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Thread: Democrats losing lead on Republicans in midterm election polls

  1. #1

    Default Democrats losing lead on Republicans in midterm election polls

    Taking Congress back from the Republicans in this year's midterm elections may be more difficult for Democrats than anticipated, according to recent polling.
    A new poll from ABC News and the Washington Post shows Democrats’ advantage is narrowing in a so-called “generic ballot”, where voters are asked which party they plan to favour in the coming election. In January, Democrats lead Republicans in a generic matchup by 12 per cent. In April, that lead was just 4 per cent.


    The polls come in advance of the November midterms, when the two parties will battle for control of Congress. The most potential for change exists in the House, where Democrats need to flip just 24 seats to regain the majority. The calculations thus far have looked to be in their favour, as President Donald Trump’s approval ratings hit historic lows and dozens of Republican politicians announced their resignations.
    But the ABC/Washington Post results show that lead is narrowing somewhat, with Republicans making sizeable gains among white voters. An average of the generic polls from Real Clear Politics had Democrats leading Republicans by 6.2 per cent on Monday, compared to 9.3 per cent at the beginning of last month.

    More at: https://www.yahoo.com/news/democrats...163700225.html

    Blue Ebb Tide
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  3. #2

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    We need more RINOs switching sides to the rescue.
    What is the punishment for the attempted murder of freedom on earth? 👁👁

  4. #3

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    First off , 12 percent is a ridiculous figure unless you are just polling heavy dem states where they already control the seats and they will never be up for grabs .

  5. #4

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    Sean Hannity's lawyer just got his office raided by the powers that be,
    POTUS is about to sign a presidential pardon for Sean Hannity I hear...

  6. #5

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    Duckies... It's a Yellow DAWG Democrat year even up in the North!

  7. #6

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    The lead held by Democrats over Republicans on generic ballot polls ahead of the 2018 midterm elections is beginning to slip, a new CNN poll suggests.
    Overall, 31 percent of respondents in a poll released Wednesday told CNN that they believe the country would be better off with Democrats in control of Congress, while 30 percent said Republicans should hold the reins. However, the largest proportion of respondents, at 34 percent, said it makes no difference to them who is in charge.
    Among registered voters asked whether they would vote Democratic or Republican in their congressional district if the elections were held today, Democrats had a three-point advantage, at 44 percent to 41 percent, which is within the poll's margin of error.
    Democrats have seen a steady decline in their advantage over Republicans in recent months, according to CNN polling, falling from a 16-point advantage in February to a 6-point one in March, to just a 3-point lead this week, roughly six months away from the midterm elections.

    An ABC News/Washington Post poll similarly found last month that Democrats' lead over Republicans among registered voters was only 4 points, at 47 percent to 43 percent, down from a 12-point lead the poll found Democrats held in January.

    Democrats still have an edge in enthusiasm, according to CNN. Among respondents who said they are excited to vote in November, more plan to vote Democratic than Republican, at 53 percent to 41 percent.
    But enthusiasm does seem to be growing among GOP voters. According to the CNN poll, 44 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters said they were "very enthusiastic" about voting, which is a jump from 36 percent in March.

    More at: http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign...ic-ballot-poll
    Never attempt to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and annoys the pig.

    Robert Heinlein

    Give a man an inch and right away he thinks he's a ruler

    Groucho Marx

    I love mankind…it’s people I can’t stand.

    Linus, from the Peanuts comic

    You cannot have liberty without morality and morality without faith

    Alexis de Torqueville

    Those who fail to learn from the past are condemned to repeat it.
    Those who learn from the past are condemned to watch everybody else repeat it

    A Zero Hedge comment

  8. #7

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    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    The lead held by Democrats over Republicans on generic ballot polls ahead of the 2018 midterm elections is beginning to slip, a new CNN poll suggests.
    Overall, 31 percent of respondents in a poll released Wednesday told CNN that they believe the country would be better off with Democrats in control of Congress, while 30 percent said Republicans should hold the reins. However, the largest proportion of respondents, at 34 percent, said it makes no difference to them who is in charge.
    Among registered voters asked whether they would vote Democratic or Republican in their congressional district if the elections were held today, Democrats had a three-point advantage, at 44 percent to 41 percent, which is within the poll's margin of error.
    Democrats have seen a steady decline in their advantage over Republicans in recent months, according to CNN polling, falling from a 16-point advantage in February to a 6-point one in March, to just a 3-point lead this week, roughly six months away from the midterm elections.

    An ABC News/Washington Post poll similarly found last month that Democrats' lead over Republicans among registered voters was only 4 points, at 47 percent to 43 percent, down from a 12-point lead the poll found Democrats held in January.

    Democrats still have an edge in enthusiasm, according to CNN. Among respondents who said they are excited to vote in November, more plan to vote Democratic than Republican, at 53 percent to 41 percent.
    But enthusiasm does seem to be growing among GOP voters. According to the CNN poll, 44 percent of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters said they were "very enthusiastic" about voting, which is a jump from 36 percent in March.

    More at: http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign...ic-ballot-poll
    The real polling didn't actually change that much, they just have to start bringing the fake numbers more in line with reality before the real deal happens.
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  9. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by dannno View Post
    The real polling didn't actually change that much, they just have to start bringing the fake numbers more in line with reality before the real deal happens.
    Perhaps, but I doubt it hasn't gotten worse at all for the Demoncrats due to recent events.
    Never attempt to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and annoys the pig.

    Robert Heinlein

    Give a man an inch and right away he thinks he's a ruler

    Groucho Marx

    I love mankind…it’s people I can’t stand.

    Linus, from the Peanuts comic

    You cannot have liberty without morality and morality without faith

    Alexis de Torqueville

    Those who fail to learn from the past are condemned to repeat it.
    Those who learn from the past are condemned to watch everybody else repeat it

    A Zero Hedge comment

  10. #9

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    For the very first time since April of 2017, when Real Clear Politics first started monitoring the average, the Democrat advantage in the generic ballot has dipped below 5 percent, to just 4.7 percent.

    Until this week, Democrats enjoyed a steady average of a +5 percent advantage. Of late, that average has climbed as high as +13 percent. But since then, the erosion, in fits and starts, has steadily drifted downward, and now, at least in this election season, it is at a record low.
    For the sake of context, in 2014, with a 2.4 percent GOP advantage in this same poll, Republicans picked up only 13 House seats.
    During the 2010 mid-terms, with a 9.4 percent GOP advantage, Republicans picked up 63 House seats.
    In 2006, with an 11.5 percent Democrat edge, Democrats picked up 31 seats.
    This year, Democrats will need to flip 24 seats to retake the House, which is looking a lot less doable when you consider that with a huge 11.5 percent advantage, Democrats were only able to snatch 31 seats.
    With just a 4.7 percent advantage, Democrats are likely within range of handing the gavel to Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), but a closer look at the movement of the numbers shows that Democrat energy has been flat, while GOP energy is building.
    On March 1, Democrats earned 45.9 percent support, while Republicans earned just 36.6 percent. Today, Democrats sit at 45 percent compared to the GOP’s 40.3 percent.

    More at: http://www.breitbart.com/big-governm...-hits-new-low/
    Never attempt to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and annoys the pig.

    Robert Heinlein

    Give a man an inch and right away he thinks he's a ruler

    Groucho Marx

    I love mankind…it’s people I can’t stand.

    Linus, from the Peanuts comic

    You cannot have liberty without morality and morality without faith

    Alexis de Torqueville

    Those who fail to learn from the past are condemned to repeat it.
    Those who learn from the past are condemned to watch everybody else repeat it

    A Zero Hedge comment






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