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From 2014:
[original tweet: https://twitter.com/RonaldKlain/stat...85766001410048]
From yesterday:
Last edited by Occam's Banana; 11-12-2020 at 09:27 AM.
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.DON'T TAX ME BRO!!!
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"It does not take a majority to prevail, but rather an irate, tireless minority, keen on setting brush fires of freedom in the minds of men." -- Samuel Adams (1722-1803)
"Foreign aid is taking money from the poor people of a rich country, and giving it to the rich people of a poor country." - Ron Paul
"Beware the Military-Industrial-Financial-Pharma-Corporate-Internet-Media-Government Complex." - B4L update of General Dwight D. Eisenhower
"Debt is the drug, Wall St. Banksters are the dealers, and politicians are the addicts." - B4L
"Totally free immigration? I've never taken that position. I believe in national sovereignty." - Ron Paul
Proponent of real science.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely my own, and do not represent this forum or any other entities or persons.
a comprehensive website about critical theory and how it's destroying our civilization: https://newdiscourses.com
a comprehensive website about critical theory and how it's destroying our civilization: https://newdiscourses.com
20,000 Pennsylvania Mail-In Ballots have "Impossible" Return Dates
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E3OjYbBm2Mo
Reports of Election Fraud across Pennsylvania are staggering, from allegations of people as old as 200 years old voting, to more than 100,000 ballots have return dates that raise questions and 20,000 that have return dates that are impossible.
"Perhaps one of the most important accomplishments of my administration is minding my own business."
Calvin Coolidge
Lee Moran·Reporter, HuffPost
Thu, November 5, 2020, 1:42 AM CST
Eric Trump was busted on Wednesday for tweeting a fake viral video of what he claimed was someone burning dozens of ballots cast in favor of his father, President Donald Trump.
As the final result of the 2020 election remained undecided, the president’s son retweeted a video that purported to show a man torching 80 ballots for Trump in Virginia Beach, Virginia.
The city of Virginia Beach, however, debunked Eric Trump’s post.
“Those were sample ballots,” the city responded to Trump on Twitter.
“A concerned citizen shared a video with us that ostensibly shows someone burning ballots,” the city said in a statement on its website. “They are NOT official ballots, they are sample ballots.”
Officials noted “the absence of the bar code markings that are on all official ballots” in a screenshot from the video.
“Fire investigators are looking into the illegal burning,” the city added.
The account that originally posted the clip has now been suspended.
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.DON'T TAX ME BRO!!!
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"It does not take a majority to prevail, but rather an irate, tireless minority, keen on setting brush fires of freedom in the minds of men." -- Samuel Adams (1722-1803)
Pennsylvania Judge Orders Segregated Ballots Should be Tossed — Crooked PA Secretary of State “Lacked Statutory Authority” to Override Election Law
BREAKING: Pennsylvania.
Judge orders segregated ballots should *not* be counted. It rules the PA Secretary of State "lacked statutory authority" to override election law. Critically, the state has a Republican state legislature.#SCOTUS may ultimately decide the case now.
Last edited by GlennwaldSnowdenAssanged; 11-12-2020 at 02:55 PM.
There is a twitter thread purporting to debunk the time series analysis offered above (in post #191).
Apparently, the numbers upon which the analysis is based were not actual raw vote totals, but were derived by the application of a percentage of limited-precision (only a single decimal place), representing votes for Biden or Trump, to large (e.g., seven-figure) overall vote totals. This causes problems when, for example, batches contain a quantity of votes that is less than the limited precision can adequately represent.
Here is the thread: https://twitter.com/cb_miller_/statu...14414490824704
I would have posted the content of the thread here, but it is quite long and threadreaderapp.com only compiled the first part of it. There are also a lot of images, so it would have required several separate and lengthy posts.
As mentioned in the thread, the explanation given in the debunking might also account for those times when vote totals being displayed on TV news in real time suddenly decreased after being updated. Apparently, the Edison data feed the networks were using doesn't actually contain specific vote totals for each candidate - so the assumption is that they are extrapolated from the overall total by application of the limited-precision per-candidate percentage figures which the feed does include.
Last edited by parocks; 11-12-2020 at 04:03 PM.
The Shiva stuff ties together with the Dominion stuff.
The thinking is that Trump wasn't getting the votes from the straight party ticket votes.
There were a lot of precincts where the straight party GOP percentage was 70-80% - this was Oakland County Michigan - and Trump was getting 60% overall in those precints. Interestingly straight party exceeded individual votes. Codemonkey showed how the Dominion vote machines could take Trump votes out, by coding REPUBIICAN. Capital I looks like this I Undercase L looks like this l. They look different in this font. But in other fonts, I and l look different.
Liberty is lost through complacency and a subservient mindset. When we accept or even welcome automobile checkpoints, random searches, mandatory identification cards, and paramilitary police in our streets, we have lost a vital part of our American heritage. America was born of protest, revolution, and mistrust of government. Subservient societies neither maintain nor deserve freedom for long.
Ron Paul 2004
Registered Ron Paul supporter # 2202
It's all about Freedom
@jhalderm on "Antrim county MI errors"
Twitter thread: https://twitter.com/jhalderm/status/1325163291161755649
thread compiled @ threadreaderapp.com: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...161755649.html
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There's been lots of speculation about why Antrim County, MI initially reported incorrect results on Wed. The results have since been corrected, but people are naturally wondering what happened. Here's the likely technical explanation and my assessment.
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First, see @MichSOS's new statement about the issue [PDF file]: https://www.michigan.gov/documents/s...k_707197_7.pdf
It was human error, isn't a sign of anything malicious, and couldn't impact the official results in any way. But what exactly happened?
3/
The problem relates to the "election definition"--configuration files that describe the races and candidates on the ballots across the county.
In October, Antrim noticed an error in its election definition: two local races had been omitted in certain precincts.
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They fixed this by recreating the election definition and installing the corrected version on the scanners for affected precincts. However, precincts where the ballot wasn't impacted by the change continued to use the original election definition.
5/
Because of this, each individual scanner tabulated ballots correctly, but there was a problem when it came time to combine the results from across precincts.
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Antrim uses @dominionvoting ballot scanners, which store vote totals on memory cards. Think of the data on the card like spreadsheet, with a number for each choice. But there aren't any labels--it's the election definition that says which row corresponds to which candidate.
7/
When Antrim loaded the memory cards into its reporting system, the system interpreted them using the revised election definition. The numbers from scanners that used the old definition didn't line up with the right candidates, so the initial combined totals were very wrong.
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Fortunately, the individual scanners counted correctly. Each scanner prints its results on a paper "poll tape" at the end of election night, so Antrim re-entered the data from those printouts to get the correct overall totals.
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Even if Antrim hadn't caught this problem so quickly, it would have been found and corrected during normal post-election procedures. Every Michigan jurisdiction checks the poll tapes against the reported totals before certifying results.
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When the dust settles, we can investigate further and learn from these events. Defensive software engineering should help prevent such reporting glitches even if operators make a mistake. Still, Antrim responded well, and MI's failsafes worked as designed to ensure integrity.
11/
In conclusion, it appears that Antrim's problem:
* Isn't a sign of anything nefarious.
* Was corrected quickly.
* Has nothing to do with the version of the Dominion software in use.
* Is not a security vulnerability.
* Isn't likely to impact results in other jurisdictions.
Liberty is lost through complacency and a subservient mindset. When we accept or even welcome automobile checkpoints, random searches, mandatory identification cards, and paramilitary police in our streets, we have lost a vital part of our American heritage. America was born of protest, revolution, and mistrust of government. Subservient societies neither maintain nor deserve freedom for long.
Ron Paul 2004
Registered Ron Paul supporter # 2202
It's all about Freedom
I haven't posted in a while, but I feel compelled to since some of you are arguing over the validity of the time series democrat/republican ratio data. Unfortunately, the debunking tweet is correct. There is not sufficient precision in the vote share data (only 3 significant digits) in order to back-calculate accurate dem/rep ratios per batch. Please consider the following example, inspired by the Michigan data (but not an actual data point, I just wanted to make the numbers easy).
Towards the tail end of the data there are over 5 million total votes. Let's call it 5.53 million. The republican share is 0.479 and the democrat share is 0.505. Since there are no actual vote totals for each party, just these ratios, so you have to estimate
rep votes = 5.53 mil x 0.479 = 2,648,870
dem votes = 5.53 mil x 0.505 = 2,792,650
For the sake of argument, let's say these are the true numbers at this point...
Now, let's say the next batch that comes in is for 10,000 votes, and it's 55% rep and 45% dem.
the total votes (true values) for each party is then
rep votes = 2,648,870 + 0.55 x 10,000 = 2,654,370
dem votes = 2,792,650 + 0.45 x 10,000 = 2,797,150
total votes = 5.54 million
The true ratios for each party is then
rep share = 2,654,370 / 5.54 mil = 0.479128...
dem share = 2,797,150 / 5.54 mil = 0.5049007...
The edison data would round these values to 3 significant digits
rep share = round(0.479128, 3) = 0.479
dem share = round(0.5049007, 3) = 0.505
No change in the overall share ratios even though the batch share was 0.55 rep vs 0.45 dem
Now since the overall share ratios have not changed, the apparent total vote counts for each party are
rep votes (apparent) = 0.479 x 5.54 mil = 2,653,660
dem votes (apparent) = 0.505 x 5.54 mil = 2,797,700
If you were to calculate the apparent dem/rep vote share for the batch, it would be no different than the overall vote share ratio of 0.505 / 0.479 =1.05, versus the true (and unknown) batch ratio of 0.45 / 0.55 = 0.82.
I hope this clears the confusion.
The potential precedent this sets is huge. Secretary of States were largely the ones creating the mail-in ballot rules and many other changes to the elections, which could all be tossed out. They could just literally toss out the mail-in ballots in these states because the Constitution says the state legislatures make the election rules and hand the election to Trump.
"He's talkin' to his gut like it's a person!!" -me
"dumpster diving isn't professional." - angelatc
"You don't need a medical degree to spot obvious bullshit, that's actually a separate skill." -Scott Adams
"When you are divided, and angry, and controlled, you target those 'different' from you, not those responsible [controllers]" -Q
"Each of us must choose which course of action we should take: education, conventional political action, or even peaceful civil disobedience to bring about necessary changes. But let it not be said that we did nothing." - Ron Paul
"Paul said "the wave of the future" is a coalition of anti-authoritarian progressive Democrats and libertarian Republicans in Congress opposed to domestic surveillance, opposed to starting new wars and in favor of ending the so-called War on Drugs."
Summary of Hand Count Audits - 2020 General Election
https://azsos.gov/election/2020-gene...-count-results
the public actually has tons of faith in the elections, it's losers that are complaining
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