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Thread: CPI jumps 5% in May of 2021, fastest since 2008

  1. #481
    Ya I think the June hike has already been decided on past numbers and failures so really its waiting to see about after that
    Do something Danke



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  3. #482
    Fed carrying 330 billion in yet unrealized losses at the end of first quarter in mortgage backed securities . Last year ended with a larger 458 billion unrealized loss. Basically what this means going forward in the future is the treasury should not be expecting profits from the fed to deposit ( roughly 107 billion last year and 32 billion this yr ) .
    Do something Danke

  4. #483
    Inflation still chooglin ' reported as 6.3 percent by your govt as wage increases come in 6 percent less.
    Do something Danke

  5. #484
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    Inflation still chooglin ' reported as 6.3 percent by your govt as wage increases come in 6 percent less.
    That measure is the least accurate. It also happens to be the Fed's preferred measure. Why is that?

  6. #485
    Biden calls 9mm weapons high caliber and suggests ban. I see some mo inflation coming there .
    Last edited by oyarde; 05-30-2022 at 04:11 PM.
    Do something Danke

  7. #486
    trudeau annonces national freeze on canadian handguns
    Do something Danke

  8. #487
    Home prices up 20 percent feb to feb , 20.6 percent mar to march . So less than energy and food but still chooglin'
    Do something Danke

  9. #488
    median house hits 375k
    Do something Danke



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  11. #489
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    Home prices up 20 percent feb to feb , 20.6 percent mar to march . So less than energy and food but still chooglin'
    Price cuts are starting to happen in many areas. Some small cuts, some large cuts but they are starting. High rates and high prices have priced out a lot of otherwise potential buyers.
    "Let it not be said that we did nothing."-Ron Paul

    "We have set them on the hobby-horse of an idea about the absorption of individuality by the symbolic unit of COLLECTIVISM. They have never yet and they never will have the sense to reflect that this hobby-horse is a manifest violation of the most important law of nature, which has established from the very creation of the world one unit unlike another and precisely for the purpose of instituting individuality."- A Quote From Some Old Book

  12. #490
    Pretty much big picture it is quite possible we are at the beginning of the end now. With the spending and debt gone on in the past 13 1/2 yrs and the amount of debt to our dismal GDP projected in the next decade along with a pelosi - schumer type budget its hard to imagine the unbacked paper dollar and the fed govt to remain as is in status quo within the next 10 to 12 yrs . Although they have kept it propped up the past 13 which is quite amazing in itself .
    Do something Danke

  13. #491
    The Larry Kudlow commentary today titled "Biden knows the economy is moving towards recession " and the CBO report ( estimated annual shortfall of 1.6 trillion from 2023 to 2032 ) pretty well sum up the direction we are headed . By 2032 fed debt would be roughly 110 to 125 percent of GDP . All very realistic .
    Do something Danke

  14. #492
    Deutsche bank raided and potential evidence taken . Prospectus fraud , selling green investments that are not green . Chumps all around I say .
    Do something Danke

  15. #493
    Feel free to check out the Washington Examiner article from yesterday titled " New Budget numbers show US careening toward calamity " .
    Do something Danke

  16. #494
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    Feel free to check out the Washington Examiner article from yesterday titled " New Budget numbers show US careening toward calamity " .

    Calamity? Probably not. A lower standard of living and stagnation? Much more likely.


  17. #495
    So the same americans who were recently given more unemployment monies than they made at work are supposed to suddenly toughen up , work harder for less and be happy with stagflation and lower standard of living ? I'm not really picturing it unless its after a total collapse.......
    Do something Danke

  18. #496
    Gasoline prices through the roof here today pushing 4.90, expecting 5 on next stations fill ups as wholesale gasoline nears 4.20 .West Texas crude about 117 , Brent Crude about 118 . One yr oil forecast moves to 134. Pretty well out of control now as this inflation seeps into the grocery driving high prices higher.
    Last edited by oyarde; 06-03-2022 at 10:16 AM.
    Do something Danke



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  20. #497
    Jer. 11:18-20. "The Kingdom of God has come upon you." -- Matthew 12:28

  21. #498
    Chevron CEO says no more US refineries . Chooglin
    Do something Danke

  22. #499
    Oil 119.72 , one yr oil forecast moves to 136 . Pretty much all over now , local gas at 4.90 . Only thing that will stop 5 gas and 6 doll diesel now is an economy crash. Grocery inflation will rise between now and Christmas and the savings rate is dismal. More FRN's fueling the inflation.Looking like the calamity might arrive before one more decade.
    Do something Danke

  23. #500
    Sloth Bear in India kills couple walking home from temple at 6:30 am a mile from home and eats them . Hard times. Baloo is a man eater.
    Last edited by oyarde; 06-06-2022 at 08:38 PM.
    Do something Danke

  24. #501
    target moves down its estimates that were already lowered and will begin canceling orders and discounting items.
    Do something Danke

  25. #502
    tesla will stop hiring and reduce work force ten percent. auto gross margins expected to have reached peak in first quarter this yr.
    Do something Danke

  26. #503
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    The Larry Kudlow commentary today titled "Biden knows the economy is moving towards recession " and the CBO report ( estimated annual shortfall of 1.6 trillion from 2023 to 2032 ) pretty well sum up the direction we are headed . By 2032 fed debt would be roughly 110 to 125 percent of GDP . All very realistic .
    Kudlow is a hypocrite. He was always cheering Trump's massive spending increases and all his other socialist policies.

  27. #504
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    tesla will stop hiring and reduce work force ten percent. auto gross margins expected to have reached peak in first quarter this yr.
    I'm guessing in a few more months we're going to be in recession and the "official" CPI is going to be down to somewhere around 4%. Then the Fed is going to declare success on inflation and resume QE and drop rates back to 0%. Then in another 6 months the CPI will hit all time highs, maybe 15%. Then it's back to another tightening cycle. This is a total guess but I'm thinking we could go thru several more cycles, each time the CPI raises and drops, but at a higher percentage each time. Until we get hyperinflation and the dollar collapses.

    This is assuming they don't change the methodology for the CPI, I think there's a lot of pressure for them to do that. Either way the true CPI will be cycling up and down with new highs each time.

    I think there's a 50-50 chance that's what is going to happen. The other possibility is that we get a crisis like a world war or pandemic or whatever and the Fed uses that as an excuse to drop rates to 0% and re-launch QE.



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  29. #505
    Quote Originally Posted by ClaytonB View Post
    A lot of corporations and establishments are taking advantage of the inflation narrative to get away with price gouging. A last ditch profit grab before the wheels come flying off.
    Last edited by devil21; 06-07-2022 at 04:34 PM.
    "Let it not be said that we did nothing."-Ron Paul

    "We have set them on the hobby-horse of an idea about the absorption of individuality by the symbolic unit of COLLECTIVISM. They have never yet and they never will have the sense to reflect that this hobby-horse is a manifest violation of the most important law of nature, which has established from the very creation of the world one unit unlike another and precisely for the purpose of instituting individuality."- A Quote From Some Old Book

  30. #506
    New local gas price record today at 5.26 , old Obummer record was 4.12. Diesel to 5.90 .Chooglin .
    Do something Danke

  31. #507
    I'd say we are already in the stagflation cycle about now .
    Do something Danke

  32. #508
    Goldman Sachs says oil will hit 140 a barrel and feel like 160 a barrel by what consumers are forced to pay with no relief . ( no new refineries )
    Do something Danke

  33. #509
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    I'd say we are already in the stagflation cycle about now .
    There is no stagflation now. The unemployment rate is 3.6%. All 50 states have growing economies. Maybe that will change but not likely until at least 2023. Banks still have a wide spread between short term deposits and longer term loans so despite all the negativity in the press and how people feel, things still look great for a little while longer.

    M2 growth has already normalized. If the Fed engineers a recession, inflation is probably done as a problem.for a long time. If they ease up, you probably don't get a recession and you have mid single digit inflation if loan growth stays strong.

  34. #510
    Quote Originally Posted by Krugminator2 View Post
    There is no stagflation now. The unemployment rate is 3.6%. All 50 states have growing economies. Maybe that will change but not likely until at least 2023. Banks still have a wide spread between short term deposits and longer term loans so despite all the negativity in the press and how people feel, things still look great for a little while longer.

    M2 growth has already normalized. If the Fed engineers a recession, inflation is probably done as a problem.for a long time. If they ease up, you probably don't get a recession and you have mid single digit inflation if loan growth stays strong.
    i think any reasonable growth is now at risk due to energy prices.
    Do something Danke

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