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Thread: Election Day: The New Hampshire Presidential Primary

  1. #1

    Election Day: The New Hampshire Presidential Primary

    Lets keep it all in here....

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    How to watch the New Hampshire primary like a pro

    The first polls will close at 7 p.m. Eastern, but some towns will keep them open until 8.

    New Hampshire doesn’t just vote first — it votes earliest.

    While most Granite Staters were tucked in their beds, residents of three small townships assembled right at midnight on Tuesday to cast the first ballots in the first-in-the-nation primary, an idiosyncratic element of a process steeped in quirky tradition.

    But while there’s plenty of weirdness associated with the New Hampshire primary, it is a state-run election, not a complicated caucus run by a political party. That means the complete breakdown last week in Iowa is unlikely to happen in New Hampshire.

    Just 27 voters turned out in Dixville Notch, Hart’s Location and Millsfield, a small fraction of the 292,000 Democratic voters that New Hampshire Secretary of State Bill Gardner expects to have their say on Tuesday — but those voters gave a very early lead to Amy Klobuchar before the bulk of the votes pour in.

    Here’s everything you need to know to watch the New Hampshire primary like a pro when the rest of the polls open and close on Tuesday:

    Who can vote in the Democratic primary?

    In order to vote in the Democratic presidential primary, voters must either be registered Democrats or not be members of any political party. Registered Republicans can only vote in the GOP primary, and the deadline for voters to change their registration was last October.

    Unenrolled voters who wish to remain independent must sign an additional card before leaving their polling place to avoid becoming a member of the party whose primary ballot they just pulled.

    Who’s on the ballot?

    This is one of those questions with no short answer.

    There are 33 names on the Democratic primary ballot, including candidates who have since suspended their campaigns, like Cory Booker, Julián Castro and Kamala Harris. The Republican ballot is a little smaller: President Donald Trump has 16 other GOP challengers.

    The ballot is so crowded because the qualification criteria are so small. In order to get on the ballot, candidates need to meet the constitutional requirements to be president (a natural-born citizen, at least 35 years of age), fill out a form, and pay a $1,000 filing fee.

    The low bar to qualify creates some weirdness. Take this one: On the Republican ballot is “Roque ‘Rocky’ De La Fuente,” the California-based serial candidate who ran for Senate in roughly a dozen states in 2018. Meanwhile, his son, “Roque De La Fuente,” is on the Democratic ballot.

    What time do the polls open?


    There’s more quirkiness here, even putting the midnight-voting towns aside. The voting hours vary by city and town. In the two largest cities — Manchester and Nashua — the polls open at 6 a.m. Eastern.

    But the polls open at 7 a.m. in Concord and Derry, the third- and fourth-largest cities. In other towns, the polls open at either 8 a.m., or as late as 11 a.m.

    What time do the polls close?

    Given all the eccentricities of voting in New Hampshire outlined thus far, do you really expect all polling places to close at the same time?

    They don’t. Again, besides the three towns that open at midnight and close immediately, precincts in New Hampshire close at different times depending on the town, either at 7 p.m., 7:30 p.m. or 8 p.m. Polls close at 7 p.m. in Manchester, but 8 p.m. in Nashua.

    When do we expect first results?

    After the handful of votes cast at midnight, more results should begin streaming in shortly after 7 p.m. — but no news organization will project a winner until after all the polls have closed statewide at 8 p.m.

    News organizations will also begin to report the results of the exit poll — which consists of interviews with voters as they depart their polling places — beginning at 8 p.m. We’ll probably have a small chunk of the votes counted by then, too.

    How is the winner declared?


    Unlike the Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire primary is more straightforward: The candidate with the most votes wins.

    But there is still some national delegate math at play. New Hampshire has 33 delegates, which will be doled out proportionally to candidates who get more than 15 percent of the vote statewide or in at least one of New Hampshire’s two congressional districts. The upshot: A narrow victory in the raw vote count may lead to the top candidates winning similar numbers of delegates.
    https://www.politico.com/news/2020/02/11/new-hampshire-primary-how-to-watch-113697
    Last edited by Warlord; 02-11-2020 at 05:59 AM.



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  3. #2
    The final polls show Mayor Pete surging......






  4. #3
    Democrats set for NH thriller

    MANCHESTER, N.H. — Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg are looking to separate from the pack and become the candidates to beat as voters head to the polls for the first-in-the-nation primary in New Hampshire on Tuesday.

    Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) appears to be making a late charge, drawing her biggest crowds of the year and hauling in $2 million in 14 hours after glowing reviews about her debate performance in Manchester.

    Former Vice President Joe Biden, long the front-runner in the race nationally, is now telegraphing a poor result in New Hampshire and hoping he can salvage his campaign later this month when voters in Nevada and South Carolina go to the polls.

    Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), who finished third in Iowa but has lost stature in the race to Sanders, is hoping for a strong result.

    Democrats are hoping the result from New Hampshire provides some clarity after the muddled outcome in Iowa, which produced a split decision between Sanders and Buttigieg amid mass confusion and delays in the reported results.

    The Vermont senator has long been the favorite to win neighboring New Hampshire, where he triumphed over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton by more than 20 points in 2016. But he has only a small lead over Buttigieg in the latest polls, and the former South Bend mayor has been matching Sanders with big crowds of enthusiastic supporters.

    Sanders, Buttigieg and Klobuchar are generating the most buzz in the state. They’re packing big venues and voters are waiting in long lines in frigid temperatures to get into their events.

    New Hampshire voters — 42 percent of whom are registered independents — are known to break late. That could be good news for Klobuchar, or even Warren and Biden, although neither appears to have much momentum here.

    “This is anyone’s race to win, I still believe that, with the huge number of voters who are still undecided,” said New Hampshire Democratic Party Chairman Ray Buckley.

    Buttigieg notched a big crowd Sunday morning in Nashua, pulling 1,800 people into a local gymnasium. Voters stood in long lines snaking around Elm Street Middle School, holding “Pete for America” signs and wearing “Boot Edge Edge” shirts in the below-freezing temperatures.

    Sanders bested that crowd later in the day with an event at Keene State College, where nearly 2,000 people came to hear him speak. He’ll likely top that Monday night at the 6,000-capacity Whittemore Center in Durham at an event featuring the popular indie rock band The Strokes.

    The intensity of Sanders’s support has been on full display all weekend across the state, most notably in the rural areas where he’s expected to mop up.

    About 750 people crammed into a small opera house in Rochester on Saturday morning as filmmaker Michael Moore and former Ohio state Sen. Nina Turner worked the crowd. Hundreds had to be turned away on what was one of the state’s coldest days of the year.

    Buttigieg and Sanders have been sharpening their attacks against one another in hopes of reaching independent voters.

    Speaking at a high school gymnasium to about 700 people in Salem on Sunday, Buttigieg cast Sanders as an unbending ideologue who won’t be able to get anything done because he refuses to compromise.

    “At a moment like this when the message goes out that you’re either for a revolution or you’re for the status quo, most of us don’t know where we fit and would rather make room for a movement that’s for all of us,” Buttigieg said.

    Buttigieg needs a top showing in New Hampshire to get another look from voters of color before the contests in Nevada and South Carolina, where a more diverse electorate is set to vote. He’s hoping to leave New Hampshire as the favorite for Democrats eager to stop Sanders.

    Sanders has leaned into the argument that Buttigieg is compromised by big money.

    “If you’re serious about political change in America, change is not going to be coming from somebody who gets a lot of money from the CEOs of the pharmaceutical industry,” Sanders said at a campaign stop in Plymouth. “No one really believes you’re going to take on the pharmaceutical industry when they’re giving you massive amounts of money.”

    Some Democrats are concerned Sanders could roll to the nomination with a victory in New Hampshire. “There’s just too many centrists battling each other and it’s playing right into Bernie’s hands,” said one Democrat who has raised money for Biden.

    Klobuchar is hoping a strong showing for her campaign will set her up as the centrist alternative to Sanders. In her final pitch, she is urging voters to get on board with the underdog.

    “A lot of people did not think I was going to make it through this summer, or make it to that debate stage,” Klobuchar said Monday at a lunch with voters in Nashua. “But I made it to that debate stage, and since that debate our campaign has been surging.”

    Biden could be in big trouble with another distant finish in New Hampshire. His allies say he’ll soldier on even if he finishes in fifth place, believing that his strong support among African Americans will deliver him a victory in South Carolina.

    “He’ll be fine,” said Democratic National Committee member Bob Mulholland, who supports Biden. “Nevada and South Carolina will turn him into the comeback kid.”

    But the race will get more complicated for Biden after South Carolina, as former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg begins his efforts to collect delegates on Super Tuesday.

    A new Quinnipiac University national poll released Monday found Sanders in the lead at 25 percent, followed by Biden at 17 percent and Bloomberg at 15 percent. Bloomberg has already spent more than $300 million on television ads and is the only candidate up and running in all 14 Super Tuesday states.

    There are also questions about whether Warren, who is from neighboring Massachusetts, can survive a distant finish in New Hampshire.

    Candidates from neighboring states have traditionally outperformed here, and it would be hard for Warren to make the case that she can challenge Sanders on the left after losing to him in Iowa and New Hampshire.
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaig...or-nh-thriller

  5. #4
    My secret hope is that yang would beat warren and biden for laughs .
    Do something Danke

  6. #5
    One of Yangs UBI families was in NH.
    Do something Danke

  7. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    My secret hope is that yang would beat warren and biden for laughs .
    Are these the last days of the Yang Gang?

    Entrepreneur Andrew Yang, along with Buttigieg, was arguably the biggest surprise of the 2020 primary.

    He rose from true obscurity -- when he told his family he was planning to run for president, some replied with, "President of what?" -- to garnering a devout and unique following online. His focus on a universal basic income has given his campaign the sort of animating cause that eluded some of his rivals.

    But that is largely where the success ended.

    Yang finished with 1% in Iowa and did not receive a national delegate. And his campaign had to lay off staff in the days following the caucuses there, signaling that, despite Yang's online fundraising prowess, money could be tightening.

    Yang's top operatives believe New Hampshire, with more independent voters participating in the Democratic primary, could be better suited to backing the businessman-turned-politician. But recent polling shows Yang in the low single digits here.

    "If we don't show as well in New Hampshire, there will be some reassessment," said a Yang aide, "especially if it ends up being the worst-case scenario."
    https://edition.cnn.com/2020/02/10/p...ide/index.html

  8. #7
    Today could signal the beginning of the end for biden , warren and yang .
    Do something Danke

  9. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    Today could signal the beginning of the end for biden , warren and yang .
    Yang should run for Senate in California when Fienstein dies. They will love him there with his lunatic ideas.



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  11. #9
    Majority in new poll says they would not vote for socialist

    A majority of Americans surveyed in a new poll said they would not vote for a socialist candidate for president, with the most opposition coming from Republican voters.

    Asked whether they would vote for their party nominee who was a “generally well-qualified person for president who happened to be socialist,” just 45 percent said yes and 53 percent said no, according to the Gallup poll released Tuesday.

    The acceptance for a socialist nominee, is 2 percentage points lower in the recent poll than when Gallup asked the same question in June 2015.

    Democrats are much more likely to say they would vote for a socialist, based on the new poll. Gallup found that 76 percent of Democrats said they would vote for a socialist, whereas just 17 percent of Republicans and 45 percent of independents said the same.

    The situation could play out in the November elections, with President Trump and his allies already slamming the Democrats as socialists. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), a leading candidate in the race, has also openly described himself as a Democratic Socialist.

    The term Democratic Socialist does not appear to have been polled by Gallup in its survey.

    One of Sanders’s top opponents, former Vice President Joe Biden, has said that having the Vermont senator on the top of the ticket could create a battle for down-ballot candidates in moderate races.

    Gallup also surveyed Americans on their willingness to vote for candidates with other diverse characteristics, several of which are identifying factors for some of this year’s Democratic presidential candidates.

    Gallup found that 93 percent of surveyed Americans said they would vote for a woman, a 1-point increase since 2015 when Hillary Clinton was on her way to becoming the first woman presidential nominee from a major party.

    Gallup has reported a steady increase in Americans' willingness to vote for a woman since it started asking the question in 1958, when just 54 percent of Americans said they’d vote for a female candidate.

    Three women remain in the 2020 field, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-Hawaii), after an unprecedented number of women ran at the beginning of the primary.

    The new Gallup poll also found that 93 percent of Americans said they would vote for a Jewish candidate. Sanders could become the first Jewish nominee or president if successful in his presidential bid.

    Americans have become increasingly willing to vote for a gay or lesbian candidate since Gallup began asking the question in 1983, according to the poll. Gallup found that 78 percent of Americans, including 89 percent of Democrats, said they would vote for a gay candidate, based.

    More than eight in 10 independents -- 82 percent -- and 62 percent of Republicans also said they would vote for a gay or lesbian presidential candidate.

    Former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) is the first openly gay major presidential candidate. He would become the first openly gay presidential nominee and first gay president if elected.

    Gallup surveyed 1,033 adults between Jan. 16 and 29. There is a margin of error of 4 percentage point
    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/482469-majority-in-new-poll-says-they-would-not-vote-for-socialist-gallup

  12. #10
    Here are your betting odds. I found in 2008 and 2012 that the people who were figuring this all up based on money were closer than the actual poltical polling. lol...

    Bernie Sanders -600
    Pete Buttigieg +450
    Joe Biden +1400
    Elizabeth Warren +2000
    Andrew Yang +3300
    Amy Klobuchar +8000
    Tom Steyer +5000
    Tulsi Gabbard
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    They are coming home, all the naysayers said they would never leave Syria and then they said they were going to stay in Iraq forever.

    It won't take very long to get them home but it won't be overnight either but Iraq says they can't stay and they are coming home just like Trump said.


    Whenever someone tells me Trump is draining the Swamp.


    Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect - Mark Twain

    Fascism Defined

  13. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    One of Yangs UBI families was in NH.
    of course, and I'm sure they were screened thoroughly for selection. I bet there are others in SC and NV too.
    Where is John Galt?


    When life itself seems lunatic, who knows where madness lies? - Miguel de Cervantes, (Don Quixote)

  14. #12
    Gabbard handled Hannity well here!



    @jmdrake

  15. #13
    Will Sanders have another state stolen from him? Guess we'll find out today.
    "Perhaps one of the most important accomplishments of my administration is minding my own business."

    Calvin Coolidge

  16. #14

  17. #15



  18. #16
    Quote Originally Posted by Warlord View Post
    Gabbard handled Hannity well here!



    @jmdrake
    Tulsi should have been quicker on her feet and said to him the war on drugs has failed our society miserably. We need to have a conversation about this and decriminalizing seems to be the way to go. The opioids addiction was based on prescription drugs, it was even proven, in a court of law, that one of the pHARMa companies (Purdue) paid doctors to push the opioids on people--these drugs were deemed "legal."
    My website: https://www.theherbsofthefield.com/

    "No one is useless in this world who lightens the burdens of another.” ~ Charles Dickens



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  20. #17

  21. #18
    Polls have closed in most towns in New Hampshire.

  22. #19

  23. #20

  24. #21

  25. #22

    Exclamation

    Quote Originally Posted by Warlord View Post
    Seizing drug patents: 62% support, 27% oppose
    Expanding Clean Air Act: 59%/33%
    Descheduling marijuana: 58%/33%
    Ending fossil fuel production on public lands: 51%/39%
    Seizing drug patents...sounds like seizing the means of production to me.

    Gaslighters like @juleswin will try to tell you Bernie isn't a communist...of course he is. Any talk otherwise is just semantic nit picking.

    Make no mistake, if Bernie is slated to run against Trump, it's going to be damned close for two reasons:

    1 - The millions and millions of migrant invaders that have overrun the nation from failed socialist states to the south.

    2 - Freedom, as a general sort of thing, is not popular....none of it. Free speech is hate speech. Free association is xenophobia. Freedom of religion is bigotry. Property rights are acts of rape against the earth mother...and on and on and on..

  26. #23

  27. #24
    Andrew Yang has dropped out. I was looking forward to hear him continue about how UBI is our number one issue.
    "Perhaps one of the most important accomplishments of my administration is minding my own business."

    Calvin Coolidge



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  29. #25

    I predict...

    ...the $#@!s gonna win!

  30. #26
    Quote Originally Posted by Anti Globalist View Post
    Andrew Yang has dropped out. I was looking forward to hear him continue about how UBI is our number one issue.

  31. #27

  32. #28
    Quote Originally Posted by Anti Federalist View Post
    Gaslighters like @juleswin will try to tell you Bernie isn't a communist...of course he is. Any talk otherwise is just semantic nit picking.
    According to @juleswin, the only proof that is needed to show Sanders is a communist, is a voting record of nationalizing private industry. LOL


    Quote Originally Posted by Anti Globalist View Post
    Andrew Yang has dropped out. I was looking forward to hear him continue about how UBI is our number one issue.
    Thats what bothered me too, a non-libertarian telling libertarians what they care about most. Unfortunately he suckered quite a few libertarians, a couple I personally know, some OGs right here on RPF @kahless

    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    Today could signal the beginning of the end for biden , warren and yang .
    I think Biden will holdout for SC. Warren has enough gas in the tank to hold out past NH. I think there are supposed to be rumors shes in talks to cut a deal with Comrade Sanders.
    @Ehanced_Deficit's real agenda on RPF :
    DNC-S (Soros)
    CLINTON-PELO-SCHIFF
    NYT-CNN-SOCIALIST
    CIA-B (Brennan)

    Quote Originally Posted by juleswin View Post
    Bernie will bring about a more free market in the US than Trump. Hence the reason I wouldn't mind having him as my next president.

  33. #29

  34. #30
    Quote Originally Posted by eleganz View Post
    According to @juleswin, the only proof that is needed to show Sanders is a communist, is a voting record of nationalizing private industry. LOL




    Thats what bothered me too, a non-libertarian telling libertarians what they care about most. Unfortunately he suckered quite a few libertarians, a couple I personally know, some OGs right here on RPF @kahless



    I think Biden will holdout for SC. Warren has enough gas in the tank to hold out past NH. I think there are supposed to be rumors shes in talks to cut a deal with Comrade Sanders.
    Warren , yang & biden will all have zero delegates . Toast .
    Do something Danke

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