billion which is the most since they started. The overall reduction is still tiny. My guess is that at some point they resume printing but keeps rates high in the hopes that it will buy them some time. Remember there's 2 things the fed can do, raise rates and print. The rate hikes get all the attention but I think the printing is more powerful and damaging.

    They've raised rates many times in the past but they've never been able to reduce the balance sheet.

  4. #63
    Quote Originally Posted by Madison320 View Post
    That's higher than I thought they could get. Something is going to break. And if by some miracle nothing breaks and all the banks stay solvent, in the end the fed will have to pivot to keep the US from defaulting on its debt. If rates go to 5% that means the interest payments on the debt will go to over 1.5 trillion. That would be close to half our total tax revenue.
    That appears to be where things are headed , inflation doesnt change much , they keep raising rates but in smaller increments , they cant reduce the balance sheet much , interest eats half the tax revenue , dems try to increase taxes , no growth in GDP , worst stagflation ever , stocks go up until they collapse etc
    Last edited by oyarde; 11-06-2022 at 11:47 AM.
    Do something Danke

  5. #64
    Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic Says Inflation Not Responding Thus Far

    https://www.thefinancialtrends.com/2...ding-thus-far/
    Never attempt to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and annoys the pig.

    Robert Heinlein

    Give a man an inch and right away he thinks he's a ruler

    Groucho Marx

    I love mankindÖitís people I canít stand.

    Linus, from the Peanuts comic

    You cannot have liberty without morality and morality without faith

    Alexis de Torqueville

    Those who fail to learn from the past are condemned to repeat it.
    Those who learn from the past are condemned to watch everybody else repeat it

    A Zero Hedge comment



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  7. #65
    Jeremy Hunt Says UK Officially In Recession

    https://www.thefinancialtrends.com/2...-in-recession/
    Never attempt to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and annoys the pig.

    Robert Heinlein

    Give a man an inch and right away he thinks he's a ruler

    Groucho Marx

    I love mankindÖitís people I canít stand.

    Linus, from the Peanuts comic

    You cannot have liberty without morality and morality without faith

    Alexis de Torqueville

    Those who fail to learn from the past are condemned to repeat it.
    Those who learn from the past are condemned to watch everybody else repeat it

    A Zero Hedge comment

  8. #66
    Fed Officials Indicate Monetary Policy Must Tighten Further To Become Restrictive

    https://www.thefinancialtrends.com/2...e-restrictive/
    Never attempt to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and annoys the pig.

    Robert Heinlein

    Give a man an inch and right away he thinks he's a ruler

    Groucho Marx

    I love mankindÖitís people I canít stand.

    Linus, from the Peanuts comic

    You cannot have liberty without morality and morality without faith

    Alexis de Torqueville

    Those who fail to learn from the past are condemned to repeat it.
    Those who learn from the past are condemned to watch everybody else repeat it

    A Zero Hedge comment

  9. #67
    Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes Show Rate Hike Pace Likely Slowing

    https://www.thefinancialtrends.com/2...ikely-slowing/
    Never attempt to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and annoys the pig.

    Robert Heinlein

    Give a man an inch and right away he thinks he's a ruler

    Groucho Marx

    I love mankindÖitís people I canít stand.

    Linus, from the Peanuts comic

    You cannot have liberty without morality and morality without faith

    Alexis de Torqueville

    Those who fail to learn from the past are condemned to repeat it.
    Those who learn from the past are condemned to watch everybody else repeat it

    A Zero Hedge comment

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