The irony is that now, social distancing may accomplishing exactly the opposite of saving lives. By delaying the wall of herd immunity which leaves the virus nowhere to go and exterminates it, the RNA virus has more time to mutate into more deadly forms which will result in a deadlier second wave.
For comparison
Regular flu mortality rate: .1%
1968 Hong Kong flu mortality rate: .5%
1968 season US Hong Kong flu deaths:100,000
1957 H2N2 flu mortality rate .7%
1957 season US H2N2 deaths 116,000
2017 - 2018 US flu deaths 80,000
Recall that in 1957 and 1968 the US had only 1/2 to 2/3 of the present population.
The killer is even if you are old and out of shape you still have a close to 99% chance of survival. Call the priest!
https://reason.com/2020/05/24/the-cd...ate-below-0-3/
The CDC's New 'Best Estimate' Implies a COVID-19 Infection Fatality Rate Below 0.3%
That rate is much lower than the numbers used in the horrifying projections that shaped the government response to the epidemic.
According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the current "best estimate" for the fatality rate among Americans with COVID-19 symptoms is 0.4 percent. The CDC also estimates that 35 percent of people infected by the COVID-19 virus never develop symptoms. Those numbers imply that the virus kills less than 0.3 percent of people infected by it—far lower than the infection fatality rates (IFRs) assumed by the alarming projections that drove the initial government response to the epidemic, including broad business closure and stay-at-home orders.
The CDC offers the new estimates in its "COVID-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios," which are meant to guide hospital administrators in "assessing resource needs" and help policy makers "evaluate the potential effects of different community mitigation strategies." It says "the planning scenarios are being used by mathematical modelers throughout the Federal government."
The CDC's five scenarios include one based on "a current best estimate about viral transmission and disease severity in the United States." That scenario assumes a "basic reproduction number" of 2.5, meaning the average carrier can be expected to infect that number of people in a population with no immunity. It assumes an overall symptomatic case fatality rate (CFR) of 0.4 percent, roughly four times the estimated CFR for the seasonal flu. The CDC estimates that the CFR for COVID-19 falls to 0.05 percent among people younger than 50 and rises to 1.3 percent among people 65 and older. For people in the middle (ages 50–64), the estimated CFR is 0.2 percent.
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