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Thread: Peter Schiff was wrong about one thing.

  1. #31



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  3. #32
    Quote Originally Posted by NorthCarolinaLiberty View Post
    So you watch/know about this Peter fellow. You are also espousing the modern day life philosophy of balance. Maybe you should turn off the TV and get an original thought.
    What is your latest original thought if you don't mind?



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  5. #33
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    China's economy is slowing as well.

    http://fortune.com/2014/04/16/china-...owing-economy/
    I'm not talking about the past 18 months. I'm talking about the past 5 decades and the next 5 decades +.
    Quote Originally Posted by TheCount View Post
    ...I believe that when the government is capable of doing a thing, it will.
    Quote Originally Posted by Influenza View Post
    which one of yall fuckers wrote the "ron paul" racist news letters
    Quote Originally Posted by Dforkus View Post
    Zippy's posts are a great contribution.




    Disrupt, Deny, Deflate. Read the RPF trolls' playbook here (post #3): http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthr...eptive-members

  6. #34
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    What is your latest original thought if you don't mind?

    So you won't answer my question regarding why you're on this forum, but I'm supposed to answer your questions?

    Geez dude, I've already given you plenty of hints for better trolling. I should be doing your job. LOL.
    Quote Originally Posted by TheCount View Post
    ...I believe that when the government is capable of doing a thing, it will.
    Quote Originally Posted by Influenza View Post
    which one of yall fuckers wrote the "ron paul" racist news letters
    Quote Originally Posted by Dforkus View Post
    Zippy's posts are a great contribution.




    Disrupt, Deny, Deflate. Read the RPF trolls' playbook here (post #3): http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthr...eptive-members

  7. #35
    I just thought that since you said I didn't have any original thoughts that you may have some to share. I guess not. But thanks anyways.

    Is life in a balance a bad thing? Is focusing only on good or bad a good thing?
    Last edited by Zippyjuan; 09-08-2014 at 02:50 PM.

  8. #36
    He's been wrong about a lot actually. According to his predictions, gold should be well north of 2,000 by now.

    He's right in his ideas, but he misses a lot of the mechanics involved with what is actually going on. As he says, he knows there's a tidal wave coming that will inevitably hit one way or another, but he doesn't know anything about all of the rises and falls that will occur before it hits.

    In my own opinion the collapse he talks about is very real, but I think it will be more of a general malaise that will creep up upon us over time, so slowly none of us will feel the shock.

    And his understanding of the gold market is really wrong. I don't know why or how, because I'm no expert, but it's very clear he doesn't understand the moves. Which is very strange considering how he has tied the fate of his company to Gold.

  9. #37
    Quote Originally Posted by KingNothing View Post
    That isn't true at all. The economy is not that simple. Where those dollars go, both in terms of economic sector and area of the globe, as well as the speed with which those dollars move, play a far more important role than the amount of increase or decrease in monetary base.
    I think that's a bunch of BS to defend the printing of money. Printing money is the only factor the Fed can control. The other factors you mentioned can't be controlled by the Fed. So that means that in almost every instance of high inflation, money printing had nothing to do with it. It was just fate or animal spirits.

  10. #38
    Quote Originally Posted by TheCount View Post
    Let's defend a man who was right exactly once by using a blog that has never been right.
    Has it ever been wrong?
    What I say is for entertainment purposes only!

    Mark 10:45 The Son of Man did not come to be served, but to serve, and to give His life as a ransom for many.

    "If you want to make a lot of money, resist diversification." - Jim Rogers

  11. #39
    Quote Originally Posted by cubical View Post
    Has it ever been wrong?
    If you consider unnecessarily long, sometimes pointless abominations against good writing to be wrong then yes, constantly.

    If you want to limit this to just factually wrong, then although nothing it has ever predicted has come true, it never gives specifics or a timeframe, so you could say it is 'not wrong' but also 'not right' so long as you decide that when the author says "soon" or "very soon" it means 'more than 6 years from now.'
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Pinochet is the model
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Liberty preserving authoritarianism.
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Enforced internal open borders was one of the worst elements of the Constitution.

  12. #40
    Quote Originally Posted by TheCount View Post
    If you consider unnecessarily long, sometimes pointless abominations against good writing to be wrong then yes, constantly.

    If you want to limit this to just factually wrong, then although nothing it has ever predicted has come true, it never gives specifics or a timeframe, so you could say it is 'not wrong' but also 'not right' so long as you decide that when the author says "soon" or "very soon" it means 'more than 6 years from now.'
    So it's about ideas then, yes? Why not address them rather than being disingenuous in saying he never gets anything right, when in fact he never makes any specific "right or wrong" claims.
    What I say is for entertainment purposes only!

    Mark 10:45 The Son of Man did not come to be served, but to serve, and to give His life as a ransom for many.

    "If you want to make a lot of money, resist diversification." - Jim Rogers



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  14. #41
    Quote Originally Posted by cubical View Post
    So it's about ideas then, yes? Why not address them rather than being disingenuous in saying he never gets anything right, when in fact he never makes any specific "right or wrong" claims.
    When he specifically says COMEX is going to default or that hyperinflation is going to happen and uses the word 'soon,' I think that is clearly wrong if it does not occur within 6 years.
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Pinochet is the model
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Liberty preserving authoritarianism.
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Enforced internal open borders was one of the worst elements of the Constitution.

  15. #42
    Quote Originally Posted by TheCount View Post
    When he specifically says COMEX is going to default or that hyperinflation is going to happen and uses the word 'soon,' I think that is clearly wrong if it does not occur within 6 years.
    So FOFOA is "never right" because he said hyperinflation will occur soon and it didn't happen yet? Seems quite a broad critique for such a subjective statement. For one thing, when you are speaking of a once in a multi-generational event, 6 years is not a long time. And another, he always stresses he does not know the future or times.

    "Let me start by saying that I do not have a crystal ball, but I do have a lens. My lens is Freegold, and it is quite simply a paradigmatic framework in which to view events past, present and future in a different light. Events that defy other frameworks of understanding and confound their proponents, requiring either complex conspiracy theory explanations or else fluid foundations that must shift every time the wind changes directions, make perfect and simple sense with this lens, which is why I take its necessary conclusions so seriously. Once again, here is one of my favorite quotes from FOA:

    "I (we) expect none of you to consider anything said here as credible. Everything is given as I understand it. If you came with a notion that I am someone who sees the future, grab the children and run far away.""
    What I say is for entertainment purposes only!

    Mark 10:45 The Son of Man did not come to be served, but to serve, and to give His life as a ransom for many.

    "If you want to make a lot of money, resist diversification." - Jim Rogers

  16. #43
    Quote Originally Posted by cubical View Post
    So FOFOA is "never right" because he said hyperinflation will occur soon and it didn't happen yet? Seems quite a broad critique for such a subjective statement. For one thing, when you are speaking of a once in a multi-generational event, 6 years is not a long time. And another, he always stresses he does not know the future or times.
    Yes, as part of a 16 page, 6,066 word blog post he used almost 100 of those words to protect himself against lawsuits.
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Pinochet is the model
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Liberty preserving authoritarianism.
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Enforced internal open borders was one of the worst elements of the Constitution.

  17. #44
    Quote Originally Posted by TheCount View Post
    When he specifically says COMEX is going to default or that hyperinflation is going to happen and uses the word 'soon,' I think that is clearly wrong if it does not occur within 6 years.
    When has he ever said that?

    OK, I give up. I'm covered either way. If the dollar loses value from massive money printing I've got my gold. If it gains in value I've got my social security checks.

  18. #45
    Quote Originally Posted by Madison320 View Post
    When has he ever said that?
    I'm only going to give you quotes from 2008 and 2009, because if I did this for the entire length of his blog, I'd end with carpal tunnel syndrome.



    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2008/09/hy...stination.html ("So how close are we? I think we are very close.")

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2008/09/collapse.html ("I see it coming quite clearly.")

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/01/on...inflation.html (95% change of hyperinflation, 0% chance of normal inflation)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/07/ho...is-far_05.html

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/07/ca...ontrarian.html (In this one he says that a prediction of economic collapse being 'several years away' is too long - in 2009.)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/08/no-free-lunch.html (SOON, he says)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/08/waterfall-effect.html (SOON)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/09/sa...ll-street.html

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/09/shake-disease.html (4 or 5 more years AT MOST!)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/09/end-of-currency.html (It's IN THE PIPELINE! $30,000 gold!)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/12/go...un-bubble.html (I'll let this chart speak for itself)

    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Pinochet is the model
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Liberty preserving authoritarianism.
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Enforced internal open borders was one of the worst elements of the Constitution.

  19. #46
    Quote Originally Posted by TheCount View Post
    I'm only going to give you quotes from 2008 and 2009, because if I did this for the entire length of his blog, I'd end with carpal tunnel syndrome.



    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2008/09/hy...stination.html ("So how close are we? I think we are very close.")

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2008/09/collapse.html ("I see it coming quite clearly.")

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/01/on...inflation.html (95% change of hyperinflation, 0% chance of normal inflation)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/07/ho...is-far_05.html

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/07/ca...ontrarian.html (In this one he says that a prediction of economic collapse being 'several years away' is too long - in 2009.)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/08/no-free-lunch.html (SOON, he says)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/08/waterfall-effect.html (SOON)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/09/sa...ll-street.html

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/09/shake-disease.html (4 or 5 more years AT MOST!)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/09/end-of-currency.html (It's IN THE PIPELINE! $30,000 gold!)

    http://fofoa.blogspot.com/2009/12/go...un-bubble.html (I'll let this chart speak for itself)

    Ha! Ha! That's not Peter Schiff!!!!

  20. #47
    Quote Originally Posted by Madison320 View Post
    Ha! Ha! That's not Peter Schiff!!!!
    Ha! Ha! You can't read!!!!
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Pinochet is the model
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Liberty preserving authoritarianism.
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Enforced internal open borders was one of the worst elements of the Constitution.

  21. #48



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  23. #49
    Quote Originally Posted by TheCount View Post
    Ha! Ha! You can't read!!!!
    What are you talking about? I clicked on the first link and it was a video of some guy that was most certainly not Peter Schiff.

    Damn. Am I being trolled?

  24. #50
    Quote Originally Posted by Madison320 View Post
    What are you talking about? I clicked on the first link and it was a video of some guy that was most certainly not Peter Schiff.

    Damn. Am I being trolled?
    Read the thread.
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Pinochet is the model
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Liberty preserving authoritarianism.
    Quote Originally Posted by Swordsmyth View Post
    Enforced internal open borders was one of the worst elements of the Constitution.

  25. #51
    I just sold mine. Everything seems very "toppy". I'm in Canada so the bubble here never actually popped. I needed the money to finish my degree and wanted to stop working full time during my studies.

    So now my risk/exposure is gone, I have zero sum debt (no mortgage, no consumer debt), enough cash to live at least 2 years while paying full tuition and still working 20 hrs a week.

    I was fed up working a job full time I don't like to pay for a house I felt was just about maxed out in value due to this bubble.

    Quote Originally Posted by cubical View Post
    I just bought a house
    "Like an army falling, one by one by one" - Linkin Park

  26. #52
    A falling housing price only hurts you if you decide to sell it when the price is lower than what you paid for it. If you want to stay in the house and eventually pay it off, it does not matter what the prices of houses do. I have zero debt but that is because my home is paid off- that lowered my costs of living significantly as well. If you decide to buy a house again later, you may end up paying even more for one- in the mean time, you could have been closer to paying it off.

    But what is the best decision depends on your own situation. If you were in a difficult financial situation and needed the money, then selling may make more sense.

  27. #53
    This comes as a surprise to you intelligent people (yes I do respect all those on the forum)!? COME ON! HE is nothing more than a salesman. Nothing more or less. Heck, he even compared his Senate campaign to a "charitable endeavor" despite thousands upon thousands donated independently to his cause. In the end his net worth just couldn't match Linda McMahon. He is out for his own interest. Yes, I understand the libertarian principle of self-reliance, capitalism and what not. Just be careful of people that clam to be looking out for your interest yet sell a certain instrument they claim will "Protect your wealth" for a living like Schiff. This video on youtube should be seen by all before giving all your money betting on ideology and nothing else. When Schiff started pumping his "golden chocolate bar" the spot price was well above $1500. I won't even bring up the fact he had a 'buy' call on gold when it was above 1900/oz with no exit strategy whatsoever. You can claim his timing was off, but his sales pitch of protecting one's wealth has proven to be totally false. Buying an S&P indexed ETF with CASH MONEY would have protected your wealth better over the past few years than buying marked up precious metals from Schiff. Will gold crash? I am not betting on it. Just be careful before trusting your hard earned capital with people only looking to make a buck for themselves.
    Last edited by toathis; 09-25-2014 at 01:06 AM.

  28. #54
    Quote Originally Posted by Peter4Paul2016 View Post
    Prophet Or Profit?

    Peter Schiff makes for a good television guest... He's loud, a good talker, charismatic (to some), polarizing, and opinionated...

    Keep in mind, he also SELLS PRECIOUS METALS. He's always going to describe conditions that are great for buying gold so that he can sell more gold.

    It's #1 on his agenda... With Schiff, we're ALWAYS on the cusp of a major crisis. Sometimes he's wrong, sometimes he's right. If you always bet on black every day for twenty years, eventually we'll land on black. And when the economy tanks and he gets it right, he's a genius and a prophet...

    I am bullish on gold, always have been. And I often agree with Schiff... I'm just saying, don't forget that his wallet is his priority - getting you to buy more gold (and from him!).

  29. #55
    HE is nothing more than a salesman. Nothing more or less. Heck, he even compared his Senate campaign to a "charitable endeavor" despite thousands upon thousands donated independently to his cause. In the end his net worth just couldn't match Linda McMahon. He is out for his own interest.
    This doesn't make any sense at all. Peter Schiff could have made a lot more money being a regular broker who is only in it for short term profits, selling people on the latest tech stock, etc.. but instead he chose to tell people the truth about bubbles, economics and the future of the collapsing economy and collapsing dollar and help to protect their wealth in the longterm rather than ride short term trends and bubbles. He lost a lot of customers initially, it wasn't until the internet bubble burst and a lot of people lost their shirts that he started gaining more followers.

    So if Peter Schiff is just a "salesman" out to make money then you should be able to tell me why he didn't sell customers internet stocks and doesn't push the easy to sell trendy investments that are advertised in the media?

    Oh that's right, you can't, because you actually don't know that much about Peter Schiff or his philosophy and haven't really thought this through that much. You're just a tool for the establishment pushing more mainstream BS.
    "He's talkin' to his gut like it's a person!!" -me
    "dumpster diving isn't professional." - angelatc
    "You don't need a medical degree to spot obvious bullshit, that's actually a separate skill." -Scott Adams
    "When you are divided, and angry, and controlled, you target those 'different' from you, not those responsible [controllers]" -Q

    "Each of us must choose which course of action we should take: education, conventional political action, or even peaceful civil disobedience to bring about necessary changes. But let it not be said that we did nothing." - Ron Paul

    "Paul said "the wave of the future" is a coalition of anti-authoritarian progressive Democrats and libertarian Republicans in Congress opposed to domestic surveillance, opposed to starting new wars and in favor of ending the so-called War on Drugs."

  30. #56
    Quote Originally Posted by dannno View Post
    This doesn't make any sense at all. Peter Schiff could have made a lot more money being a regular broker who is only in it for short term profits, selling people on the latest tech stock, etc.. but instead he chose to tell people the truth about bubbles, economics and the future of the collapsing economy and collapsing dollar and help to protect their wealth in the longterm rather than ride short term trends and bubbles. He lost a lot of customers initially, it wasn't until the internet bubble burst and a lot of people lost their shirts that he started gaining more followers.

    So if Peter Schiff is just a "salesman" out to make money then you should be able to tell me why he didn't sell customers internet stocks and doesn't push the easy to sell trendy investments that are advertised in the media?

    Oh that's right, you can't, because you actually don't know that much about Peter Schiff or his philosophy and haven't really thought this through that much. You're just a tool for the establishment pushing more mainstream BS.
    Most investment firms only sell a subset of what Schiff sells. They mainly sell US stocks and bonds and that's it. So who are you more likely to believe? The guy that recommends US stocks and bonds and only sells US stock and bonds? Or the guy who sells US stocks and bonds, plus many other investments like PM and foreign stocks and bonds and recommends something other than US stocks and bonds? Schiff makes money whether he sells crappy US bonds or gold. Most guys only make money on US stocks and bonds because that's all they sell. I've explained this simple concept several times but the Schiff Hating Trolls are too mentally challenged to understand it.



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  32. #57
    Quote Originally Posted by TheCount View Post
    Ha! Ha! You can't read!!!!
    Ok, the most definite answer you see is he thinks 4 or 5 years is too long away, which was posted in 2009. You can say he was wrong here, I would agree, but you don't understand his position if thats all you are going on.

    The rest of your links are either to someone FOFOA is quoting, someone else altogether or places where you don't agree with the word "soon".
    What I say is for entertainment purposes only!

    Mark 10:45 The Son of Man did not come to be served, but to serve, and to give His life as a ransom for many.

    "If you want to make a lot of money, resist diversification." - Jim Rogers

  33. #58
    Quote Originally Posted by Madison320 View Post
    Most investment firms only sell a subset of what Schiff sells. They mainly sell US stocks and bonds and that's it. So who are you more likely to believe? The guy that recommends US stocks and bonds and only sells US stock and bonds? Or the guy who sells US stocks and bonds, plus many other investments like PM and foreign stocks and bonds and recommends something other than US stocks and bonds? Schiff makes money whether he sells crappy US bonds or gold. Most guys only make money on US stocks and bonds because that's all they sell. I've explained this simple concept several times but the Schiff Hating Trolls are too mentally challenged to understand it.
    Schiff was touting gold a decade before he started to sell it himself. He said his clients were too often talked into buying the numismatic coins, so it was easier for him to just sell it himself. His prices are inline with everyone else. I could understand if he was gouging where this might be a problem, but its another example of people trying so hard to make something out of nothing.
    What I say is for entertainment purposes only!

    Mark 10:45 The Son of Man did not come to be served, but to serve, and to give His life as a ransom for many.

    "If you want to make a lot of money, resist diversification." - Jim Rogers

  34. #59
    I don't know about the coins he sells but his fees on his funds are well above average for the types of funds they are.

  35. #60
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    I don't know about the coins he sells but his fees on his funds are well above average for the types of funds they are.
    I agree, I wouldn't invest with Schiff, but I do agree with most of his ideas.
    What I say is for entertainment purposes only!

    Mark 10:45 The Son of Man did not come to be served, but to serve, and to give His life as a ransom for many.

    "If you want to make a lot of money, resist diversification." - Jim Rogers

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