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Thread: General Election Predictions - August 10 Edition

  1. #1

    Default General Election Predictions - August 10 Edition

    What will the election results map look like on the morning of November 9th?

    We'll do this periodically until the election.

    You may wish to use the RCP map-making tool.

    Here's my prediction:

    Last edited by r3volution 3.0; 08-10-2016 at 06:26 PM.
    "The program of liberalism, ...if condensed into a single word, would have to read: property..."

    -Ludwig von Mises

    "Patriotism, not nationalism, should inspire the citizen. The ethnic nationalist who wants a linguistically and culturally uniform nation is akin to the racist who is intolerant toward those who look (and behave) differently. The patriot is a "diversitarian"; he is pleased, indeed proud of the variety within the borders of his country; he looks for loyalty from all citizens. And he looks up and down, not left and right."

    -Erik Maria Ritter von Kuehnelt-Leddihn

    "The monarch is a responsible person. The fact that a monarch is responsible "to God alone," rather than to an assembly or a popular majority, is rather shocking to an agnostic mind; but while God cannot be fooled, the masses can. While it is perhaps true that "one cannot fool all the people all the time," it seems one can fool millions for centuries."

    -Ibid.



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  3. #2

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    “I don’t think that there will be any curtailing of Donald Trump as president,” he said. "He controls the media, he controls the sentiment [and] he controls everybody. He’s the one who will resort to executive orders more so than [President] Obama ever used them." - Ron Paul

  4. #3

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    For perspective:


    https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/...00973331456000
    “I don’t think that there will be any curtailing of Donald Trump as president,” he said. "He controls the media, he controls the sentiment [and] he controls everybody. He’s the one who will resort to executive orders more so than [President] Obama ever used them." - Ron Paul

  5. #4

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    Clinton by double digits in popular vote and a landslide in the electoral college. Trump will lose worse than Goldwater.

  6. #5

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    Unfortunately I have to that unless Hillary is hit with something major, or fails hard in the last debate she will win with 273 votes.

  7. #6

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    Quote Originally Posted by CPUd View Post
    For perspective:


    https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/...00973331456000
    This is my exact map.

  8. #7

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    297 to 241 Trump. But who knows by election time.....anything goes
    "Liberty lies in the hearts of men and women; when it dies there, no constitution, no law, no court can save it; no constitution, no law, no court can even do much to help it."
    James Madison

    "It does not take a majority to prevail ... but rather an irate, tireless minority, keen on setting brushfires of freedom in the minds of men." - Samuel Adams



    Μολὼν λάβε
    Dum Spiro, Pugno
    Tu ne cede malis sed contra audentior ito

  9. #8

  10. #9

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    Quote Originally Posted by puppetmaster View Post
    297 to 241 Trump. But who knows by election time.....anything goes
    I'd be most curious to see how that works state-by-state.
    "The program of liberalism, ...if condensed into a single word, would have to read: property..."

    -Ludwig von Mises

    "Patriotism, not nationalism, should inspire the citizen. The ethnic nationalist who wants a linguistically and culturally uniform nation is akin to the racist who is intolerant toward those who look (and behave) differently. The patriot is a "diversitarian"; he is pleased, indeed proud of the variety within the borders of his country; he looks for loyalty from all citizens. And he looks up and down, not left and right."

    -Erik Maria Ritter von Kuehnelt-Leddihn

    "The monarch is a responsible person. The fact that a monarch is responsible "to God alone," rather than to an assembly or a popular majority, is rather shocking to an agnostic mind; but while God cannot be fooled, the masses can. While it is perhaps true that "one cannot fool all the people all the time," it seems one can fool millions for centuries."

    -Ibid.

  11. #10

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    This map is slightly inaccurate because it offers no ability to split the electoral vote in Maine. Final tally will actually be 291-247. This assumes no major October surprise scandal for Hillary. If Putin unveils the emails, Trump breaks 300.

  12. #11

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    I agree with the post above, except for NV and UT, Hillary will carry NV, Johnson Utah.

  13. #12

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    Quote Originally Posted by 69360 View Post
    Clinton by double digits in popular vote and a landslide in the electoral college. Trump will lose worse than Goldwater.
    Second.
    "I am a bird"

  14. #13

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    I predict that on the morning of November 9th, the election results map will look like "we are so screwed."

    I have no particular graphical illustration to offer in regard to this prediction. Just a general feeling ...

  15. #14

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    what if: Trump loses PA, bringing him down to 269.Hillary also 269. ? goes to house and senate (for VP)

  16. #15

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    Trump may be lucky to get 40% of the vote.

  17. #16

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    Quote Originally Posted by Occam's Banana View Post
    I predict that on the morning of November 9th, the election results map will look like "we are so screwed."

    I have no particular graphical illustration to offer in regard to this prediction. Just a general feeling ...
    I predicted this in 1958.
    Last edited by Natural Citizen;

    Quote Originally Posted by r3volution 3.0 View Post
    That's right.

    ...not something we 2nd amendment supporters want to hear, but right.

    The idea that the 'oi polloi should have the same weaponry as the army is quite insane.

    ...a relic of well intended but irrational Enlightenment thinking about the nature of the people (can't work against their own interests, etc).

    The people should be armed so as to defend themselves from criminals, not so as to overthrow the government,

  18. #17
    I just want objectivity on this forum and will point out flawed sources or points of view at my leisure.

    Quote Originally Posted by spudea on 04/20/16
    There won't be a contested convention
    Quote Originally Posted by spudea on 05/30/17
    The shooting of Gabrielle Gifford was blamed on putting a crosshair on a political map. I wonder what event we'll see justified with pictures like this.

  19. #18

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    Trump 289, Clinton 243, Johnson takes Utah. Based on the energized vote/change turnout and monster wave analysis discussed elsewhere, Trump is estimated to win the popular vote by about 5 million votes or more. Polling only reflects stated preference, not the degree of intent to bother to vote. Basically, anywhere Hillary leads by 5 points or less, means Trump will likely win by 1-2 points or more, when the energized turnout factor is accounted for:

    -----Peace & Freedom, John Clifton-----
    Blog: https://electclifton.wordpress.com/2...iberty-action/

  20. #19

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    Quote Originally Posted by Peace&Freedom View Post
    Trump 289, Clinton 243, Johnson takes Utah. Based on the energized vote/change turnout and monster wave analysis discussed elsewhere, Trump is estimated to win the popular vote by about 5 million votes or more. Polling only reflects stated preference, not the degree of intent to bother to vote. Basically, anywhere Hillary leads by 5 points or less, means Trump will likely win by 1-2 points or more, when the energized turnout factor is accounted for:

    Just like the 1948 election with Truman, Trump can win solely based on the monster vote. Economic conditions are so abysmal in the Midwest and rust belt, that he will likely outperform there. I'm not so certain the east coast understands the gravity of the economy, so Trump's message could be less effective.
    “Force the normies into taking sides. At the moment they are just like "meh, I am minding my own business" retreating culturally into their private bubbles and "safe-spaces" since they don't understand what is going on. When the actual "us vs them" starts, they will be forced to fight or they'll die.” - Anonymous Poster

  21. #20

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    Quote Originally Posted by r3volution 3.0 View Post

    Here's my prediction:



    Quote Originally Posted by CPUd View Post


    No big deal, media neocons propaganda and manipulation campaign was not very easy to spot.






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