U.S. Murder Rate for 2018 Is on Track for a Big Drop

[Anti Federalist]

U.S. Murder Rate for 2018 Is on Track for a Big Drop

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/06/u...-big-drop.html

If murder falls about 4.5 percent nationally this year, the murder rate of about 5 per 100,000 will roughly be in line with 2009’s rate and half of what it was in 1980, the highest U.S. murder rate on record. The accompanying chart shows what the national murder rate since 1960 would look like with a 4.5 percent drop in 2018.

Tracking the change in murder nationally is far easier than explaining why it’s happening. There is still no consensus on why murder rose nationally in 2015 and 2016, though various theories have been proposed, including simple randomness. Similarly, a projected drop in murder in 2018 would not have an obvious cause. Employment of smarter technologies, expanded community intervention programs, and even colder weather could help explain year-to-year local changes.

[Danke]

millennials are just too lazy.

[Swordsmyth]

millennials are just too lazy.

According to Oyarde they must have learned by watching you.

[Danke]

According to Oyarde they must have learned by watching you.

LOL, an Injun calling someone else lazy.

[Swordsmyth]

LOL, an Injun calling someone else lazy.

Perhaps he intends it as a compliment?

[TheCount]

Must be because we have a lower ratio of immigrants to citizens when compared to last year.

[CCTelander]

U.S. Murder Rate for 2018 Is on Track for a Big Drop

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/06/u...-big-drop.html

If murder falls about 4.5 percent nationally this year, the murder rate of about 5 per 100,000 will roughly be in line with 2009’s rate and half of what it was in 1980, the highest U.S. murder rate on record. The accompanying chart shows what the national murder rate since 1960 would look like with a 4.5 percent drop in 2018.

Tracking the change in murder nationally is far easier than explaining why it’s happening. There is still no consensus on why murder rose nationally in 2015 and 2016, though various theories have been proposed, including simple randomness. Similarly, a projected drop in murder in 2018 would not have an obvious cause. Employment of smarter technologies, expanded community intervention programs, and even colder weather could help explain year-to-year local changes.

As to the bolded part, perhaps this is true for the victim disarming $#@!stains at the NY Times, but for the rest of us it's been quite obvious why murder rates (along with other violent crime rates) have been steadily falling for about 2 decades. As John Lott put it back in the 90s, More Guns, Less Crime.

[Swordsmyth]

Must be because we have a lower ratio of immigrants to citizens when compared to last year.

Nope, MORE GUNS=LESS CRIME.

[TheTexan]

The drop in murder rates is because the Trump presidency has inspired everyone to be better people

[Swordsmyth]

The drop in murder rates is because the Trump presidency has inspired everyone to be better people

[oyarde]

millennials are just too lazy.

I bet they do not have many guns . After the food stamps take care of most of the expenses they probably use whats left on video games or hollywood gaying .

[Anti Globalist]

More guns means less crime? Who'da thunk?

[Aratus]

Our life expectancy is dipping because suicides and drug overdoses are increasing.

[Zippyjuan]

Must be because we have a lower ratio of immigrants to citizens when compared to last year.