Markets are telling Trump: Get your act together
Why is the Treasury Secretary asking banks if they have enough cash? What’s wrong with the Federal Reserve chairman? And how’s the trade war going, anyway?
These are questions investors shouldn’t be asking. Yet President Trump’s chaotic presidency is creating new worries for financial markets beyond typical concerns such as corporate earnings and economic growth. Markets that normally shrug off political shenanigans are now pricing in the possibility that Trump himself is the biggest threat to profits and prosperity.
Trump is obviously distressed about the recent stock-market selloff, with the S&P 500 down 12% for the year, and the NASDAQ in a full-blown bear market. What Trump doesn’t seem to realize is that he is personally becoming a bigger and bigger cause of the selloff. And each reactionary Trump twitch aggravates the problem.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin—probably at Trump’s behest—recently called the CEOs of the nation’s biggest banks to ask how stable their institutions are. Then he tweeted the happy news that the banks have “ample liquidity available.” Nobody was worried about bank liquidity before Mnuchin brought it up. Now people are worried.
If the nation’s top financial policymaker thinks he needs to ask banks whether they have enough money, something must be wrong.
Trump has been seething about interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, and asking whether he can fire Fed chair Jerome Powell, whom he appointed in 2017. The Fed isn’t perfect, and some economists think it might make sense for the Fed to slow its pace of hikes. But rates are still well below historical norms and there’s broad agreement that the Fed is generally doing the right thing. Except for Trump,
who apparently thinks the Fed should goose the stock market indefinitely, so it boosts his approval rating.
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