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Thread: Open seats for US Congress 2014

  1. #1

    Default Open seats for US Congress 2014

    Here is a list of open seats for the 2014 US Congress including special elections. I will keep it updated to the best of my ability. This site should help us keep up to date. Hopefully this will keep us focused on some winnable races. I've included the Cook Partisan Voting Index to help determine which party the electorate favors in the respective district.

    With the help of RPF members, I would also like to keep a list of Republicans that are vulnerable during primary. I would like to give credit to CaptLouAlbano for insights. With time I may list our chosen liberty candidate alongside the open/vulnerable seat.

    US House
    Georgia 10th, Paul Broun(R), R14 -- running for US Senate
    Iowa 1st, Bruce Braley(D), D5 -- running for US Senate
    Massachusetts 5th, Ed Markey(D), D16 -- running for US Senate
    Massachusetts 8th, Stephen Lynch(D), D9 -- running for US Senate
    Missouri 8th, Jo Ann Emerson(R), R13 -- resigned, special election June 4th, candidates nominated by party committee
    South Carolina 1st, Tim Scott(R), R11 -- running for US Senate
    West Virginia 2nd, Shelley Moore Capito(R), R8 -- running for US Senate


    US Senate
    Georgia, Saxby Chambliss(R), R7
    Iowa, Tom Harkin(D), D1
    Nebraska, Mike Johanns(R), R13
    New Jersey, Frank Lautenberg(D), D4
    Michigan, Carl Levin(D), D4
    West Virginia,Jay Rockefeller(D), R8
    Massachusetts, John Kerry(D), D12 --special election June 25th


    Vulnerable Republicans in Safe Republican Districts
    ?
    ?
    ?



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  3. #2

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    There will probably be two more GA GOP seats(likely Gingrey and Kingston) opening up, just a heads up.

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    We have almost no chance in those races. Our best shots (out of your list) is Iowa-1 and Georgia-10. (excluding SC-1, which we are guaranteed to win, be it Sanford or Grooms)
    List of Liberty-minded candidates for Congress in 2014
    Party: Libertarian (since registration) / Religion: none (Ignostic)

    “If while on your way you meet no one your equal or better, steadily continue on your way alone. There is no fellowship with fools.”
    ― Dhammapada, v. 61

    "Asking why there are no Libertarian countries is akin to asking why there are no Atheist Theocracies." - #AncapJackal

  6. #5

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    There is a list of selected races with analysis here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_...lected_results

    Some that jump out at me are the Dem seats that are ranked across the board as tossups: AZ-1, AZ-2, FL-18, and NH-1.

    Johnson in OH-6 might be a good one to primary. It looks like a safe CD, and Johnson's voting record is pretty poor (30% Freedomworks 2012, 65% JBS 112th, 65% CFG lifetime)

    Same with Meehan in PA-7. McKeon in CA-25, etc.
    Last edited by CaptLouAlbano; 03-12-2013 at 06:35 AM.

  7. #6

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    Missouri 8th is filled. Smith was selected.

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    Don't know about Johnson in OH-6, he's my Congressman. It's actually a swingy blue-dog/coal kind of district, which Ted Strickland represented for about a decade before being governor. Then Charlie Wilson had the seat for 2 terms before being unseated by Johnson in 2010. Johnson beat Wilson 53-46 in the rematch this year, and Wilson just had a stroke while in Florida, so I think his political career is likely over. Don't think any Dem will rise up by 2014, but Johnson seems pretty up there in years, he'll probably retire in the next 8-10 years. I'll probably go to my county's Lincoln dinner just to listen to his keynote address.

  9. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by supermario21 View Post
    Don't know about Johnson in OH-6, he's my Congressman. It's actually a swingy blue-dog/coal kind of district, which Ted Strickland represented for about a decade before being governor. Then Charlie Wilson had the seat for 2 terms before being unseated by Johnson in 2010. Johnson beat Wilson 53-46 in the rematch this year, and Wilson just had a stroke while in Florida, so I think his political career is likely over. Don't think any Dem will rise up by 2014, but Johnson seems pretty up there in years, he'll probably retire in the next 8-10 years. I'll probably go to my county's Lincoln dinner just to listen to his keynote address.
    Thanks for the local intel. I was just reading into it "on paper" and seeing how it looked.

  10. #9

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    Quote Originally Posted by CaptLouAlbano View Post
    Thanks for the local intel. I was just reading into it "on paper" and seeing how it looked.
    Yeah, I've been disappointed with some of Johnson's votes. Maybe I'll try and get a few words with him in a few weeks.

  11. #10

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    Quote Originally Posted by itshappening View Post
    Missouri 8th is filled. Smith was selected.
    Election is still on June 4. FYI, Bill Slantz (L) is running. http://billslantz.com/

  12. #11

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    US House seats that are held by a Democrat but have a Republican advantage. Included year elected.

    AZ-1Kirkpatrick, Ann 2013 R3
    AZ- 2Barber, Ron 2012 R2
    AZ- 9Sinema, Kyrsten 2013 R1
    CA-7 Bera, Ami 2013 R3
    CA-36 Ruiz, Raul 2013 R3
    FL-18 Murphy, Patrick 2013 R1
    FL-26 Garcia, Joe 2013 R4
    GA-12 Barrow, John 2005 R9
    MN-1 Walz, Timothy J. 2007 R1
    MN-7 Peterson, Collin C. 1991 R5
    NC-7 McIntyre, Mike 1997 R11
    NH-1 Shea-Porter, Carol 2013 EVEN
    NY-1 Bishop, Timothy 2003 EVEN
    NY-18 Maloney, Sean Patrick 2013 R2
    NY-21 Owens, Bill 2009 R2
    TX-23 Gallego, Pete 2013 R5
    UT-4 Matheson, Jim 2013 R14
    WV-3 Rahall, Nick 1977 R6

  13. #12

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    Well done. Thanks for the research Uriah

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeremy View Post
    We should primary vulnerable Republicans like Desjarlais : http://www.politico.com/story/2013/0...ure-88449.html
    Any leads on a liberty challenger? Working on an update with more info.

  16. #15

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    Quote Originally Posted by Uriah View Post
    Any leads on a liberty challenger? Working on an update with more info.
    http://www.redstate.com/tennessean/2...sing-gop-star/

    State Rep. Joe Carr looks like a good candidate. Not sure if he's a liberty candidate, but he seems to be pretty good.

    He proposed a gun control law ban (banning gun control laws in TN): http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/0...n_2491028.html

    http://tennessee.tenthamendmentcente...ttee-tomorrow/

    http://joecarr48.com/
    Last edited by Spoa; 03-17-2013 at 02:23 PM.






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