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Thread: Interesting Chart

  1. #31

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    Housing Recovery False Alarm - Starts, Permits Plunge In July As Rental Units Collapse


    by Tyler Durden 8/16/2017


    Following June's huge surprise jumps in Housing Starts (revised lower) and Building Permits (revised notably higher), July saw both starts and permits plunge (-4.8% and -4.1% respectively) dramatically missing expectations. The majority of the plunge is driven by multi-family starts crashing 35.2% YoY to its lowest since Sept 2016.


    Permits' 7.4% June surge was revised up to a 9.2% spike (the biggest since Nov 2015) before July's plunge.


    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-0...units-collapse



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  3. #32

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    Goldman Sachs Says That There Is A 99 Percent Chance That Stock Prices Will Not Keep Going Up Like This
    By Michael Snyder, on July 31st, 2017


    – North Korea is threatening to nuke the US
    – Donald Trump is firing his entire cabinet
    – The Federal Reserve has dropped interest rates to record lows and drowned the world in trillions of dollars of cash
    – Debt levels are at record highs
    – Entire banking systems, especially in Europe, are in need of massive bailouts
    – The US government will run out of money in less than 90-days and hit the debt ceiling once again




    http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/a...g-up-like-this
    Last edited by katsung47; 09-04-2017 at 01:50 PM.

  4. #33

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    Quote Originally Posted by katsung47 View Post
    Goldman Sachs Says That There Is A 99 Percent Chance That Stock Prices Will Not Keep Going Up Like This
    By Michael Snyder, on July 31st, 2017


    – North Korea is threatening to nuke the US
    – Donald Trump is firing his entire cabinet
    – The Federal Reserve has dropped interest rates to record lows and drowned the world in trillions of dollars of cash
    – Debt levels are at record highs
    – Entire banking systems, especially in Europe, are in need of massive bailouts
    – The US government will run out of money in less than 90-days and hit the debt ceiling once again
    But other than that what's the problem?

  5. #34

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    Quote Originally Posted by Madison320 View Post
    But other than that what's the problem?
    If the market isn't going down on news of a potential nuclear war, perhaps that is telling you something.

    You gave me an excuse to rewatch this. http://documentaryvine.com/video/tra...e-documentary/ password is view
    watch the 10:00 mark for a possible answer.

  6. #35

  7. #36

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    Quote Originally Posted by Krugminator2 View Post
    If the market isn't going down on news of a potential nuclear war, perhaps that is telling you something.

    You gave me an excuse to rewatch this. http://documentaryvine.com/video/tra...e-documentary/ password is view
    watch the 10:00 mark for a possible answer.
    It tells me the algos are programmed to ignore such headlines. That is what passes as a "market" these days.
    "Let it not be said that we did nothing." - Ron Paul

    The entire internet is the domain of paid shills and bots. If you don't know this by now....

    Israel, under control of the Crown and, ultimately, the Vatican, own the USA. If you don't know this by now....

    Talk to people about liberty. You won't find it on websites, you won't find it in politicians.

    Visiting the Outer Banks of NC?
    Outer Banks Fishing Boat Rentals

  8. #37

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    Quote Originally Posted by Madison320 View Post
    But other than that what's the problem?
    De-Dollarization Accelerates: China Readies Yuan-Priced Crude Oil Benchmark Backed By Gold


    by Tyler Durden
    Sep 3, 2017


    The world’s top oil importer, China, is preparing to launch a crude oil futures contract denominated in Chinese yuan and convertible into gold, potentially creating the most important Asian oil benchmark and allowing oil exporters to bypass U.S.-dollar denominated benchmarks by trading in yuan, Nikkei Asian Review




    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-0...mark-backed-go

  9. #38

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    Venezuela's Maduro says will shun U.S. dollar in favor of yuan, others


    Reuters Reuters•September 7, 2017
    By Deisy Buitrago and Corina Pons


    CARACAS (Reuters) - Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro said on Thursday hiscash-strapped country would seek to "free" itself from the U.S. dollar next week, using the weakest of two official foreign exchange regimes and a basket of currencies




    https://www.yahoo.com/news/venezuela...035002321.html

  10. #39

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    PostSubject: "This Is Most Worrying": In One Year, Central Bank Liquidity Will Collapse From $2 Trillion To Zero Today at 12:25 pm




    Is it complacency, or simply trader paralysis?


    A question we first asked three months ago is getting a second wind this morning, when in a report by Deutsche Bank's Alan Ruskin - "Vol: freeze or flight?" - the macro strategist points out that "the new 2017 Nobel laureate for Economics is not the only one at a loss to explain low stock market volatility, and thinks investors are in ‘freeze mode’ in the midst of global uncertainties."
    According to Ruskin, however, it's all about to change.


    But why? And what is "the most likely causes of a shift to ‘flight mode’ and a rise in volatility? Here’s one possibility: by the end of next year, the combined expansion of all the major Central Bank balance sheets will have collapsed from a 12 month growth rate of $2 trillion per annum to zero."


    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-1...-trillion-zero

  11. #40

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    Quote Originally Posted by katsung47 View Post
    PostSubject: "This Is Most Worrying": In One Year, Central Bank Liquidity Will Collapse From $2 Trillion To Zero Today at 12:25 pm




    Is it complacency, or simply trader paralysis?


    A question we first asked three months ago is getting a second wind this morning, when in a report by Deutsche Bank's Alan Ruskin - "Vol: freeze or flight?" - the macro strategist points out that "the new 2017 Nobel laureate for Economics is not the only one at a loss to explain low stock market volatility, and thinks investors are in ‘freeze mode’ in the midst of global uncertainties."
    According to Ruskin, however, it's all about to change.


    But why? And what is "the most likely causes of a shift to ‘flight mode’ and a rise in volatility? Here’s one possibility: by the end of next year, the combined expansion of all the major Central Bank balance sheets will have collapsed from a 12 month growth rate of $2 trillion per annum to zero."


    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-1...-trillion-zero
    US went to zero increase in their balance sheet in 2014 and the economy didn't collapse.

    Value of all stocks, bonds, and financial assets in 2015 was about $300 trillion so $2 trillion is less than one percent. http://www.businessinsider.com/globa...-assets-2015-2

    Last edited by Zippyjuan; 10-13-2017 at 04:16 PM.
    "The only thing we have to fear is.... fear itself!" Franklin Delano Roosevelt.
    "Be afwaid. Be berry afwaid" Donald Trump.

    The optimists built this country and made it great- not the fearful. Fear can only destroy.

    I am Zippy and I approve of this post. But you don't have to.

  12. #41

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    Quote Originally Posted by Krugminator2 View Post
    Definitely has a feel that the market will correct 20-50% at some point during Trump's Presidency.
    It occurred to me recently that the longer a bubble inflates, the more people believe it can't pop. Despite the fact that obviously the opposite must be true.

    Same thing with recessions. The longer we go without one, the more people believe we won't get one anytime soon.

  13. #42

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    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    US went to zero increase in their balance sheet in 2014 and the economy didn't collapse.
    They created new QE to print money to buy real estate bonds to save the market. Can they do samething this time? To buy in stock?

    Peter Schiff Warns Of "Calm Before The Storm"


    by Tyler Durden
    Oct 20, 2017



    But interest rates are now at just 1.25%. If the stock market were again to drop in such a manner, the Fed has far less fire power to bring to bear. It could cut rates to zero and then re-launch another round of QE bond buying to flood the financial sector with liquidity. But that may not be nearly as effective as it was in 2008. Given that the big problem at that point was bad mortgage debt, the QE program’s purchase of mortgage bonds was a fairly effective solution (although we believe a misguided one). But propping up overvalued stocks, many of which have nothing to do with the financial sector, is a far more difficult challenge. The Fed may have to buy stocks on the open market, a tactic that has been used by the Bank of Japan.


    It should be clear to anyone that since the 1990s the Fed has inflated three stock market bubbles. As each of the prior two popped, the Fed inflated larger ones to mitigate the damage. The tendency to cushion the downside and to then provide enough extra liquidity to send stock prices back to new highs seems to have emboldened investors to downplay the risks and focus on the potential gains. This has been particularly true given that the Fed’s low interest rate policies have caused traditionally conservative bond investors to seek higher returns in stocks. Without the Fed’s safety net, many of these investors perhaps would not be willing to walk this high wire.


    But investors may be over-estimating the Fed's ability to blow up another bubble if the current one pops. Since this one is so large, the amount of stimulus required to inflate a larger one may produce the monetary equivalent of an overdose. It may be impossible to revive the markets without killing the dollar in the process. The currency crisis the Fed might unleash might prove more destructive to the economy than the repeat financial crisis it's hoping to avoid.


    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-1...rns-calm-storm
    Last edited by katsung47; 10-24-2017 at 04:42 PM.

  14. #43

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    The Fed is banned by law from owning stocks. Congress would have to change that law.


    It should be clear to anyone that since the 1990s the Fed has inflated three stock market bubbles.
    But was the Fed feeding stock market bubbles during those times? Were they adding liquidity by lowering interest rates? Chart shows rising PE Ratios from 1991 to 2000. What was the Fed doing with their Federal Funds Rate? https://www.thebalance.com/fed-funds...s-lows-3306135

    1991 the Fed Funds Rate was 4.0%. It did go down to 3.0% by 1992 but then the Fed started raising the rates again. By 2000 it was up to 6.5%- more than doubling. Is that feeding a stock bubble- by increasing rates (which tightens the supply of money)?

    Next bubble starting in 2003. Fed Funds rate 1.0%. It was raised every year yet stocks rose again. By the peak (January, 2007) rates were up to 5.25%- over five times higher. . Again, interest rates soaring yet stocks were too.
    Last edited by Zippyjuan; 10-25-2017 at 12:38 PM.
    "The only thing we have to fear is.... fear itself!" Franklin Delano Roosevelt.
    "Be afwaid. Be berry afwaid" Donald Trump.

    The optimists built this country and made it great- not the fearful. Fear can only destroy.

    I am Zippy and I approve of this post. But you don't have to.

  15. #44

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    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    The Fed is banned by law from owning stocks. Congress would have to change that law.
    Luckily, the Fed has a shell holding company and clearinghouse called Cede & Co, so they don't violate the letter of the law.
    "Let it not be said that we did nothing." - Ron Paul

    The entire internet is the domain of paid shills and bots. If you don't know this by now....

    Israel, under control of the Crown and, ultimately, the Vatican, own the USA. If you don't know this by now....

    Talk to people about liberty. You won't find it on websites, you won't find it in politicians.

    Visiting the Outer Banks of NC?
    Outer Banks Fishing Boat Rentals

  16. #45

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    China-Like Wages Now Part Of U.S. Employment Boom



    AUG 4, 2017 Kenneth Rapoza ,


    Starting pay at the Amazon warehouse, carved out of a large lot with a new road called Innovation Way designed for Amazon-bound trucks, is at $12.75, no degree required. For junior inventory clerks with warehousing experience, the pay is $14.70 an hour and requires a bachelor's degree. Operations managers are full time salaried positions that can pay upwards of six figures, a huge salary in southern Massachusetts.


    Here's the math: a 30 hour work week at $15 an hour is $450 per week gross, or $1,800 a month. That comes out to less than $22,000 a year. At 40 hours, Amazon warehouse full timers, outside of management level employees, are earning $28,800 before taxes.


    https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapo.../#14aee229128a

  17. #46

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    bump

    11/9=9/11
    "Let it not be said that we did nothing." - Ron Paul

    The entire internet is the domain of paid shills and bots. If you don't know this by now....

    Israel, under control of the Crown and, ultimately, the Vatican, own the USA. If you don't know this by now....

    Talk to people about liberty. You won't find it on websites, you won't find it in politicians.

    Visiting the Outer Banks of NC?
    Outer Banks Fishing Boat Rentals

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