Clinton Landslide poll: ABC/WaPo has party ID at Democrat+12

[Petar]

The polls are correct about his performance. I am paying attention to the polling.

The purpose of a poll is to help anticipate an outcome.

Being that all available evidence shows that you are unable to predict an accurate outcome - through the way that you choose to interpret polls - then why do you continue to spread what likely amounts to a giant pile of misinformation?

Are you intentionally trying to confuse people when it comes to anticipating how he will perform?

If you are not trying to confuse people, then why don't you start taking the opinions of people who actually have credibility on the subject into account?

Your behaviour is not consistent with the actions of someone who is acting in a sincere manner.

[CPUd]

The purpose of a poll is to help anticipate an outcome.

Being that all available evidence shows that you are unable to predict an accurate outcome - through the way that you choose to interpret polls - then why do you continue to spread what likely amounts to a giant pile of misinformation?

Are you intentionally trying to confuse people when it comes to anticipating how he will perform?

If you are not trying to confuse people, then why don't you start taking the opinions of people who actually have credibility on the subject into account?

Your behaviour is not consistent with the actions of someone who is acting in a sincere manner.

It's pretty clear how he will perform, based on current polling and fundraising. If the numbers start to change, it may require reevaluation, but all evidence so far shows he will fail hard.

[Petar]

It's pretty clear how he will perform, based on current polling and fundraising. If the numbers start to change, it may require reevaluation, but all evidence so far shows he will fail hard.

Given that the way that you chose to interpret the primary polls was proven to be a failure, what makes you believe that you have any credibility this time around?

[BamaAla]

A national poll of 836 registered voters before the conventions is as useless as tits on a boar hog. At this point, the only polling that is even remotely useful is in the important states and that is still extremely premature. Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Colorado, and Virginia are fairly tight; that is where the hay will be made.

[CPUd]

Given that the way that you chose to interpret the primary polls was proven to be a failure, what makes you believe that you have any credibility this time around?

The primary polling was proven once the voting started. While it was competitive, Trump was losing most of the closed contests and winning in solid Dem states, just as I (and everyone else paying attention to the polling) said he would.

[Petar]

The primary polling was proven once the voting started. While it was competitive, Trump was losing most of the closed contests and winning in solid Dem states, just as I (and everyone else paying attention to the polling) said he would.

All you did was post polls/arguments to combat the idea that Trump was going to win.

I was able to anticipate that as far back as September.

Why do you refuse to take the opinions of people with actual credibility into consideration with the way that you choose to interpret polls?

[CPUd]

All you did was post polls/arguments to combat the idea that Trump was going to win.

I was able to anticipate that as far back as September.

Why do you refuse to take the opinions of people with actual credibility into consideration with the way that you choose to interpret polls?

I can't tell candidates like Cruz or Rubio how to run their campaigns, if they ignore what the polls are showing them and get beat, it's on them.

[CPUd]

A national poll of 836 registered voters before the conventions is as useless as tits on a boar hog. At this point, the only polling that is even remotely useful is in the important states and that is still extremely premature. Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Colorado, and Virginia are fairly tight; that is where the hay will be made.

He should be doing better than this in FL:



At this rate, TX will be a swing state by November, along with NC, UT, KS, MO, AZ.

UT Poll: Trump Leads Clinton by 8 in Texas

[Petar]

I can't tell candidates like Cruz or Rubio how to run their campaigns, if they ignore what the polls are showing them and get beat, it's on them.

You are the one who was anticipating a Trump loss.

If you are unable to admit that you are bad at anticipating whether Trump will win or lose, then that is on you.

Why don't you start listening to people that are actually good at anticipating whether Trump is going to win or lose?

Don't you want to promote realistic expectations?

[CPUd]

You are the one who was anticipating a Trump loss.

If you are unable to admit that you are bad at anticipating whether Trump will win or lose, then that is on you.

Why don't you start listening to people that are actually good at anticipating whether Trump is going to win or lose?

Don't you want to promote realistic expectations?

I listen to 1st hand sources, then polling, then internet randoms, in that order. If you don't value my input, that's OK, but you are going to have to find a way to deal with it. You are in the minority, and as long as that is true, I will continue to post when I can.

[timosman]

[BamaAla]

He should be doing better than this in FL:


At this rate, TX will be a swing state by November, along with NC, UT, KS, MO, AZ.

UT Poll: Trump Leads Clinton by 8 in Texas

Maybe, but we'll have to wait to see. My point remains, the wapo poll is window dressing at best; Trump has to flip battle ground states and Hillary has to hold the line, but an outlier poll in late June provides zero insight to either proposition. I'm still of the opinion that Trump flips several of those states and wins, but I can't quantify or substantiate that position...but at least I admit that. Trumpkin 4 lyfe!

[Petar]

I listen to 1st hand sources, then polling, then internet randoms, in that order. If you don't value my input, that's OK, but you are going to have to find a way to deal with it. You are in the minority, and as long as that is true, I will continue to post when I can.

The question is, why do you value your own input?

Why do you continue to espouse opinions that are based on the same, failed methodology?

And call me a "random" if you want, but at least I was able to actually predict how Trump would perform during the primaries.

Why do you insist on ignoring people with actual credibility?

Are you trying to spread ignorance on purpose?

[CPUd]

Maybe, but we'll have to wait to see. My point remains, the wapo poll is window dressing at best; Trump has to flip battle ground states and Hillary has to hold the line, but an outlier poll in late June provides zero insight to either proposition. I'm still of the opinion that Trump flips several of those states and wins, but I can't quantify or substantiate that position...but at least I admit that. Trumpkin 4 lyfe!

The big poll movement will slow down after the tickets on both sides are revealed. I think after that it will take a month of campaigning in a state to gain just 1 or 2 points.

[Petar]

The big poll movement will slow down after the tickets on both sides are revealed. I think after that it will take a month of campaigning in a state to gain just 1 or 2 points.

What gives you the credibility to accurately predict that?

[CPUd]

Looks like he is struggling to crack 40% when they poll 4 candidates.


https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps...6_Sfw34kbm.pdf

[Petar]

The big poll movement will slow down after the tickets on both sides are revealed. I think after that it will take a month of campaigning in a state to gain just 1 or 2 points.

What gives you the credibility to accurately predict that?

The answer, of course, is that you totally lack the credibility to predict that.

If you were honest, that is something that you would readily admit.

[CPUd]

This one does not bode well for a candidate who has supposedly locked up the nomination:

[RandallFan]

Looks like he is struggling to crack 40% when they poll 4 candidates.


https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps...6_Sfw34kbm.pdf

So does Clinton