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Thread: Need for "Shock Treatment"? 17000/6000: Ebola saga continues exponentially

  1. #1

    Need for "Shock Treatment"? 17000/6000: Ebola saga continues exponentially



    http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/ebola/outbrea...es-graphs.html


    As new cases and deaths in Liberia and Guinea seem to be tapering, Sierra Leone's rate of groth continues exponentially surpassing Liberia.

    http://news.yahoo.com/shock-treatmen...161543551.html

    Shock treatment:
    what's missing from Sierra Leone's Ebola response


    By Tom Miles 6 hours ago





    . View photo

    World Health Organization (WHO) Assistant Director General Bruce Aylward gestures during a news conference …



    By Tom Miles
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    GENEVA (Reuters) - The failure of Sierra Leone's strategy for fighting Ebola may be down to a missing ingredient: a big shock that could change people's behavior and finally prevent further infection.
    Bruce Aylward, the head of Ebola response at the World Health Organisation, said Sierra Leone was well placed to contain the disease -- its worst outbreak on record -- with infrastructure, organization and aid.
    The problem is that its people have yet to be shocked out of behavior that is helping the disease to spread, still keeping infected loved ones close and touching the bodies of the dead.
    "Every new place that gets infected goes through that same terrible learning curve where a lot of people have to die ... before those behaviors start to change," Aylward told Reuters.
    While neighboring Liberia has turned the tide of Ebola, and both Mali and Nigeria quickly smothered outbreaks, Sierra Leone has more than 70 percent of cases reported in the past three weeks and more than half the 18,000 confirmed cases in the nine-month-old outbreak.
    The WHO's death toll from outbreak has climbed to 6,583 but the actual figure is likely to be far higher due to under-reporting of cases.
    The flare-up in Sierra Leone's capital Freetown and the country's more heavily populated western areas resemble the massive infections suffered in August by Liberia's capital Monrovia.
    That country got its infection rates under control after panic in quarantined areas led to a riot and the shooting of a young boy by security forces. Scenes of people dying in the street raised alarm across the country and prompted a military deployment by the United States to build treatment centers.
    "In Monrovia you had bodies on the streets, you had a riot, you had someone shot - awareness went through the roof in a very, very short time as a result," said Aylward.
    "You don’t want to see that kind of thing drive public awareness but it has an impact very, very fast. People changed behaviors in Monrovia - bang! Like that."
    Mali also learned through a shock. Just as it seemed nobody had been infected by its first Ebola patient in October, another cluster of deaths sprang up the following month. Aylward said he told Malian officials that the only way to stop the outbreak was to trace anyone who may be at risk.
    "That’s when the contact tracing... took a jump from around 60-70 percent completion to 98 percent," he said.
    LEARNING CURVE
    Denial and ignorance are part of the problem but a weak healthcare system and logistics also play a part. Officials in Kono - where an explosion of infections was discovered this week - said the eastern district of 350,000 inhabitants had only one ambulance and no Ebola treatment center.
    WHO staff are visiting neighboring West African countries to try to get people to change their ways in case Ebola strikes, but worry there has been little change in remote border areas, Aylward said.
    "The forest area of these three countries has got some really special and concerning practices, where they share meals with the corpse, where they sleep with the corpse," he said.
    "You know these are high, high risk behaviors."
    In Sierra Leone, where as many as 365 Ebola deaths may have been linked to a single traditional funeral early in the epidemic, Sierra Leone's Health Minister Abu Bakarr Fofanah said the government was considering banning some unsafe practices.
    He recognized however that it would be difficult to police such a law.
    Fofanah noted that some areas of eastern Sierra Leone that were hit hardest early in the epidemic -- around the towns of Kenema and Kailahun -- have seen a massive reduction in case numbers as people change behavior.
    "The areas that are now doing badly are the areas that were affected last. They are still on the learning curve."
    (Editing by Daniel Flynn and Sophie Walker)

    'We endorse the idea of voluntarism; self-responsibility: Family, friends, and churches to solve problems, rather than saying that some monolithic government is going to make you take care of yourself and be a better person. It's a preposterous notion: It never worked, it never will. The government can't make you a better person; it can't make you follow good habits.' - Ron Paul 1988

    Awareness is the Root of Liberation Revolution is Action upon Revelation

    'Resistance and Disobedience in Economic Activity is the Most Moral Human Action Possible' - SEK3

    Flectere si nequeo superos, Acheronta movebo.

    ...the familiar ritual of institutional self-absolution...
    ...for protecting them, by mock trial, from punishment...




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  3. #2
    There was some interesting Ebola hoax videos about a month or two ago. Have you seen any of those?
    No one here wanted to be the Billionaire.

  4. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by Indy Vidual View Post
    There was some interesting Ebola hoax videos about a month or two ago. Have you seen any of those?
    tube or didn't happen

    'We endorse the idea of voluntarism; self-responsibility: Family, friends, and churches to solve problems, rather than saying that some monolithic government is going to make you take care of yourself and be a better person. It's a preposterous notion: It never worked, it never will. The government can't make you a better person; it can't make you follow good habits.' - Ron Paul 1988

    Awareness is the Root of Liberation Revolution is Action upon Revelation

    'Resistance and Disobedience in Economic Activity is the Most Moral Human Action Possible' - SEK3

    Flectere si nequeo superos, Acheronta movebo.

    ...the familiar ritual of institutional self-absolution...
    ...for protecting them, by mock trial, from punishment...


  5. #4


    If you are "giving up early", here is fake footage from Africa, starting at 6:09:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Zon...tailpage#t=369
    No one here wanted to be the Billionaire.

  6. #5
    Ebola tends to cycle. It starts and spreads but eventually tapers off. Sierra Leone is earlier on in the cycle which is why cases there are on the rise.

  7. #6
    Looking at the chart in the top post, Interesting that all three countries have a small spike at 11/1/14 . Curious as to what caused it.
    Quote Originally Posted by BuddyRey View Post
    Do you think it's a coincidence that the most cherished standard of the Ron Paul campaign was a sign highlighting the word "love" inside the word "revolution"? A revolution not based on love is a revolution doomed to failure. So, at the risk of sounding corny, I just wanted to let you know that, wherever you stand on any of these hot-button issues, and even if we might have exchanged bitter words or harsh sentiments in the past, I love each and every one of you - no exceptions!

    "When goods do not cross borders, soldiers will." Frederic Bastiat

    Peace.

  8. #7
    That was the day they got more complete data on what was happening.

  9. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by Henry Rogue View Post
    Looking at the chart in the top post, Interesting that all three countries have a small spike at 11/1/14 . Curious as to what caused it.
    data audit

    'We endorse the idea of voluntarism; self-responsibility: Family, friends, and churches to solve problems, rather than saying that some monolithic government is going to make you take care of yourself and be a better person. It's a preposterous notion: It never worked, it never will. The government can't make you a better person; it can't make you follow good habits.' - Ron Paul 1988

    Awareness is the Root of Liberation Revolution is Action upon Revelation

    'Resistance and Disobedience in Economic Activity is the Most Moral Human Action Possible' - SEK3

    Flectere si nequeo superos, Acheronta movebo.

    ...the familiar ritual of institutional self-absolution...
    ...for protecting them, by mock trial, from punishment...




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  11. #9
    That is not exponential growth. In fact, if the graph is correct, the growth is not only NOT exponential, but the rate of growth is slightly slowing down.

    And according to the article, the reason it is not slowing down faster is because people are not taking it seriously enough to change their behavior. How could that be if it is such a horrible disease? Because ebola is no big deal in West Africa where malaria, yellow fever, typhoid, cholera, hepatitis, AIDS, meningitis, schistosomaiasis, rabies, and general human mayhem are daily risks.

    But ebola makes good press, so be afraid!
    The proper concern of society is the preservation of individual freedom; the proper concern of the individual is the harmony of society.

    "Who would be free, themselves must strike the blow." - Byron

    "Who overcomes by force, hath overcome but half his foe." - Milton



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