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Thread: Bank runs, bank holiday & 10% government bailout tax on deposits in Cyprus

  1. #1

    Bank runs, bank holiday & 10% government bailout tax on deposits in Cyprus

    The EU finance ministers decided yesterday that all depositors at Cyprian banks will have to pay for the bailout of the government, regardless of whether their bank is in trouble or not. Collectivism at it's best. It's also gonna hit local and smaller depositors more heavily, because smart money (Russian money launderers and hedge funds) has left the country long ago anyway. This is a primary example of the immorality of bailouts. There are bank runs happening all over Cyprus today, but the bailout tax has already been substracted from the account balances. I also haven't read a word about the participation of government and/or bank bondholders in the bailouts. It seems they haven't been asked to give something which makes perfect sense, because the bondholders are mainly foreign banks and not domestic depositors...

    I'm predicting that this is gonna cause capital flights from other weak Eurozone countries' banks to "safe" countries like Germany, the Netherlands or Finnland, thereby increasing the Target2 ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TARGET2..._and_criticism ) imbalances between the Eurozone countries.


    Here's the news by AFP:
    Cyprus depositors hammered in radical EU-IMF bailout

    By Roderick Thomson (AFP) – 6 hours ago

    BRUSSELS — Eurozone leaders and the IMF on Saturday announced an unprecedented levy on all deposits in Cypriot banks as the sting in the tail of a 10-billion-euro bailout for the near-bankrupt government in Nicosia.

    Intended to apply to everyone from pensioners to Russian oligarchs alleged to have billions stashed away in what officials say is a bloated Cypriot banking sector, the "stability levy" immediately raised a flood of concerns among finance experts over a possible bank run in bigger eurozone economies, where fragile public finances are also under scrutiny.

    Dutch Finance Minister Jeroen Dijsselbloem, after chairing some 10 hours of talks to strike the deal with counterparts including International Monetary Fund head Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank's Mario Draghi, said the "upfront, one-off" tax is expected to raise 5.8 billion euros on top of the loans still to be finalised by eurozone parliaments.

    The levy will see deposits of more than 100,000 euros in Cypriot banks hit with a 9.9 percent charge when lenders re-open their doors on Tuesday after a scheduled bank holiday on Monday. Under that threshold and the levy drops to 6.75 percent.

    Top ECB official Joerg Assmussen said the only way to drive down what was originally requested as a 17-billion-euro rescue was to claw back money from the Cypriot banking sector, which is estimated to hold assets worth five times the country's economic output.

    "In order to have burden-sharing, you extend the tax base," Asmussen said. "To residents and also to non-residents."

    Lagarde said she would recommend that the IMF board now agree to chip in what one diplomat said could amount to another billion euros ($1.3 billion) in loans.

    Lagarde said "the exact amount is not yet specified and will take a little bit of time" to arrive at.

    Officials including the EU's economy and euro commissioner Olli Rehn also cited "positive" parallel talks with Russia on possibly easier terms on a 2.5-billion-euros loan it gave to the Cypriot government.

    Cyprus Finance Minister Michalis Sarris will reportedly fly to Moscow for talks Monday about extending that loan, due to be repaid in 2016.

    Under the deal, the Cyprus government will also have to hike corporate tax to 12.5 percent from 10 percent and sell off state assets so as to help balance the public finances.

    "As it is a contribution to the financial stability of Cyprus, it seems 'just' to ask a contribution of all deposit-holders" to the rescue, Dijsselbloem said.

    "The challenges we were facing in Cyprus were of an exceptional nature," the Dutchman said, under tough questioning from journalists at a press conference after the meeting in Brussels.

    "We did what we had to," said French Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici on exiting the talks.

    "It's something that compared to other possible outcomes, is the least onerous," said finance minister Sarris,

    This arrangement notably meant his government "avoided salary and pension cuts" for public sector workers
    , he said.

    Cyprus accounts for just 0.2 percent of the combined eurozone economy but officials said it had to be bailed out to safeguard the principle that no eurozone state could be allowed to default and so compromise the credibility and integrity of the single currency.

    A "withholding tax" will also be imposed at source on interest earned in Cypriot banks in a further hit .

    The talks had dragged on as the Cypriot government fought its ultimately doomed battle to avoid a "bail-in" or haircut, which it argued would trigger a run on its banks and ricochet on through the wider eurozone financial system.

    Cyprus President Nikos Anastasiades attended the talks.

    The Cyprus price tag is very small compared with two rescues for Greece worth some 380 billion euros ($496 billion), Ireland's 85 billion euros, Portugal's 78 billion and 41 billion for Spanish banks.

    Russians are among the biggest investors in Cyprus, and hardline lenders like Germany had pressed for months for a clampdown on banks' alleged involvement in money laundering.

    The total annual output of the Cypriot economy is 17 billion euros, and the IMF was concerned that a bailout on that level would take the country's debt burden to unsustainable levels.

    Copyright © 2013 AFP. All rights reserved.
    http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp...ef2921cd51a.21
    Last edited by swissaustrian; 03-16-2013 at 06:03 AM.



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  3. #2
    10 percent bailout tax on deposits, hmmm....I could see that catching on.

  4. #3
    There are bank runs happening all over Cyprus today, but the bailout tax has already been substracted from the account balances.

    Well, duh. Why wait on the next one?

    They just killed their banking industry. Sometimes I wonder how these idiots can't see such clear causal relationships.
    We have allies many of you are not aware of. Watch the tube. Show this to your 30 and under friends. Listen to it. Even if you don't like rap, it has 2.7 million views.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kmBnvajSfWU#t=0m16s

    Cut off one min early to avoid war porn.

  5. #4
    The reactions in the financial blogosphere are even more extreme than I thought.
    There's outright disbelief in this action.
    Last edited by swissaustrian; 03-16-2013 at 02:15 PM.

  6. #5
    Financial commentators can't believe it:
    Authored by Lars Seier Christensen, CEO Saxo Bank; originally posted at his blog at wwwTradingFloor.com ,

    It is difficult to describe the weekend bailout package to Cyprus in any other way. The confiscation of 6.75 percent of small depositors' money and 9.9 percent of big depositors' funds is without precedence that I can think of in a supposedly civilised and democratic society. But maybe the European Union (EU) is no longer a civilised democracy?

    I heard rumours about this when I visited Limassol last week, but dismissed them as completely outlandish. And yet, here we are. The consequences are unpredictable, but we are clearly looking at a significant paradigm shift.

    This is a breach of fundamental property rights, dictated to a small country by foreign powers and it must make every bank depositor in Europe shiver.
    Although the representatives at the bailout press conference tried to present this as a one-off, they were not willing to rule out similar measures elsewhere - not that it would have mattered much as the trust is gone anyway. It is now difficult to expect any kind of limitation to what measures the Troika and EU might take when the crisis really starts to bite.

    If you can do this once, you can do it again. if you can confiscate 10 percent of a bank customer's money, you can confiscate 25, 50 or even 100 percent. I now believe we will see worse as the panic increases, with politicians desperately trying to keep the EUR alive.

    Depositors in other prospective bailout countries must be running scared
    - is it safe to keep money in an Italian, Spanish or Greek bank any more? I dont know, must be the answer. Is it prudent to take the risk? You decide. I fear this will lead to massive capital outflows from weak Eurozone countries, just about the last thing they need right now. Even from the EU as a whole, I suspect, as the banking union is in place in most countries already.

    Another open question is what will happen to the huge number of brokerages based in Cyprus? There is about 100 or more FX and other brokers currently operating under the relatively light Cypriot regulation. How will this impact the trustworthiness of these many small institutions? What IS the exact impact on the client deposits they might be holding in Cyprus? Will anyone dare to do business with them going forward?

    This is a major, MAJOR game changer and the fallout will be with us for a long time to come. I believe it could be the beginning of the end for the Eurozone as this is an unbelievable blow to the already challenged trust that might be left among investors. Talk about a possible own goal.

    Market reaction? it must be very good for gold - and for safe-haven countries
    like Switzerland, Singapore and economically more healthy non-Euro countries in, for example, Scandinavia. I would think the EUR and associated markets will be undermined by increasing lack of confidence when the full implications become clear for investors.

    This is full-blown socialism and I still cannot believe this really happened.


    Be careful out there...

  7. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by swissaustrian View Post
    The reactions in the financial blogosphere are even more extreme than I thought.
    There's outright disbelief in this action.
    The banks just confiscated a chunk of every account's contents. Outright seizure of assets. That's unheard of in modern times and one hell of a precedent being set....and may even be the "black swan" that starts another global crash. This really deserves more attention outside of the econ-nerd realm.
    "Let it not be said that we did nothing."-Ron Paul

    "We have set them on the hobby-horse of an idea about the absorption of individuality by the symbolic unit of COLLECTIVISM. They have never yet and they never will have the sense to reflect that this hobby-horse is a manifest violation of the most important law of nature, which has established from the very creation of the world one unit unlike another and precisely for the purpose of instituting individuality."- A Quote From Some Old Book

  8. #7
    "In order to have burden-sharing, you extend the tax base," Asmussen said. "To residents and also to non-residents."
    "As it is a contribution to the financial stability of Cyprus, it seems 'just' to ask a contribution of all deposit-holders" to the rescue, Dijsselbloem said.
    "burden-sharing" and "ask a contribution" ... ?

    Asmussen & Dijsselbloem: nominees for the 2013 Orwellian Newspeak Award.
    The Bastiat Collection · FREE PDF · FREE EPUB · PAPER
    Frédéric Bastiat (1801-1850)

    • "When law and morality are in contradiction to each other, the citizen finds himself in the cruel alternative of either losing his moral sense, or of losing his respect for the law."
      -- The Law (p. 54)
    • "Government is that great fiction, through which everybody endeavors to live at the expense of everybody else."
      -- Government (p. 99)
    • "[W]ar is always begun in the interest of the few, and at the expense of the many."
      -- Economic Sophisms - Second Series (p. 312)
    • "There are two principles that can never be reconciled - Liberty and Constraint."
      -- Harmonies of Political Economy - Book One (p. 447)

    · tu ne cede malis sed contra audentior ito ·



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