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Thread: Harvey Watch

  1. #1

    Harvey Watch

    48hr landfall. Pin hole eye. Harvey now a Hurricane.




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  3. #2
    900739669066907651
    Last edited by goldenequity; 08-26-2017 at 07:52 PM.

  4. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by goldenequity View Post
    Cat 3 is a good breeze. But it will make a mess.
    Liberty is lost through complacency and a subservient mindset. When we accept or even welcome automobile checkpoints, random searches, mandatory identification cards, and paramilitary police in our streets, we have lost a vital part of our American heritage. America was born of protest, revolution, and mistrust of government. Subservient societies neither maintain nor deserve freedom for long.
    Ron Paul 2004

    Registered Ron Paul supporter # 2202
    It's all about Freedom

  5. #4
    battening down the hatches. My husband is on the rideout team at work so he won't be home with me when it comes through.

  6. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by Carlybee View Post
    battening down the hatches. My husband is on the rideout team at work so he won't be home with me when it comes through.
    Keep us posted Carlybee

    ======

    some updating .gifs 4 U



    http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/avn-animated.gif

    http://weather.unisys.com/satellite/...st_loop-12.gif


    too many... it stalls the thread.
    Last edited by goldenequity; 08-24-2017 at 01:57 PM.

  7. #6

  8. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by Carlybee View Post
    battening down the hatches. My husband is on the rideout team at work so he won't be home with me when it comes through.
    My son is in Galveston. I showed my son how to make a rocket stove so if the electricity goes out he can cook or boil water--etc... Rocket stoves are the best.



    Be safe!
    My website: https://www.theherbsofthefield.com/

    "No one is useless in this world who lightens the burdens of another. ~ Charles Dickens

  9. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by pcosmar View Post
    Cat 3 is a good breeze. But it will make a mess.
    Moving slow too which could mean tons of rain dumped in some areas. Sister is in Corpus Christi.



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  11. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Moving slow too which could mean tons of rain dumped in some areas. Sister is in Corpus Christi.
    Yes, the rainfall is what is going to be remembered. Even when it was expected to be just a tropical storm, the rain was expected to be prolific. Now it's a slow moving, even stalling Cat3 with a giant water and fuel source to feed off right next to where it will stall. This could be one of the worst flooding events of our lifetimes.

  12. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by donnay View Post
    My son is in Galveston. I showed my son how to make a rocket stove so if the electricity goes out he can cook or boil water--etc... Rocket stoves are the best.



    Be safe!

    We have a couple of these if need be. Hope your son does well. Galveston could get some gnarly storm surge.

    Attachment 5841
    Last edited by Carlybee; 08-24-2017 at 09:20 PM.

  13. #11
    From our local weather


    Click image for larger version. 

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  14. #12
    Hope Ron and family are hunkered down, Lake Jackson will get a ton of rain and wind.

  15. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by Anti Federalist View Post
    Hope Ron and family are hunkered down, Lake Jackson will get a ton of rain and wind.
    Yep...parts of Brazoria County are being evacuated.

  16. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by Carlybee View Post
    Yep...parts of Brazoria County are being evacuated.
    Without being too specific, which side of Houston are you on?

  17. #15
    Quote Originally Posted by Anti Federalist View Post
    Without being too specific, which side of Houston are you on?
    I am in the central southwest side near the Galleria area. Basically deep in the heart of.

  18. #16
    Got you all in my prayers.
    My website: https://www.theherbsofthefield.com/

    "No one is useless in this world who lightens the burdens of another. ~ Charles Dickens



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  20. #17
    Got family in Katy and Galveston.

  21. #18
    Anyone that is thinking of putting sandbags on their property hoping to divert the water had better go to the city this morning and get the proper permits.

  22. #19
    Quote Originally Posted by KEEF View Post
    Got family in Katy and Galveston.
    Katy should be okay other than some heavy rain. The west end of Galveston is already getting water over the road. Corpus and surrounding area will get the brunt. We'll get flooding.

  23. #20
    Quote Originally Posted by donnay View Post
    Got you all in my prayers.
    Thanks Donnay

  24. #21
    @William Tell is down in Texas. Hope you all stay safe.
    "The Patriarch"

  25. #22
    Quote Originally Posted by Carlybee View Post
    Katy should be okay other than some heavy rain. The west end of Galveston is already getting water over the road. Corpus and surrounding area will get the brunt. We'll get flooding.
    Thanks, be safe!

  26. #23
    At the NHC 4am update (central time) it was 967 mb.
    Sea level pressure now 953 mb. Gonna need a new term for RI+++

    Cat 3 964-945 mb
    Cat 4 944-920 mb

    Still 19 hours to go before landfall. Oh dear.

    ==========

    HoustonWeatherNerd washingtonian115
    Absolutely NO ONE is telling the Houston area to evacuate. Not one local official.
    In Galveston, yes. It's about an hour and a half minimum from where I am to the coast.
    If we all evacuated it would be 100x worse than Rita. I'm not going through that again.

    =========

    ECMWF from last night showing 20 foot waves on top of a 10-15 foot surge. Yikes. ECMWF wave model data

    ==========


    901075526277890049


    901081863489323010


    900831597250977794
    Last edited by goldenequity; 08-26-2017 at 07:51 PM.

  27. #24
    Quote Originally Posted by donnay View Post
    Got you all in my prayers.
    Same- stay safe everyone!
    There is no spoon.



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  29. #25
    'Worst Case' Double Landfall Model

    Katrina came and went,
    the damage was after landfall when the storm surge started flooding.
    Winds will tear things up and throw projectiles
    but water rising with high tide,
    20+ foot storm surge
    and rainfall of 50+ inches with already saturated ground
    is not salvageable. Let alone twice.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5XMNflJy-UQ

    =========

    CURRENT
    Key Messages:

    1. Harvey is expected to be a major hurricane when it makes landfall
    tonight, bringing life-threatening storm surge, rainfall, and wind
    hazards to portions of the Texas coast. Preparations should be
    rushed to completion in the warning areas as tropical-storm-force
    winds are arriving on the coast, and conditions will continue to
    deteriorate through the rest of today and tonight.

    2. A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for much of the Texas coast.
    Life-threatening storm surge flooding could reach heights of 6 to 12
    feet above ground level at the coast between the north entrance of
    the Padre Island National Seashore and Sargent. For a depiction of
    areas at risk, see the Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic at
    hurricanes.gov. Due to the slow motion of Harvey and a prolonged
    period of onshore flow, water levels will remain elevated for
    several days.

    3. Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding is expected across the
    middle and upper Texas coast from heavy rainfall of 15 to 25 inches,
    with isolated amounts as high as 35 inches, through Wednesday.
    Please refer to products from your local National Weather Service
    office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for more information
    on the flooding hazard.

    4. The Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map is available on the NHC
    website. This product depicts a reasonable worst-case scenario -
    the amount of inundation that has a 10 percent chance of being
    exceeded at each individual location. This map best represents
    the flooding potential in those locations within the watch and
    warning areas.

    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 25/1500Z 26.7N 96.0W 95 KT 110 MPH
    12H 26/0000Z 27.6N 96.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
    24H 26/1200Z 28.4N 97.3W 90 KT 105 MPH...INLAND
    36H 27/0000Z 28.8N 97.5W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND
    48H 27/1200Z 28.9N 97.6W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
    72H 28/1200Z 28.3N 96.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
    96H 29/1200Z 28.5N 95.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER WATER
    120H 30/1200Z 30.0N 94.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
    Last edited by goldenequity; 08-26-2017 at 07:48 PM.

  30. #26
    Since we haven't had a major hurricane make US landfall in 12 years, do we still have to listen to the god damned global warming alarmists after this one hits?
    There are only two things we should fight for. One is the defense of our homes and the other is the Bill of Rights. War for any other reason is simply a racket.
    -Major General Smedley Butler, USMC,
    Two-Time Congressional Medal of Honor Winner
    Author of, War is a Racket!

    It is not that I am mad, it is only that my head is different from yours.
    - Diogenes of Sinope

  31. #27
    Quote Originally Posted by jllundqu View Post
    Since we haven't had a major hurricane make US landfall in 12 years, do we still have to listen to the god damned global warming alarmists after this one hits?
    I tried to watch some Weather Channel earlier.

    Impossible.

    They are spun up and out of control.

    This severe weather over-reaction has just gotten insane, just like everything else in AmeriKa anymore. That's the only storm I'm concerned about, the vast, swirling, Cat5 storm of retardation.

    Yeah, it's a bad storm, gonna cause a lot of damage.

    It is not the Apocalypse nor an earth ending, mass extinction event.

  32. #28
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Moving slow too which could mean tons of rain dumped in some areas. Sister is in Corpus Christi.
    I hope she and others in Harvey's way have what they need and stay safe.

    Quote Originally Posted by jllundqu View Post
    Since we haven't had a major hurricane make US landfall in 12 years, do we still have to listen to the god damned global warming alarmists after this one hits?
    You're supposed to believe carbon in the atmosphere change deep currents, not the other way around, and Gawd forbid the sun exerts more influence over climate change than cow farts. Come to think of it, I haven't seen any protests against the sun's capricious and patriarchal dominance over us.
    Last edited by Raginfridus; 08-25-2017 at 11:15 AM.

  33. #29
    Last edited by goldenequity; 08-26-2017 at 07:49 PM.

  34. #30

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