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Thread: General Election Predictions - August 10 Edition

  1. #1

    Default General Election Predictions - August 10 Edition

    What will the election results map look like on the morning of November 9th?

    We'll do this periodically until the election.

    You may wish to use the RCP map-making tool.

    Here's my prediction:

    Last edited by r3volution 3.0; 08-10-2016 at 06:26 PM.
    "Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard." - H. L. Mencken



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  3. #2

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    I dont think that there will be any curtailing of Donald Trump as president, he said. "He controls the media, he controls the sentiment [and] he controls everybody. Hes the one who will resort to executive orders more so than [President] Obama ever used them." - Ron Paul

  4. #3

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    For perspective:


    https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/...00973331456000
    I dont think that there will be any curtailing of Donald Trump as president, he said. "He controls the media, he controls the sentiment [and] he controls everybody. Hes the one who will resort to executive orders more so than [President] Obama ever used them." - Ron Paul

  5. #4

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    Clinton by double digits in popular vote and a landslide in the electoral college. Trump will lose worse than Goldwater.

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    Unfortunately I have to that unless Hillary is hit with something major, or fails hard in the last debate she will win with 273 votes.

  7. #6

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    Quote Originally Posted by CPUd View Post
    For perspective:


    https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/...00973331456000
    This is my exact map.

  8. #7

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    297 to 241 Trump. But who knows by election time.....anything goes
    "Liberty lies in the hearts of men and women; when it dies there, no constitution, no law, no court can save it; no constitution, no law, no court can even do much to help it."
    James Madison

    "It does not take a majority to prevail ... but rather an irate, tireless minority, keen on setting brushfires of freedom in the minds of men." - Samuel Adams



    Μολὼν λάβε
    Dum Spiro, Pugno
    Tu ne cede malis sed contra audentior ito

  9. #8

  10. #9

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    Quote Originally Posted by puppetmaster View Post
    297 to 241 Trump. But who knows by election time.....anything goes
    I'd be most curious to see how that works state-by-state.
    "Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard." - H. L. Mencken

  11. #10

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    This map is slightly inaccurate because it offers no ability to split the electoral vote in Maine. Final tally will actually be 291-247. This assumes no major October surprise scandal for Hillary. If Putin unveils the emails, Trump breaks 300.

  12. #11

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    I agree with the post above, except for NV and UT, Hillary will carry NV, Johnson Utah.

  13. #12

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    Quote Originally Posted by 69360 View Post
    Clinton by double digits in popular vote and a landslide in the electoral college. Trump will lose worse than Goldwater.
    Second.
    "I am a bird"

  14. #13

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    I predict that on the morning of November 9th, the election results map will look like "we are so screwed."

    I have no particular graphical illustration to offer in regard to this prediction. Just a general feeling ...
    "A free man must be able to endure it when his fellow men act and live otherwise than he considers proper. He must free himself from the habit, just as soon as something does not please him, of calling for the police." -- Ludwig von Mises, Liberalism (p. 55)

    "The evil that a man inflicts on his fellow man injures both - not only the one to whom it is done, but also the one who does it. Nothing corrupts a man so much as being an arm of the law and making men suffer. The lot of the subject is anxiety, a spirit of servility and fawning adulation; but the pharisaical self-righteousness, conceit, and arrogance of the master are no better. [...] The criminal has incurred the penalties of the law, but not the hate and sadism of the judge, the policeman, and the ever lynch-thirsty mob." -- Ludwig von Mises, Liberalism (p. 58) [bold emphasis added]

  15. #14

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    what if: Trump loses PA, bringing him down to 269.Hillary also 269. ? goes to house and senate (for VP)

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    Trump may be lucky to get 40% of the vote.

  17. #16

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    Quote Originally Posted by Occam's Banana View Post
    I predict that on the morning of November 9th, the election results map will look like "we are so screwed."

    I have no particular graphical illustration to offer in regard to this prediction. Just a general feeling ...
    I predicted this in 1958.
    Quote Originally Posted by misterx View Post
    Yeah, I like cops. They keep the streets safe. Get over it.

    Quote Originally Posted by dannno View Post
    The Fed is NOT safe from audit, Trump has said he wants to audit the fed and we may have some bills coming up soon.

    Trump is helping Rand pass his healthcare plan, if you think Trump actually supported RyanCare then you are foolish and you need to go read the threads where I addressed this topic. Rand was talking to Trump 2-3 times a week, and Rand told Trump straight up it wasn't going to pass, it didn't have the votes. Trump knew it wasn't going to pass, so he supported it to make sure it was all Paul Ryan's failure and none of it could be blamed on him. Trump hates Paul Ryan.

    Trump is going to help save Syria, with Russia's help.
    Quote Originally Posted by Mordan View Post
    It is not about brainwashing. You can support Trump for practical reasons. I think Danno is right about the Syria missile strikes helping Trump politically in the US. The media stopped talking about the sickening russian narrative. Proof again it was just a hoax to manipulate the public opinion.

    Trump made a good call as a politician. Libertarian souls can bitch all they want about principles and being conned. Trump is going to disappointed again. I have enough hairchest.

    Just answer the question. Which game is Trump playing?

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    I just want objectivity on this forum and will point out flawed sources or points of view at my leisure.

    Quote Originally Posted by Spudea on 04/20/16
    There won't be a contested convention

  19. #18

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    Trump 289, Clinton 243, Johnson takes Utah. Based on the energized vote/change turnout and monster wave analysis discussed elsewhere, Trump is estimated to win the popular vote by about 5 million votes or more. Polling only reflects stated preference, not the degree of intent to bother to vote. Basically, anywhere Hillary leads by 5 points or less, means Trump will likely win by 1-2 points or more, when the energized turnout factor is accounted for:

    -----Peace & Freedom, John Clifton-----
    Blog: https://electclifton.wordpress.com/2...n-world-war-3/

  20. #19

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    Quote Originally Posted by Peace&Freedom View Post
    Trump 289, Clinton 243, Johnson takes Utah. Based on the energized vote/change turnout and monster wave analysis discussed elsewhere, Trump is estimated to win the popular vote by about 5 million votes or more. Polling only reflects stated preference, not the degree of intent to bother to vote. Basically, anywhere Hillary leads by 5 points or less, means Trump will likely win by 1-2 points or more, when the energized turnout factor is accounted for:

    Just like the 1948 election with Truman, Trump can win solely based on the monster vote. Economic conditions are so abysmal in the Midwest and rust belt, that he will likely outperform there. I'm not so certain the east coast understands the gravity of the economy, so Trump's message could be less effective.
    Force the normies into taking sides. At the moment they are just like "meh, I am minding my own business" retreating culturally into their private bubbles and "safe-spaces" since they don't understand what is going on. When the actual "us vs them" starts, they will be forced to fight or they'll die. - Anonymous Poster

  21. #20

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    Quote Originally Posted by r3volution 3.0 View Post

    Here's my prediction:



    Quote Originally Posted by CPUd View Post


    No big deal, media neocons propaganda and manipulation campaign was not very easy to spot.






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