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Thread: Trump Pal Sold Millions in Steel-Related Stock Days Before Tariff News

  1. #1

    Trump Pal Sold Millions in Steel-Related Stock Days Before Tariff News

    http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer...riff-news.html

    Carl Icahn, a billionaire financier and longtime pal of Donald Trump’s, sold more than $30 million of stock in a steel-dependent company days before new tariffs on steel imports were announced, Think Progress reports.

    Icahn’s dumping of close to 1 million shares of Manitowoc Company Inc. was revealed in an SEC filing submitted on February 22, seven days before Trump said he would impose tariffs of 25 percent on steel and 10 percent on aluminum. After Trump’s announcement, shares in Manitowoc dropped by 6 percent, Reuters reported in a piece that describes the company as one of the country’s “major consumers of steel.”

    As Think Progress notes, Icahn had not bought or sold shares in Manitowoc between January 2015 and February 2018, making the timing of the most recent sell-off look even more suspicious than it already did.

    Icahn, who lasted around eight months as Trump’s special adviser for regulatory affairs, has previously been accused of profiting off of his relationship with the president. In November, it was reported that federal investigators are probing Icahn’s role advising Trump and regulatory changes he attempted to push through in order to benefit his energy company.



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  3. #2
    So?

    Only presidents who actually serve the people--like Warren G. Harding--ever get prosecuted for their staff doing Teapot Dome-type stuff.
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    You only want the freedoms that will undermine the nation and lead to the destruction of liberty.

  4. #3
    Icahn’s dumping of close to 1 million shares of Manitowoc Company Inc. was revealed in an SEC filing submitted on February 22, seven days before Trump said he would impose tariffs of 25 percent on steel and 10 percent on aluminum. After Trump’s announcement, shares in Manitowoc dropped by 6 percent, Reuters reported in a piece that describes the company as one of the country’s “major consumers of steel.”
    Doesn't add up. It was announced publically Feb. 16 that the commerce department had decided to recommend to trump to impose the tariffs. And that was at least a few days after Trump had publically announced that he had asked the commerce department for their recommendation.

    I bought my US steel related stocks Feb. 15th based on this same info I heard publically.

  5. #4
    Why single out POTUS friends? This kinda stuff unfortunately not uncommon in politics and other political figures/relatives have faced accusations too.


    SEC dropped probe month after firm aided Kushner company

    By Bob Fredericks
    March 2, 2018

    The revelation came a day after the New York Times reported that Apollo’s loan to the Kushner Cos. followed several meetings at the White House between the finance company’s execs and Kushner.

    I suppose the best case for Kushner is that this looks absolutely terrible,” Rob Weissman, president of Public Citizen, told the AP. “Without presuming that there is any kind of quid pro quo … there are a lot of ways that the fact of Apollo’s engagement with Kushner and the Kushner businesses in a public and private context might cast a shadow over what the SEC is doing and influence consciously or unconsciously how the agency acted.”
    Apollo said in its 2018 annual report that the SEC had halted its inquiry into how the firm reported the financial results of its private equity funds and other costs and personnel changes.
    The firm had previously reported that the SEC under the Obama administration had subpoenaed it for information related to the issue.

    https://nypost.com/2018/03/02/sec-dr...shner-company/

  6. #5
    Zippy. Steel stocks went up after Trump announced the tariffs on imports.

  7. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by William R View Post
    Zippy. Steel stocks went up after Trump announced the tariffs on imports.
    Its talking about stocks in companies that use steel, not make it.

  8. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by William R View Post
    Zippy. Steel stocks went up after Trump announced the tariffs on imports.
    From the OP:

    describes the company as one of the country’s “major consumers of steel.”

  9. #8
    When I ran an automotive exhaust stainless steel plant we used no imported steel . You could be a major user of steel and import fees will have no effect .



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  11. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    When I ran an automotive exhaust stainless steel plant we used no imported steel . You could be a major user of steel and import fees will have no effect .
    Raising the price of imports allows domestic producers to sell their wares at higher prices. It costs you more even if you aren't using imports.

  12. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    When I ran an automotive exhaust stainless steel plant we used no imported steel . You could be a major user of steel and import fees will have no effect .
    Tariffs make the protected domestic industries less efficient (think about the stereotypically lazy Teamster for a labor market analogue).

    In the long term, domestic steel prices will rise as well, or at least drop less than they otherwise would have (failure to adopt innovations, etc).

  13. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Raising the price of imports allows domestic producers to sell their wares at higher prices. It costs you more even if you aren't using imports.
    It would have had no effect because we were owned by domestic steel co and a very large consumer . We could basically establish what we would like to pay and let people meet it .

  14. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by r3volution 3.0 View Post
    Tariffs make the protected domestic industries less efficient (think about the stereotypically lazy Teamster for a labor market analogue).

    In the long term, domestic steel prices will rise as well, or at least drop less than they otherwise would have (failure to adopt innovations, etc).
    Domestic steel prices are only high because of legacy costs of retirement pensions and health ins and american safety requirements that the foreign competition does not have . Foreign competition though has inferior products , so profit margins should have been huge up to now for them .

  15. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by r3volution 3.0 View Post
    Tariffs make the protected domestic industries less efficient (think about the stereotypically lazy Teamster for a labor market analogue).

    In the long term, domestic steel prices will rise as well, or at least drop less than they otherwise would have (failure to adopt innovations, etc).
    "If we allow your neighbor to steal from you it will motivate you to work harder" is not a convincing argument.
    Never attempt to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and annoys the pig.

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    You cannot have liberty without morality and morality without faith

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    Those who fail to learn from the past are condemned to repeat it.
    Those who learn from the past are condemned to watch everybody else repeat it

    A Zero Hedge comment

  16. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by specsaregood View Post
    Icahn’s dumping of close to 1 million shares of Manitowoc Company Inc. was revealed in an SEC filing submitted on February 22
    Doesn't add up. It was announced publically Feb. 16 that the commerce department had decided to recommend to trump to impose the tariffs. And that was at least a few days after Trump had publically announced that he had asked the commerce department for their recommendation.

    I bought my US steel related stocks Feb. 15th based on this same info I heard publically.
    The SEC filing that mentioned Icahn's sale was submitted on Feb. 22.

    The actual sale was on Feb. 12.

    Icahn unloaded his shares of the crane company on Feb.12, days before the Commerce Department released a report recommending the tariffs that Trump later championed.
    http://www.latimes.com/business/la-f...302-story.html

    When did Trump first mention the tariffs? The first mention AFAIK was the statement from Commerce.
    Last edited by r3volution 3.0; 03-02-2018 at 07:54 PM.

  17. #15
    Govt is already responsible for the high cost of doing real business in the US .

  18. #16
    Quote Originally Posted by oyarde View Post
    Domestic steel prices are only high because of legacy costs of retirement pensions and health ins and american safety requirements that the foreign competition does not have . Foreign competition though has inferior products , so profit margins should have been huge up to now for them .
    Yep, and curing that rot should have been the focus, rather than protectionism.



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  20. #17
    Quote Originally Posted by r3volution 3.0 View Post

    When did Trump first mention the tariffs? The first mention AFAIK was the statement from Commerce.
    First alluded to them in December actually. It is bizarre I knew about this and no one in the press seems to remember the news from just a few weeks ago.
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-u...-idUSKBN1ED2VW

    This is a nothing burger. I watched an interview with Icahn before this news came out. When they asked him about Trump, he said that he hasn't spoken to Trump in five months.

    Icahn is basically the most visible market participant on the planet, next to Buffett. There is absolutely no chance whatsoever he made such a visible decision on insider information. This is a witch hunt by morons. I hope I never face a jury in this country. I would not want my fate in the hands of the average person.

  21. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by specsaregood View Post
    I bought my US steel related stocks Feb. 15th based on this same info I heard publically.
    Reported (to the NYT, expect a feature story)
    "He's talkin' to his gut like it's a person!!" -me
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    "When you are divided, and angry, and controlled, you target those 'different' from you, not those responsible [controllers]" -Q

    "Each of us must choose which course of action we should take: education, conventional political action, or even peaceful civil disobedience to bring about necessary changes. But let it not be said that we did nothing." - Ron Paul

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  22. #19
    Quote Originally Posted by Krugminator2 View Post
    First alluded to them in December actually.
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-u...-idUSKBN1ED2VW

    This is a nothing burger. I watched an interview with Icahn before this news came out. When they asked him about Trump, he said that he hasn't spoken to Trump in five months.

    Icahn is basically the most visible market participant on the planet, next to Buffett. There is absolutely no chance whatsoever he made such a visible decision on insider. This is a witch hunt by morons. I hope I never face a jury in this country. I would not want my fate in the hands of the average person.
    Vague talk of tariffs is one thing.

    Talk of specific rates to be implemented in the very near future is another (and, AFAIK, the latter came along only after Icahn's sale).

    Anyway, you're right that Icahn isn't dumb enough to do something for which he could be prosecuted.

    However, that doesn't mean he didn't have inside information (e.g. that the details were soon going to be made public).

  23. #20
    Quote Originally Posted by r3volution 3.0 View Post
    When did Trump first mention the tariffs? The first mention AFAIK was the statement from Commerce.
    I'm not sure but it was before the 16th, he held a meeting announcing that he was asking the commerce department to research the issue, then some time later on the 16th the commerce department announced their recommendations. It might have been an infrastructure meeting.

  24. #21
    Quote Originally Posted by specsaregood View Post
    I'm not sure but it was before the 16th, he held a meeting announcing that he was asking the commerce department to research the issue, then some time later on the 16th the commerce department announced their recommendations. It might have been an infrastructure meeting.
    There was this on the 13th:

    President Trump on Tuesday told lawmakers at the White House that he is considering new tariffs on imported steel and aluminum, warning that the domestic industries are being “decimated” by unfair trade.

    “They are dumping and destroying our industries,” Trump said. “We can’t let that happen.”

    Trump pushed back against several lawmakers who warned him the tariffs could cost U.S. jobs and hurt the broader economy.

    “You may have a higher price, but you have jobs,” Trump said during the nearly hourlong meeting, which included lawmakers from both parties.

    The White House meeting was scheduled as closed to the press, but Trump let reporters remain in the room. That allowed for an unusual public airing of the tensions between Republican lawmakers and the president on trade.
    http://thehill.com/business-a-lobbyi...-steel-tariffs

    If you search Google, you find talk of tariffs before this, but the big headlines seem to have started here.
    Last edited by r3volution 3.0; 03-02-2018 at 08:26 PM.

  25. #22
    It is nice to see the dynamic duo working together.

  26. #23
    Quote Originally Posted by r3volution 3.0 View Post
    Yep, and curing that rot should have been the focus, rather than protectionism.
    Ya , makes no difference to me . Steel costs and stocks are of no matter to me , I dumped all my steel stocks more than 13 yrs ago and I need to purchase nothing . Not something I would have done , but meh

  27. #24
    Quote Originally Posted by r3volution 3.0 View Post

    Vague talk of tariffs is one thing.

    If you search Google, you find talk of tariffs before this, but the big headlines seem to have started here.
    Nothing vague. Had a conversation with my dad about it over Christmas.

    Here is from December 13th in Barron's

    First paragraph. The timeline was already established.

    U.S. Steel’s stock is a bit like the products it sells: heavy and hard to move. Shares are up about 1% this year, and yet the shares might suddenly get red hot on Feb. 16.

    That’s when the U.S. Department of Commerce is expected to finalize a preliminary ruling against Chinese steel makers redirecting steel to Vietnam to circumvent U.S. import laws and sell products without paying import taxes.

    “The ruling brings formal action against Chinese steel producers circumventing duties, such as import taxes, carries punitive implications for buyers of those imports and provides a more favorable macro backdrop for U.S. steel producers,” Shawn Quigg, a JPMorgan derivatives strategist, recently advised clients.


    https://www.barrons.com/articles/a-r...ade-1513191258



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  29. #25
    Quote Originally Posted by dannno View Post
    Reported (to the NYT, expect a feature story)
    Somebody cut Specs out of the times for me . He will be famous . I will need to show the wife .

  30. #26
    I see the $#@!hole Co that bought out my old plant right before I left 13 years ago is up 4 cents on the NYSE today . P / E ratio about a million to 1

  31. #27
    Quote Originally Posted by Krugminator2 View Post
    Nothing vague. Had a conversation with my dad about it over Christmas.

    Here is from December 13th in Barron's

    First paragraph. The timeline was already established.

    https://www.barrons.com/articles/a-r...ade-1513191258
    I don't think an expected ruling by Commerce is the same as the actual statement by Commerce, or by the POTUS.

    Let me put it this way; why are steel tariffs now dominating the news cycle, rather than a couple weeks ago?

  32. #28
    Quote Originally Posted by r3volution 3.0 View Post

    Let me put it this way; why are steel tariffs now dominating the news cycle, rather than a couple weeks ago?

    Potential tariffs aren't interesting. Trump has been bloviating about them for 30 years.

    This just now fits into the reality show. If I had to guess, I would say Icahn was aware of the timeline, just like everyone else. As the announcement date approached he decided to take some risk off just in case something major like tariffs were announced. He sold just part of his stake.

    Let's say Icahn owned a drug company. There was an FDA announcement coming up. He sells part of his position because he doesn't want full exposure if the FDA rejects a drug. The drug then gets rejected. Morons will accuse Icahn of knowing something, when in reality he just managing risk.
    Last edited by Krugminator2; 03-02-2018 at 09:07 PM.

  33. #29
    Quote Originally Posted by Krugminator2 View Post
    Potential tariffs aren't interesting. Trump has been bloviating about them for 30 years.

    This just now fits into the reality show. If I had to guess, I would say Icahn was aware of the timeline, just like everyone else. As the announcement date approached he decided to take some risk off just in case something major like tariffs were announced. He sold just part of his stake.
    Sure, but it's equally plausible that he knew it was going to be a bigger deal than most people (read: investors) were expecting.

    We'll never know.

    Suffice it to say, there's a lot of insider trading by politically connected people, and I wouldn't be at all surprised if that's what this was.

  34. #30
    Quote Originally Posted by r3volution 3.0 View Post
    Sure, but it's equally plausible that he knew it was going to be a bigger deal than most people (read: investors) were expecting.

    We'll never know.

    Suffice it to say, there's a lot of insider trading by politically connected people, and I wouldn't be at all surprised if that's what this was.
    Someone took off his Hillary for prison button.

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