Poll showing Romney beating Paul in NH was rigged
A recent poll in New Hampshire said that if Mitt Romney got into the 2016 presidential race, he would beat Rand Paul by a margin of 39%-7%.
This poll was seized upon by Paul family detractor Dave Weigel of Slate. A link to the poll can be found in the article by Weigel below:
Why Rand Paul Is Not the “2016 GOP Front-Runner,” in One Chart
http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/20...one_chart.html
However, Ben Swann's website reports that the poll question producing this improbable result was biased. See here:
http://benswann.com/mainstream-media...l-frontrunner/Eric Levenson also pointed out the fact that the University of New Hampshire poll’s question may have caused a bias among participants, “The particular phrasing of the question posed to responders also likely had an impact on Romney’s big advantage. The pollers first asked a bevy of questions and opinions about the expected Republican contestants, including Christie, Ryan, Paul, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and others. The poller then asked a follow-up question: ‘If Mitt Romney were to run for the Republican nomination…’ followed by a list of all those same potential candidates. Specifically calling out Romney before mentioning the other names may have had the effect of highlighting him above others and influencing the response.”
Romney may well be leading Rand right now in NH, but not by such a large margin. To the extent Romney is leading is mostly due to a big advantage in name recognition and that NH is a border state to Romney's hone state of Massachusetts.
In a real election, a race between Rand and Romney in NH would be competitive.
UPDATE:
In the 2012 NH primary, Romney finished with 39%, Ron Paul with 23%.
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