Bevin/KY Election Thread (11/5/2019)

[jon4liberty]

I voted for Bevin earlier today.

Thank you

[Krugminator2]

Bevin a 2 to 1 favorite to be reelected as of right now. https://electionbettingodds.com/KY2019.html

Not great odds but better than the coin flip I keep reading about.

[Krugminator2]

Bevin a 2 to 1 favorite to be reelected as of right now. https://electionbettingodds.com/KY2019.html

Not great odds but better than the coin flip I keep reading about.

It looks like exit polls not looking so great for Bevin.

Edit: No exit polls. Just Bevin doing worse than any Republican in rural Kentucky of any Repub in the last decade.

Edit 2: Bevin doing worse than other Republicans on the ballot. A lot of Repubs not voting for Bevin. Public sector workers want their free $#@!. Bevin is going to need a strong Republican win on the rest of the ballot to stay in office.

Edit 3 Bevin just might hold on

[eleganz]

It looks like exit polls not looking so great for Bevin.

Edit: No exit polls. Just Bevin doing worse than any Republican in rural Kentucky of any Repub in the last decade.

Edit 2: Bevin doing worse than other Republicans on the ballot. A lot of Repubs not voting for Bevin. Public sector workers want their free $#@!. Bevin is going to need a strong Republican win on the rest of the ballot to stay in office.

Edit 3 Bevin just might hold on

This is exactly why the purist libertarian ideology would never work in this society. You'd be kicked out asap.

Hope Bevin pulls it off, I think it should be fine with Trump boost.

[dannno]

ELECTION RESULTS

Map	Percent	Candidate	Party	Votes	Winner
	52%	Matt Bevin*	GOP	232,579
	45.9%	Andy Beshear	Dem	205,057
	2.1%	John Hicks	Libt	9,399
31.4% of precincts reporting (1,150/3,659) *Incumbent
447,035 total votes https://www.politico.com/election-re...2019/kentucky/

[Swordsmyth]

This is exactly why the purist libertarian ideology would never work in this society. You'd be kicked out asap.

Hope Bevin pulls it off, I think it should be fine with Trump boost.

Exactly, we didn't get where we are overnight and we can't get to where we want to go overnight.
Incremental progress is required and alliances with those who are close to us as well.

[Krugminator2]

This is exactly why the purist libertarian ideology would never work in this society. You'd be kicked out asap.

Hope Bevin pulls it off, I think it should be fine with Trump boost.

What is he supposed to do? I want someone who will kick public sector union thugs in the mouth. Pensions and education are issues worth taking gloves off on. It might be unpopular but it is the right thing. There are some hills worth dying on. Reagan fell on the sword to beat inflation because he viewed as something he couldn't compromise on. Still got reelected.

[dannno]

ELECTION RESULTS

Map	Percent	Candidate	Party	Votes	Winner
	50%	Matt Bevin*	GOP	355,744
	47.9%	Andy Beshear	Dem	340,422
	2.1%	John Hicks	Libt	14,848
48.8% of precincts reporting (1,787/3,659) *Incumbent
711,014 total votes

[Krugminator2]

Bevin now a big underdog. Big underperformance. Repubs are cleaning up in othervraces

[Swordsmyth]

I think he's going to make it, thanks to Rand and Trump.

Map	Percent	Candidate	Party	Votes	Winner
	49.6%	Andy Beshear	Dem	550,335
	48.4%	Matt Bevin*	GOP	536,388
	2%	John Hicks	Libt	22,172

76.9% of precincts reporting

[Krugminator2]

I think he's going to make it, thanks to Rand and Trump.

Map	Percent	Candidate	Party	Votes	Winner
	49.6%	Andy Beshear	Dem	550,335
	48.4%	Matt Bevin*	GOP	536,388
	2%	John Hicks	Libt	22,172

76.9% of precincts reporting

Yeah. I'll the other side of that bet.

He's done.

[fcreature]

Why does Bevin underperform compared to other Republicans in KY?

[Swordsmyth]

Yeah. I'll the other side of that bet.

He's done.

Map	Percent	Candidate	Party	Votes	Winner
	50.2%	Andy Beshear	Dem	615,653
	47.8%	Matt Bevin*	GOP	586,845
	2%	John Hicks	Libt	24,070

84.1% of precincts reporting

[Zippyjuan]

91% of precincts in.

Beshear 50.0% 649,665

Bevin Incumbent 48.0% 623,989

Hicks 2.0% 25,556

But remaining counties are rural and more conservative.

[Swordsmyth]

91% of precincts in.

Beshear 50.0% 649,665

Bevin Incumbent 48.0% 623,989

Hicks 2.0% 25,556

Source?

[Zippyjuan]

Source?

https://www.cnn.com/election/2019/results/kentucky

[Swordsmyth]

Map	Percent	Candidate	Party	Votes	Winner
	49.7%	Andy Beshear	Dem	664,950
	48.4%	Matt Bevin*	GOP	647,525
	2%	John Hicks	Libt	26,368
92.1% of precincts reporting

[specsaregood]

Why does Bevin underperform compared to other Republicans in KY?

He took on the teachers pension arrangement.

[Zippyjuan]

With four counties remaining (96% reporting), Beshear leads by just over 11,000 votes.

[Krugminator2]

Bevin officially lost.

[Zippyjuan]

With three counties left, Bevin still trails by 9,000 votes.

[Zippyjuan]

99% reporting.

Beshear 49.4% 701,695

Bevin Incumbent 48.6% 689,712

Hicks 2.0% 27,776

[Swordsmyth]

It ain't over till it's over. (and it may need a recount)

candidate	%	votes
Beshear	49.2%	710,498
Bevin incumbent	48.8%	704,247
Hicks	2.0%	28,414

[fcreature]

He took on the teachers pension arrangement.

... that'll do it.

[Zippyjuan]

It ain't over till it's over. (and it may need a recount)

candidate	%	votes
Beshear	49.2%	710,498
Bevin incumbent	48.8%	704,247
Hicks	2.0%	28,414

In Kentucky, there is no automatic re-count. A candidate may request one but has to pay all of the costs of the re-count up front. With the lead over 5,000 right now, probably not worth doing. Last time the difference was only 85 votes. A recount only changed one of them.

In Mississippi, a candidate has to not only win the majority of voted but a majority of districts- otherwise the (Republican controlled) legislature will select the winner. With just 19% of the votes counted so far, the Republican Lt Governor Reeves has 55% of the ballots.

[eleganz]

It ain't over till it's over. (and it may need a recount)

candidate	%	votes
Beshear	49.2%	710,498
Bevin incumbent	48.8%	704,247
Hicks	2.0%	28,414

2% for the libertarian, when in 2015 the ind got something like 3.66%

[dannno]

... that'll do it.

Ya we need to just say we will let them keep their pensions then take them after we get elected.. you don’t tell them you are taking their pensions before u get elected


http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthr...ke-Them-Anyway

[Swordsmyth]

2% for the libertarian, when in 2015 the ind got something like 3.66%

Just enough to throw the election to the left.

The LP is serving its purpose.

It's not like Bevin is a horrible RINO.

[Zippyjuan]

Just enough to throw the election to the left.

The LP is serving its purpose.

It's not like Bevin is a horrible RINO.

Assuming they would all be voting Republican.

[Swordsmyth]

Assuming they would all be voting Republican.

It wouldn't take all of them and none would be voting communist.