Marijuana reform initiatives on the ballot in 2014 -- Official Results Thread

[jct74]

Election day is only one month away. Follow the latest on the marijuana ballot initiatives in this thread and post any updates you come across.

From NORML Smoke The Vote:

Alaska: Measure 2 (Legalization)

website: http://regulatemarijuanainalaska.org/
facebook: https://www.facebook.com/RegulateMJinAK
twitter: https://twitter.com/VoteYesOn2AK
youtube: http://www.youtube.com/user/RegulateMarijuanaAK


The following is an overview of the proposed ballot measure:

- Includes a statement saying the initiative is not intended to diminish the rights established by the Alaska Supreme Court in the Ravin case, which allow citizens to possess a limited amount of marijuana in their homes. It also includes a statement saying the initiative will not diminish the rights of patients or caregivers under Alaska’s medical marijuana law.
- Makes possession of up to one ounce of marijuana and up to six plants (three flowering) legal for adults 21 years of age or older. It also allows adults to possess the marijuana produced by the plants on the premises where the plants are grown.
- Makes manufacture, sale and possession of marijuana accessories legal.
- Grants regulatory oversight to the Alcoholic Beverage Control Board, but gives the legislature the authority to create a new Marijuana Control Board at any time.
- The regulatory board has nine months to enact regulations, and applications shall be accepted one year after the effective date of the initiative.
- Creates the following marijuana establishments: marijuana retail stores, marijuana cultivation facilities, marijuana infused-product manufacturers, and marijuana testing facilities.
- Allows localities to ban marijuana establishments, but they cannot prohibit private possession and home cultivation.
- Establishes an excise tax of $50 per ounce on sales or transfers from a marijuana cultivation facility to a retail store or infused-product manufacturer.
- Consumption of marijuana in public will remain illegal and punishable by a $100 fine.
- The initiative does NOT change existing laws related to driving under the influence.
- Allows employers to maintain restrictions on marijuana use by employees.

You can read the full text of the initiative here.


Polls:

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Lead	Date
Dittman Research	Measure 2	43	53	-10	9/30-10/3
Public Policy Polling	Measure 2	44	49	-5	7/31-8/3
Public Policy Polling	Measure 2	48	45	+3	5/8-5/11
Dittman Research	Measure 2	52	44	+8	3/4-3/9
Public Policy Polling	marijuana legalization	55	39	+16	1/30-2/1

Result: PASSED!

100% reporting

YES	52.1%	116,803
NO	47.9%	107,179

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Oregon: Measure 91 (Legalization)

website: http://voteyeson91.com/
facebook: https://www.facebook.com/newapproachoregon
twitter: https://twitter.com/voteyeson91
youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKD...7OaSd1UTM6zeyA


- Removes penalties for adults over the age of 21 who possess, use, and grow a limited amount of marijuana.
- The Oregon Liquor Commission would be tasked to establish a system of state regulated marijuana processors, wholesalers, retailers, and producers.
- Individuals over 21 will be able to possess up to eight ounces of marijuana and grow no more than four marijuana plants per household.
- Individuals over 21 would be able to purchase up to an ounce of marijuana, 16 ounces of marijuana products in solid form, or 72 ounces of marijuana products in liquid form.

You can read the full text of the measure here.


Polls:

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Lead	Date
Elway Research	Measure 91	44	46	-2	10/26-10/27
Survey USA	Measure 91	52	41	+11	10/23-10/27
Survey USA	Measure 91	48	37	+11	10/16-10/19
DHM Research	Measure 91	52	41	+9	10/8-10/11
Survey USA	Measure 91	44	40	+4	9/22-9/24
Survey USA	marijuana legalization	51	41	+10	6/5-6/9

Result: PASSED!

93.8% reporting

YES	55.3%	757,019
NO	44.7%	611,557

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Washington, DC: Initiative 71 (Legalization)

website: http://dcmj.org/
facebook: https://www.facebook.com/dcmj2014
twitter: https://twitter.com/DCMJ2014
youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCru...gpohQY6nubjwBA


If approved, Initiative 71 would:

- Legalize adult possession of up to two ounces of marijuana for personal use.
- Allow adults over 21 to grow no more than six cannabis plants with 3 or fewer being mature, flowering plants, within the person’s principal residence.
- Allow for the transfer without payment (but not sell) up to one ounce of marijuana to another person 21 years of age or older.
- Allow for the use or sale drug paraphernalia for the use, growing, or processing of marijuana or cannabis.

Full text of the initiative can be read here.


Polls:

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Lead	Date
Public Policy Polling	Initiative 71	52	35	+17	10/20-10/22
Washington Post	Initiative 71	65	33	+32	9/14-9/16
Washington Post	marijuana legalization	63	34	+29	1/9-1/12

Result: PASSED!

100% reporting

YES	69.4%	96,113
NO	30.6%	42,280

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Florida: Question 2 (Medical Marijuana)

website: http://www.unitedforcare.org/
facebook: https://www.facebook.com/UnitedForCare
twitter: https://twitter.com/UnitedForCare
youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCU3...lv0WK8Ap0qWfkw
youtube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCzr...60va2VfYd1Wyjw

Allows the medical use of marijuana for individuals with debilitating diseases as determined by a licensed Florida physician. Allows caregivers to assist patients’ medical use of marijuana. The Department of Health shall register and regulate centers that produce and distribute marijuana for medical purposes and shall issue identification cards to patients and caregivers. Applies only to Florida law. Does not authorize violations of federal law or any non-medical use, possession or production of marijuana.

You can read the full text of the initiative here.

Polls:

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	+/-	Date
St. Pete Polls	Amendment 2	53	43	+10	11/2
Public Policy Polling	Amendment 2	53	41	+12	11/1-11/2
UF Graham Center	Amendment 2	46	43	+3	10/24-10/28
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research	Amendment 2	62	35	+27	10/22-10/27
Gravis Marketing	Amendment 2	50	42	+8	10/22-10/24
Survey USA	Amendment 2	52	36	+16	10/10-10/13
Gravis Marketing	Amendment 2	55	39	+16	10/11-10/12
UF Graham Center	Amendment 2	48	44	+4	10/7-10/12
St. Pete Polls	Amendment 2	52	39	+13	10/8-10/11
Survey USA	Amendment 2	53	32	+21	9/19-9/22
Survey USA	Amendment 2	56	31	+25	9/12-9/15
Public Policy Polling	Amendment 2	61	33	+28	9/4-9/7
UF Graham Center	Amendment 2	57	24	+33	8/27-8/31
Gravis Marketing	Amendment 2	64	26	+38	8/14-8/24
Public Policy Polling	Amendment 2	66	25	+31	6/6-6/9
Public Policy Polling	medical marijuana	65	23	+32	1/16-1/21

Note: A 60% level of support is required for this initiative to pass.


Result: FAILED

100% reporting

YES	57.6%	3,363,522
NO	42.4%	2,476,108

.

[jct74]

wow, this scumbag is throwing in the big bucks...

Sheldon Adelson Donates Another $1.5 Million to Anti-Medical Marijuana Group

By Chris Joseph
Fri., Oct. 3 2014 at 1:05 PM

With a net worth of $37 billion, casino magnate Sheldon Adelson, has donated another $1.5 million to the No On 2 campaign (or, Drug Free Florida) -- the biggest medical marijuana opposition in the state.

He had helped kick off the campaign when he donated $2.5 million to get things started back in June.

The 80-year-old Adelson, who has been a big-time contributor to conservative campaigns throughout his life, is chairman and chief executive officer of the Las Vegas Sands Corp., which runs the Venetian Resort Hotel Casino and the Sands Expo and Convention Center in Las Vegas.

He has also funded drug addiction clinics in Nevada and Israel and believes pot to be a gateway drug.

The big donation comes right after No On 2's recent ad attacking medical marijuana legalization by claiming that Amendment 2 has a loop hole in it's care giver provision that would allow anyone -- including felons and drug dealers -- to become caregivers:




...

read more:
http://blogs.browardpalmbeach.com/pu...uana_group.php

[jct74]

some more "No on 2" ads








I don't think "Yes on 2" has aired any ads yet. And they are going up against Adelson's millions. This could be a tough one.

[Jackie Moon]

This freakin guy. Can't shake him. Every issue that I care about he ends up funding the other side.

I just got done reading about his latest speech against online poker. He pretends to care about morality but forgets he owns casinos. One of which has been fined for 26 cases of allowing underage kids to drink and gamble.



I haven't seen this on TV myself but they're supposed to be running this ad now. They didn't have money to advertise much in 2012 so that should help.

[jct74]

Here's some polling in Florida so far. The thing to keep in mind is that 60% support is required for it to pass, so this might be tough with all the money Adelson is pouring in.

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Date
Survey USA	Amendment 2	53	32	9/19-9/22
Survey USA	Amendment 2	56	31	9/12-9/15
Public Policy Polling	Amendment 2	61	33	9/4-9/7
Public Policy Polling	Amendment 2	66	25	6/6-6/9
Public Policy Polling	medical marijuana	65	23	1/16-1/21

Here is the first Yes on 2 ad that will be airing.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gh_sDh2vbW4

[Brett85]

The marijuana initiatives across the country are in danger of failing, because millions of dollars have been spent in all these states to scare people that marijuana/medical marijuana is going to lead to all kinds of terrible things. These initiatives do well in the polls at first, until the propaganda campaign kicks in and people are bombarded with all kinds of false information.

[jct74]

Looking really good for legalization in Washington D.C., the nation's capitol. This could send some shockwaves!

Poll: D.C. voters poised to legalize pot, elevating national debate over marijuana

By Aaron C. Davis and Peyton M. Craighill
September 18, 2014

Voters in the District of Columbia are poised to follow Colorado and Washington state into a closely watched experiment to legalize marijuana, according to a new NBC4/Washington Post/Marist poll.

By an almost 2-to-1 margin, likely voters in the city’s Nov. 4 election say they support Initiative 71, a ballot measure that would legalize possession, home cultivation and the sale of paraphernalia to smoke marijuana in the nation’s capital.

The results show an electorate unshaken — even emboldened — nine months after legal marijuana sales began in Colorado and six months after D.C. lawmakers stripped away jail time for possession, making it just a $25 offense.

Although the District has so far felt little fallout from those moves, full legalization on the streets surrounding the White House would thrust the District into an untenable conflict with federal drug laws, potentially hastening the arrival of a larger national debate. It would also complicate it.

Legalization in the District is fused with the weighty issues of civil rights and drug arrest rates among African Americans. In faraway Western states that have legalized marijuana, those issues have been largely secondary to civil liberties and drug safety.

A band of pro-marijuana activists supporting Initiative 71, in fact, have almost no money in their campaign account and may not run a single ad, but support seems increasingly hardened in part because of a major shift toward support among African Americans.

...

read more:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/...f6f_story.html

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Lead	Date
Washington Post	Initiative 71	65	33	+32	9/14-9/16
Washington Post	marijuana legalization	63	34	+29	1/9-1/12

[jct74]

not looking as good in Alaska, the support seems to be trending downward

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Lead	Date
Public Policy Polling	Measure 2	44	49	-5	7/31-8/3
Public Policy Polling	Measure 2	48	45	+3	5/8-5/11
Dittman Research	Measure 2	52	44	+8	3/4-3/9
Public Policy Polling	marijuana legalization	55	39	+16	1/30-2/1

[jct74]

Rick Steves kicks off Oregon tour promoting marijuana legalization

By Noelle Crombie
October 07, 2014 at 8:00 AM,




Rick Steves, the travel guru who was a key supporter of Washington's recreational marijuana law in 2012, arrives in Oregon Tuesday to kick off a 9-stop tour promoting the campaign to legalize pot.

Steves recently wrote a commentary on Measure 91, which would legalize marijuana for anyone 21 and older, calling the proposal a "smart law" designed to address the reality of marijuana use.

"Marijuana is a drug," wrote Steves, who sits on the board of the National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws. "It's not good for you. It can be addictive. But marijuana is here to stay. No amount of wishing will bring us a utopian "drug-free society."

On his website, Steves explains that running his own business has given him freedom to address his personal views of marijuana and drug policy in general without fear of being fired.

"When it comes to America's prohibition on marijuana, I can consider lessons learned from my travels and say what I really believe when I'm back home," he writes.

...

read more:
http://www.oregonlive.com/marijuana/..._oregon_t.html

[Natural Citizen]

I think Arizona has something on the Nov. 2016 Ballot too. Initiative statute...

I don't know that the language of the initiative itself has been scribbled up yet.


Other stuff from the Marijuana Policy Project... http://www.mpp.org/ or the "strategic plan for 2014"

Decriminalize marijuana in Delaware, Hawaii, Maryland, and the District of Columbia

Legalize medical marijuana in Maryland, Minnesota, New York, and West Virginia

Expand medical marijuana laws in Vermont and Illinois

Lay the groundwork for decriminalizing marijuana possession in Illinois by 2017

Pass a bill in Rhode Island that is similar to the legalization law in Colorado

Pass legalization bills in Delaware, Hawaii, Maryland, New Hampshire, and Vermont between 2015 and 2017

Lobby to pass a legalization bill in Texas in 2019

Get a statewide legalization measure on the 2014 Alaska ballot

Place legalization initiatives on the 2016 ballot in Arizona, California and Nevada

Pass three local ballot initiatives in Maine in November 2014

Assist allies with 2014 statewide measure in Oregon

Persuade a team of U.S. senators to introduce a states’ rights marijuana bill in the Senate and work to pass it through the Senate Judiciary Committee

Canvass all freshmen and swing votes on the Rohrabacher-Farr medical marijuana amendment


According to MPP's website, the group's mission is to "Increase public support for non-punitive, non-coercive marijuana policies", "Identify and activate supporters of non-punitive, non-coercive marijuana policies", "Change state laws to reduce or eliminate penalties for the medical and non-medical use of marijuana" and to "Gain influence in Congress."

They "envision a nation where marijuana is legally regulated similarly to alcohol, marijuana education is honest and realistic, and treatment for problem marijuana users is non-coercive and geared toward reducing harm."


As of May 2014, MPP has spent $28,000 on candidate contributions in the 2014 congressional campaign cycle...

Roger Goodman $5,000

Beto O'Rourke $5,000

David Brinkley for Congress (527) $2,500

House Majority PAC $2,500

Solidarity PAC (Leadership) $2,500

Steve Cohen $2,000

Jared Huffman $2,000

Mark Udall $2,000

Sal Pace $1,500

Linda Sanchez $1,500


Rob Kampia is the Executive Director of the MPP. They also have an advisory board made up of several high profile celebrities including, Adam Carolla, Bill Maher, Jack Black, Susan Sarandon, Jesse Ventura and Tommy Chong

[ZENemy]

Here is how the MJ debate should go.

Was the prohibition of alcohol a wise, fruitful, economical, freedom perpetuating move? Did it stop people from drinking? Were the kids saved?

If yes then keep MJ illegal right?

If no, DECRIMINALIZE right away.

[Working Poor]

wow, this scumbag is throwing in the big bucks

Maybe his daughter is married to one the heads of a cartel.

[Jackie Moon]

I haven't seen this on TV myself but they're supposed to be running this ad now. They didn't have money to advertise much in 2012 so that should help.

Even in limited TV watching I actually now have seen this ad a bunch of times the past few days. Haven't seen any "no" ads.

Hopefully it will help swing some of the 16% Undecideds.

[Jackie Moon]

There's another new "yes" ad that started airing yesterday.

Looks like they've done a good job at making sure the ad targets the right people... the ones that don't personally like marijuana but recognize that the current system isn't working.



Here's an article that Rick Steves wrote after his visit. Pretty good spokesman to have on your side.

Travel as a Political Act: Tour of Oregon so far
By Rick Steves

Last night, I had the privilege of speaking to about 300 people in downtown Salem at the Grand Theater. Just a few blocks from the Oregon capitol building. I was introduced by Sammy Basu, a professor of politics at Willamette University. It was a thrilling talk. It is always exciting to share my perspective and the stories of my travels and how it relates to drug policy in the United States, but even more thrilling because of the questions that came from the audience at the end.

There was a former prosecutor in the audience who shared his personal experience with the imbalance of our justice system when it comes to even small crimes. When a poor kid and wealthy kid are arrested for marijuana the outcomes are vastly different. The wealthy kid has parents who can help him navigate the system, ensure that he dresses nicely for court appearances, pay for a lawyer, and help translate the complexities of the legal system. A poor kid may not even have a ride to court, let alone a lawyer to help them through the legal process.

Treating marijuana as a crime has failed and it’s failing our kids, it’s setting young people back early in their lives, leaving them behind for the rest of their lives. This is true in cities across Oregon just like Salem, and in my home state of Washington. More than 13,000 people were arrested or cited in Oregon last year for marijuana; the war on drugs isn’t working.

Inconsistent enforcement of a law erodes respect for law enforcement and for the legal process. Let’s stop wasting police resources and refocus their efforts on serious and violent crimes and vote YES on Measure 91. Marijuana use is a serious, expensive and persistent challenge in our society. And it’s time for a new approach. That’s why I co-sponsored the initiative that legalized the responsible adult use of marijuana in Washington state two years ago.

Now, with first hand knowledge of what’s happened in Colorado and Washington after they passed their laws taxing, regulating and legalizing the responsible adult use of marijuana, we can say it is going well. The Brookings Institute issued a study on how things are progressing. They reported that the fears regarding increased teen use, DUIs, and crime are not materializing and, on balance, taking the crime out of the equation is looking like a smart move.

There are so many reasons to end the prohibition on marijuana. Whether you want to improve the well-being of children, redirect money away from criminals and into tax revenue for the state or protect civil liberties, it’s clearly time for a better approach. Rather than being “hard on drugs” or “soft on drugs,” by passing Measure 91, Oregon can finally be smart about drugs. Please vote yes.

Our stop in Beaverton was a standing-room only affair. What an enjoyable way to spend a lunch hour. Check out this short video on my visit:

http://voteyeson91.com/notes-road-le...ijuana-oregon/

[jct74]

lots more ads coming out this week


Florida:






Alaska:

[jct74]

Oregon:

[Jackie Moon]

New poll for Oregon, still ahead:


http://res.cloudinary.com/bdy4ger4/i...vey_csfrca.pdf

Looks like it's gonna be close, but having 46% say "Yes - certain" is a good sign.

Hopefully the ads will continue to increase the certain vote to 50%+ and give us a little cushion. Still haven't seen any "no" ads.

“What I would say is, it is in a favorable position to pass, but it's not a sure thing,” said Fox 12 political analyst Tim Hibbitts, who says the measure will depend on voter turnout. “Younger voters I think are going to be more supportive of that, but they also tend to be less likely to vote, particularly in non-presidential election years.”

“In most cases, undecided voters will, not always, but usually resolve doubts about a ballot measure by voting no,” Hibbitts said. “Because they know that's the safe vote, where if you vote yes on a ballot measure, it usually means change, which voters might not be certain about.”

http://www.kptv.com/story/26787836/s...allot-measures

[jct74]

New poll for Oregon

Thanks I added it to the tables, and also one more from Survey USA that shows the lead now at +11. So seems to be looking pretty good for Oregon.

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Lead	Date
Survey USA	Measure 91	48	37	+11	10/16-10/19
DHM Research	Measure 91	52	41	+9	10/8-10/11
Survey USA	Measure 91	44	40	+4	9/22-9/24
Survey USA	marijuana legalization	51	41	+10	6/5-6/9

Alaska is pretty much the opposite story, support seems to be steadily declining, not looking too good there.

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Lead	Date
Dittman Research	Measure 2	43	53	-10	9/30-10/3
Public Policy Polling	Measure 2	44	49	-5	7/31-8/3
Public Policy Polling	Measure 2	48	45	+3	5/8-5/11
Dittman Research	Measure 2	52	44	+8	3/4-3/9
Public Policy Polling	marijuana legalization	55	39	+16	1/30-2/1

Florida I also added some new polls and it is still really hard to predict how this one will turn out. The thing that makes it tricky is that 60% support is required to pass.

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	+/-	Date
Survey USA	Amendment 2	52	36	+16	10/10-10/13
Gravis Marketing	Amendment 2	55	39	+16	10/11-10/12
UF Graham Center	Amendment 2	48	44	+4	10/7-10/12
St. Pete Polls	Amendment 2	52	39	+13	10/8-10/11
Survey USA	Amendment 2	53	32	+21	9/19-9/22
Survey USA	Amendment 2	56	31	+25	9/12-9/15
Public Policy Polling	Amendment 2	61	33	+28	9/4-9/7
UF Graham Center	Amendment 2	58	30	+28	8/27-8/31
Gravis Marketing	Amendment 2	64	26	+38	8/14-8/24
Public Policy Polling	Amendment 2	66	25	+31	6/6-6/9
Public Policy Polling	medical marijuana	65	23	+32	1/16-1/21

No new polls in Washington D.C., still looks real good to pass!

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Lead	Date
Washington Post	Initiative 71	65	33	+32	9/14-9/16
Washington Post	marijuana legalization	63	34	+29	1/9-1/12

[jct74]

here's a breakdown from vox.com of the 4 major initiatives on the ballot this year:
http://www.vox.com/2014/10/20/695377...ington-dc-vote


also one from time.com and an earlier summary from vox.com that says a medical marijuana initiative will also be on the ballot in Guam:
http://time.com/3433257/marijuana-po...lization-2014/
http://www.vox.com/2014/7/23/5929817...alization-2014

[jct74]

ballotpedia entries for all 4 initiatives:
http://ballotpedia.org/Alaska_Mariju...asure_2_(2014)
http://ballotpedia.org/Oregon_Legali...sure_91_(2014)
http://ballotpedia.org/Florida_Right...dment_2_(2014)
http://ballotpedia.org/Washington_D....November_2014)

[Wooden Indian]

I've been torn on if I would vote on 2 or not (Florida) because it doesn't go anywhere close to far enough. Then, I remember there are a $#@! ton of suffering people out there that this would help, and I have to climb down from my moral high-horse and vote Yes. At least it's a small step in the right direction.

[Jackie Moon]

Thanks I added it to the tables, and also one more from Survey USA that shows the lead now at +11. So seems to be looking pretty good for Oregon.

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Lead	Date
Survey USA	Measure 91	48	37	+11	10/16-10/19
DHM Research	Measure 91	52	41	+9	10/8-10/11
Survey USA	Measure 91	44	40	+4	9/22-9/24
Survey USA	marijuana legalization	51	41	+10	6/5-6/9

Looks like the money and ads are having a positive effect. And they just got another $800k donation a few days ago...

The campaign for Oregon's marijuana legalization measure this weekend reported receiving another $800,000 from two out-of-state groups tied to wealthy donors.

The Yes on 91 campaign has reported spending more than $1.1 million on TV and radio advertising so far, part of what the campaign has said is an ad buy of more than $2 million for the fall. Opponents of the measure have just one major donor -- the Oregon State Sheriff's Association, which has given $145,000 -- and are not airing ads on TV.

http://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/inde...ure_rakes.html

I've been torn on if I would vote on 2 or not (Florida) because it doesn't go anywhere close to far enough. Then, I remember there are a $#@! ton of suffering people out there that this would help, and I have to climb down from my moral high-horse and vote Yes. At least it's a small step in the right direction.

Yeah, I've felt the same way. I'm not even a fan of the "tax it and regulate it" stuff... just repeal the laws that make it illegal.

But after thinking about it I figured that anything that gets closer to that goal is a step worth taking.

The Florida one is really limited... but once that passes and people realize that the state doesn't fall apart you'll be able to take the next step.

[Jackie Moon]

New Oregon poll... this one's not great.

Not sure whether this poll is an outlier to the previous ones that had us +10%, or if it means the undecideds are finally going towards "no".

Half of the people polled had already voted and the other half were "certain" to vote.

But, the good news is that it's still close and within the poll's 5% margin of error.

The push to legalize recreational marijuana in Oregon appears to be too close to call. The poll found that 46 percent of voters are against legalizing pot, compared to 44 percent who support it. Seven percent remain undecided.

Opinions on the measure vary greatly by age. The measure has support from 56 percent of voters under age 35, but only 30 percent support from voters older than 65.

Supporters of marijuana legalization have raised far more money than their opponents, including landing nearly $1.5 million from a group called Drug Policy Action.

The "no" campaign has only raised a fraction of that money, with the majority coming from the Oregon State Sheriff's Association.

http://www.kgw.com/story/news/politi...lose/18063009/

[jct74]

New Oregon poll... this one's not great.

Not sure whether this poll is an outlier to the previous ones that had us +10%, or if it means the undecideds are finally going towards "no".

yeah, I wouldn't put too much stock in it. SurveyUSA just did a poll a few days earlier and still found an 11 point lead.

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Lead	Date
Elway Research	Measure 91	44	46	-2	10/26-10/27
Survey USA	Measure 91	52	41	+11	10/23-10/27
Survey USA	Measure 91	48	37	+11	10/16-10/19
DHM Research	Measure 91	52	41	+9	10/8-10/11
Survey USA	Measure 91	44	40	+4	9/22-9/24
Survey USA	marijuana legalization	51	41	+10	6/5-6/9

BTW - If anyone is interested in looking back at the marijuana initiatives from 2012, how they polled leading up to election day and what the final results were, here is the thread:
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthr...Results-Thread


Oregon is the only state that was also on the ballot in 2012, legalization was on the ballot then as it is now. The initiative lost by 6.4% as pretty much predicted by the polls.

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	Lead	Date
The Oregonian / Elway Research	Measure 80	42	49	-7	10/25 - 10/28
KATU / SurveyUSA	Measure 80	36	43	-7	10/16 - 10/18
KATU / SurveyUSA	Measure 80	37	41	-4	9/10 - 9/13
Public Policy Polling	legalizing marijuana	43	46	-3	6/21 - 6/24

RESULT: FAILED

100% reporting

YES	810,538	46.8%
NO	923,071	53.2%

[jct74]

Jeff Merkley seems to be one of the better senators on the Democrat side.

U.S. senator supports pot legalization in Oregon

BY COURTNEY SHERWOOD
PORTLAND Ore. Mon Oct 27, 2014 5:01pm EDT

(Reuters) - A Democratic U.S. Senator from Oregon supports legalizing the recreational use of marijuana and will vote “yes” to a state initiative next week that would let adults consume pot for fun, his office said on Monday.

But a staffer for Senator Jeff Merkley said her boss had stopped short of officially endorsing an Oregon ballot initiative that would legalize, regulate and tax non-medical marijuana and permit its use by adults over age 21.

"The senator has not endorsed the ballot measure, but he has said he will vote for it," said Courtney Warner Crowell, Merkley's deputy communications director.

The support makes Merkley the first sitting senator to publicly support legal recreational pot, according to a round-up of U.S. politicians' views on the topic updated on Monday by Huffington Post.

...

read more:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/...0IG28G20141027

[jct74]

some new ads airing in Oregon, these are all pretty good

[jct74]

Polling is all over the place in Florida. Recent polls from Gravis Marketing and UF Graham Center show the Amendment falling short of the required 60%, but a poll from Anzalone Liszt Grove Research shows the amendment passing at 62-35. According to this source Nate Silver considers Anzalone Liszt Grove Research one of the most reliable pollsters and their poll used the actual ballot language instead of a summary, so that is somewhat encouraging.

Pollster	Subject Polled	Support	Oppose	+/-	Date
UF Graham Center	Amendment 2	46	43	+3	10/24-10/28
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research	Amendment 2	62	35	+27	10/22-10/27
Gravis Marketing	Amendment 2	50	42	+8	10/22-10/24
Survey USA	Amendment 2	52	36	+16	10/10-10/13
Gravis Marketing	Amendment 2	55	39	+16	10/11-10/12
UF Graham Center	Amendment 2	48	44	+4	10/7-10/12
St. Pete Polls	Amendment 2	52	39	+13	10/8-10/11
Survey USA	Amendment 2	53	32	+21	9/19-9/22
Survey USA	Amendment 2	56	31	+25	9/12-9/15
Public Policy Polling	Amendment 2	61	33	+28	9/4-9/7
UF Graham Center	Amendment 2	57	24	+33	8/27-8/31
Gravis Marketing	Amendment 2	64	26	+38	8/14-8/24
Public Policy Polling	Amendment 2	66	25	+31	6/6-6/9
Public Policy Polling	medical marijuana	65	23	+32	1/16-1/21

A 60% level of support is required for this initiative to pass.

[jct74]

here is some of the boogity-boogity evil weed propaganda hitting the airwaves in Florida (thanks to Sheldon Adelson)

[jct74]

marijuana reform will be on the local ballots in 5 states next week: California, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, and New Mexico. here is a summary:

http://stopthedrugwar.org/chronicle/...ocal_ballots_f

[seapilot]

[QUOTE=jct74;5688257]here is some of the boogity-boogity evil weed propaganda hitting the airwaves in Florida (thanks to Sheldon Adelson)

Wonder why they do not use the states that have already passed MM rules as examples. They are in complete chaos!!!