Georgia Poll Shows Scott Walker Leading Field, Rand Paul At 4 Percent

[randomname]

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker finished second in the straw poll at CPAC, but he’s the frontrunner in another individual state poll. VoterGravity.com gave Breitbart a preview of its weekly GOP Presidential “flash” poll.

The latest survey, conducted last week in Georgia, asked 6,745 “Super Primary” GOP voters to select a candidate. Walker came out on top, with 26 percent. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who skipped CPAC, was second at 22 percent, and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush was third at 17 percent.

“This continues a trend that we’ve been seeing in our previous polls in Ohio, North Carolina, and Iowa,” said Ned Ryun, founder and CEO of Voter Gravity. “Scott Walker has clearly established himself as a strong front runner.”

This poll includes only Americans who voted in the last four Georgia Republican primaries: 2008, 2010, 2012 and 2014. It’s unusual in that it involves such a large sample.

A surprise in the poll is the weakness of Sen. Rand Paul. The junior senator from Kentucky won at CPAC, but earned just four percent in the Voter Gravity Georgia poll. That puts him behind fourth place Dr. Ben Carson (11 percent) and “other” (nine percent).

“This is a poll of people who are 100 percent likely to vote in a primary for the GOP nominee,” Ryun explains. “So these Gravity ‘flash’ polls give a good snapshot of where the GOP race stands right now, less than a year from the Iowa caucuses.”

Voter Gravity plans to release a new tracking poll each week.

[Brett85]

At least we'll get a good indication of whether Rand is going up or down since they'll be releasing a new tracking poll each week.

[Cleaner44]

The Real Clear Politics average has Rand Paul at 9.3% and I am positive that is much more accurate than this one poll.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...tion-3823.html

[mwkaufman]

This poll includes only Americans who voted in the last four Georgia Republican primaries: 2008, 2010, 2012 and 2014.

I wonder what percent of voters in any given primary election have voted in the last four primaries. I can't imagine it's very high. I don't doubt the people that have are voting, I just doubt there are that many of them.

[Saint Vitus]

Ron had better or similar poll numbers at this time last campaign. I thought Rand was supposed to be more electable?

[AuH20]

39 pct between Bush and Huckabee? I don't know whether to laugh or cry.

[brandon]

Ron had better or similar poll numbers at this time last campaign. I thought Rand was supposed to be more electable?

You're right..... but Rand does have much better speaking skills. When the debates start and voters actually get to know these people I think Rand can draw in a lot more than Ron. Will have to wait and see though.

[AuH20]

You're right..... but Rand does have much better speaking skills. When the debates start and voters actually get to know these people I think Rand can draw in a lot more than Ron. Will have to wait and see though.

Too bad he's going to get 3 mins of speaking time.

[Brett85]

Ron had better or similar poll numbers at this time last campaign. I thought Rand was supposed to be more electable?

He does have much higher favorability numbers among Republicans than Ron.

[69360]

In Georgia? Yeah that seems about right. Rand is not going to do well in the southeast. That is a given.

[Scrooge McDuck]

I wonder what percent of voters in any given primary election have voted in the last four primaries. I can't imagine it's very high. I don't doubt the people that have are voting, I just doubt there are that many of them.

Well this automatically excludes anyone younger than myself (everyone in YAL), who was 18 in 2008. I still think YAL is going to play a major role in Rand's grassroots campaign and its going to catch a lot of people off guard. They've grown quite a bit since 2011-2012.

[satchelmcqueen]

You're right..... but Rand does have much better speaking skills. When the debates start and voters actually get to know these people I think Rand can draw in a lot more than Ron. Will have to wait and see though.

THIS

[satchelmcqueen]

In Georgia? Yeah that seems about right. Rand is not going to do well in the southeast. That is a given.

as long as there is another candidate spewing off christian slogans, rand will never do well here. my family is proof. hitler could run for prez and get their vote, and all he would have to do is say jesus name, or talk about being saved. its quiet sickening when thats all it takes down here.

[philipped]

. I still think YAL is going to play a major role in Rand's grassroots campaign and its going to catch a lot of people off guard. They've grown quite a bit since 2011-2012.

we out here. #YALSoFlo

[devil21]

Not that I trust any poll, particularly one released right after Rand wins CPAC again, but GA is never an influential primary state, so who cares? His polling would shoot up the moment he wins an earlier state due to the lemming mentality of the average voter.

[willwash]

I wonder what percent of voters in any given primary election have voted in the last four primaries. I can't imagine it's very high. I don't doubt the people that have are voting, I just doubt there are that many of them.

Just wait, Collins will tell you all about how these are the only people who matter

[Bastiat's The Law]

Libertarians always do bad in the deep south.

[Brett85]

Really, none of the polls that I've seen lately have been good for Rand, except for in Iowa and New Hampshire. Fortunately, those are the first two states.

[eleganz]

Lmao, who cares about Georgia? It comes after IA, NH, NV, ME, CO, MN. By that time, the primary will come down to just 2 or 3 main contenders and if Rand is one of them, he'll get way more than 4% in GA. Boom.

[devil21]

Lmao, who cares about Georgia? It comes after IA, NH, NV, ME, CO, MN. By that time, the primary will come down to just 2 or 3 main contenders and if Rand is one of them, he'll get way more than 4% in GA. Boom.

It also comes after neighboring SC and NC in the 2016 cycle. GA really is an afterthought and their primary will be decided by the states going ahead of it.

[Anti Federalist]

Not surprised that the Pauls both died in the Warvengelical South.

[JJ2]

I wonder what percent of voters in any given primary election have voted in the last four primaries. I can't imagine it's very high. I don't doubt the people that have are voting, I just doubt there are that many of them.

It also includes nobody born after 1990 (26 in 2016).

[Vanguard101]

Well this automatically excludes anyone younger than myself (everyone in YAL), who was 18 in 2008. I still think YAL is going to play a major role in Rand's grassroots campaign and its going to catch a lot of people off guard. They've grown quite a bit since 2011-2012.

YAL is the only reason Rand won CPAC. We do a lot for Rand and the GOP