Further isolation of Venezuela, or a sovereign default,
could easily push the country further toward the embrace of Moscow.
Rosneft Oil Co. PJSC, Russia's national oil company, loaned money to PdVSA last year
collateralized with a 49.9 percent stake in
Citgo Petroleum Corp.,
the U.S. refining and marketing business owned by the Venezuelan oil company.
Rosneft is now said to be negotiating swapping that collateral
1. for stakes in Venezuelan reserves and
2. a fuel-supply agreement instead. (Venezuela refineries are a mess/breakdowns/maintenance)
Swapping valuable downstream assets on U.S. soil for reserves under Venezuelan soil
wouldn't look terribly rational from a purely economic point of view.
So if this were to happen, the rationales could range from
1. an expectation on Rosneft's part that U.S. sanctions against Russia, and national security considerations,
might stymie any chance of actually taking possession of a Citgo stake
2. to a desire to further cement Russian influence in Venezuela on the ground.
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