9/14-9/16 KY Senate Poll

[Lucille]

https://www.lewrockwell.com/politica...y-senate-poll/

U.S. Senate Race Poll Results:
Paul – 32.6%
Gray – 25.3%
Undecided – 42.1%

That is a lot of undecided v*ters.

Unlike the August poll, the most recent survey included candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein in the Presidential race and allowed prospective voters to select “I don’t know” in the US Senate race.

[Lovecraftian4Paul]

Trash poll with that many undecided. I want to believe Rand is comfortably ahead.

[jct74]

Those numbers would definitely be concerning if accurate. But I also noticed that this poll was barely picked up in the media. If it was a real reputable poll, Courier-Journal, Herald-Leader, and all those other news organizations that hate Rand would have been all over this.

[Krugminator2]

Those numbers would definitely be concerning if accurate. But I also noticed that this poll was barely picked up in the media. If it was a real reputable poll, Courier-Journal, Herald-Leader, and all those other news organizations that hate Rand would have been all over this.

Predictit has Rand at a 94% chance of being reelected. https://www.predictit.org/browse/cat...6/us-elections

Predictwise has him at 95% http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-congress-senate
Cook Political Report has KY Senate a Solid R http://cookpolitical.com/senate/charts/race-ratings
Rothenberg Safe R http://rothenberggonzales.com/ratings/senate
Sabato Safe R http://www.centerforpolitics.org/cry...l/2016-senate/

Rand seems to have run a good campaign and he has plenty of money on hand. Nothing is for certain. It looks a Trump implosion and the coal miners bailout are the two biggest hurdles.

[eleganz]

538 has Rand at well over 70% chance to win and they tend to be the more accurate forecasters.

On top of that, Trumps numbers are good because Rand has been toasting Hillary all over the campaign trail. Trump and Rand are good for each other in KY in terms of the overall race.

[Krugminator2]

538 has Rand at well over 70% chance to win and they tend to be the more accurate forecasters.

On top of that, Trumps numbers are good because Rand has been toasting Hillary all over the campaign trail. Trump and Rand are good for each other in KY in terms of the overall race.

To be clear, they have him at 89%. If he were near 70% that would be bad. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...nate/kentucky/

[eleganz]

To be clear, they have him at 89%. If he were near 70% that would be bad. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...nate/kentucky/

Sounds about right, I was listening to their podcast at the gym about a month ago and thats probably where I got that figure. Im glad its so high now though.

[Jesse James]

if Rand somehow doesn't win I will lose all hope for the world

[juleswin]

When it comes to Rand, I think Lewrockwell should be considered a biased source. I believe you would find a more accurate assessment of Rand Paul's senate chance of reelection from the Rachel Maddow than from Lewrockwell. I have to say there is no love lost between those two and I am talking about Lew Rockwell not Rachel Maddow.

[Jesse James]

When it comes to Rand, I think Lewrockwell should be considered a biased source. I believe you would find a more accurate assessment of Rand Paul's senate chance of reelection from the Rachel Maddow than from Lewrockwell. I have to say there is no love lost between those two and I am talking about Lew Rockwell not Rachel Maddow.

538 has him at 89% chance of winning

[juleswin]

538 has him at 89% chance of winning

Oh no, I am not at all worried about the negative Nancys at Lewrockwell.com. They have a huge axe to grind when it comes to Rand and I put that into consideration when reading the site. If Rand was really in trouble, other reputable sites that hate Rand would report it before Lewrockwell has the chance to do it, after all the site is mainly filled with articles(more like posts) cut and paste from other mainstream sources and this is especially true when Lew Rockwell is the author.