Michigan:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/p...e_MI_63015.pdf
Walker: 15%
Carson: 14%
Trump: 14%
Bush: 14%
Rubio: 9%
Huckabee: 8%
Christie: 5%
Cruz: 5%
Paul: 4% (BAD!)
Fiorina: 3%
Kasich: 3%
Santorum: 2%
Perry: 1%
Graham: 1%
Pataki: 0%
Jindal: 0%
Someone else: 2%
#2nd Choice:
Bush: 12%
Walker: 11%
Rubio: 9%
Paul: 8% (Better!)
Huckabee: 7%
Fiorina: 6%
Carson: 6%
Trump: 6%
Cruz: 5%
Christie: 3%
Jindal: 3%
Kasich: 3%
Santorum: 3%
Perry: 1%
Graham: 1%
Pataki: 0%
Undecided: 17%
Against Clinton:
Paul: 42 - 45 (-3) (Excellent!, within the margin of error in a blue state)
Walker: 42 - 46 (-4)
Huckabee: 42 - 47 (-5)
Rubio: 40 - 46 (-6)
Christie: 38 - 44 (-6)
Carson: 41 - 49 (-8)
Fiorina: 38 - 46 (-8)
Bush: 38 - 47 (-9)
Cruz: 39 - 49 (-10)
Trump: 39 - 49 (-10)
#Takeaways about Rand's numbers:
- Wins the White vote by the largest margin
- Does just average with African-Americans (Rubio does the best)
- Does best among republicans among "Others". (Which in MI means Arab-Americans)
- Does the best among voters under 45 by huge margin in the general
- Is unpopular among seniors in favorability
- Seen favorably by backers of: Cruz, Graham, Santorum, Walker, Trump, Huckabee, Fiorina, Perry, Bush (in order of % who like Rand)
- Disliked the most by backers of: Christie, Rubio, Kasich, Carson
- Rand is the second choice of 31% of Cruz backers, 17% (Huckabee), 13% (Trump), 12% (Graham), 11% (Carson)
- 34% of Rand backers have Bush as their second choice. No one else comes close! This is confirmed by that most of Rand's base in this poll is moderates. Most of his 2nd choice people are conservatives, though.
#Kentucky:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/p...e_KY_62415.pdf
Paul: 19%
Bush: 13%
Trump: 12%
Walker: 11%
Rubio: 10%
Huckabee: 10%
Carson: 7%
Cruz: 4%
Fiorina: 4%
Someone else: 9%
#2nd Choice:
Paul: 13%
Bush: 12%
Carson: 11%
Trump: 10%
Rubio: 10%
Walker: 9%
Cruz: 8%
Huckabee: 7%
Fiorina: 3%
Someone else: 19%
#Against Clinton:
Paul: 50 - 40 (+10)
Huckabee: 49 - 39 (+10)
Bush: 48 - 40 (+8)
Carson: 49 - 40 (+6)
Cruz: 48 - 42 (+6)
Walker: 46 - 41 (+5)
Rubio: 46 - 41 (+5)
Fiorina: 45 - 40 (+5)
Trump: 42 - 45 (-3)
#Rand does well in his home state, but does not dominate. His favorability/job aproval numbers are very good among almost all demographics. He pulls 30% of under 45's, but only 11% of +65's, which is 4th.
So the good news is that he is the most electable candidate in both the polls, confirming this national trend. Both surveys did not allow undecideds, which could be most pople at this point in the race. Difficult to say how that impacts results.
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