View Poll Results: Are We In A Recession Already?

Voters
17. You may not vote on this poll
  • Yes, it has already started

    11 64.71%
  • No, it has not started yet, but it will crash soon

    3 17.65%
  • No, we are doing good

    2 11.76%
  • No, it will never happen with Trump in Office

    1 5.88%
Page 3 of 3 FirstFirst 123
Results 61 to 65 of 65

Thread: Are We In A Recession Already?

  1. #61
    Since this poll is far one way I went ahead and voted never under trump . LOL
    Do something Danke



  2. Remove this section of ads by registering.
  3. #62
    This reminds of the poll where people said Republicans would GAIN seats in the mid term The answer to "Are we in a recession?" is no. It isn't really even debatable. We might be by 2020. But geez. No. We are not in a recession. We are close to the top of the cycle though. and might start rolling over soon.


    "Currently (last updated December 6, 2018, using data through November), this "Yield Curve" model shows a 15.7683% probability of a recession in the United States 12 months ahead."
    https://seekingalpha.com/article/4227461-probability-u-s-recession-december-2018
    Last edited by Krugminator2; Yesterday at 07:46 PM.

  4. #63
    Quote Originally Posted by heavenlyboy34 View Post
    Yes. Please see Rothbard's explanation of recession/depression in "Man, Economy, And State" for a detailed explanation why.
    I am going to pass on reading it. But did he just make up definitions? Is that why you answered "yes".

  5. #64
    Quote Originally Posted by Krugminator2 View Post
    I am going to pass on reading it. But did he just make up definitions? Is that why you answered "yes".
    No he didn't. He pointed out how modern economists had made up definitions. I answered "yes" because of what I know about Business Cycle Theory and my reading of Hayek on recessions.
    Quote Originally Posted by Torchbearer
    what works can never be discussed online. there is only one language the government understands, and until the people start speaking it by the magazine full... things will remain the same.
    Hear/buy my music here "government is the enemy of liberty"-RP Support me on Patreon here Ephesians 6:12



  6. Remove this section of ads by registering.
  7. #65
    Yield curve recently fllipped; traditionally, this precedes a recession by 18-38 months, with an average of 28 months to a recession, after this occurs.

    It's not a perfect predictor, but it's been generally accurate.

    So ten to err on the side of "probably in another 2 years"

Page 3 of 3 FirstFirst 123


Similar Threads

  1. How to get out of the recession
    By down_south in forum Economy & Markets
    Replies: 3
    Last Post: 07-13-2010, 08:02 PM
  2. The recession is over
    By cbc58 in forum Economy & Markets
    Replies: 1
    Last Post: 10-29-2009, 09:38 AM
  3. Recession ?
    By Exarel in forum Economy & Markets
    Replies: 3
    Last Post: 02-17-2008, 09:03 PM
  4. Recession anyone?
    By heath.whiteaker in forum U.S. Political News
    Replies: 2
    Last Post: 01-11-2008, 05:13 PM
  5. The Recession is HERE!
    By Chomsky in forum U.S. Political News
    Replies: 6
    Last Post: 01-09-2008, 06:35 PM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •