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Thread: November Car Sales Could Hit Pace Not Seen Since 2008

  1. #141

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    Quote Originally Posted by devil21 View Post
    Please point out where I said that. What I said/asked is whether Jordan's article (and yours too) indicate specifically if the figures are based on end-user sales or manufacturer-to-dealer sales. Nobody seems to be able to answer this question since the article apparently doesn't say. Channel stuffing is a confirmed practice and Im happy to provide links to that if you'd like. Others on this thread recognize that "sales" figures generally are manufacturer-to-dealer too, not to end-users, and therefore is not a worthwhile metric. If you post the article the burden of proof is on you to prove it's not just CNBC pump monkey hype.
    FFS, you can make an inference from the data on days of inventory that the cars are selling. If annual sales are up, and inventories are mostly constant, then the cars are obviously being sold to the public.



  • #142
    Member Zippyjuan's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by devil21 View Post

    Originally Posted by Zippyjuan

    You did make the claim that the public wasn't buying them- that they weren't really sales. Can you support that claim?
    Please point out where I said that. What I said/asked is whether Jordan's article (and yours too) indicate specifically if the figures are based on end-user sales or manufacturer-to-dealer sales. Nobody seems to be able to answer this question since the article apparently doesn't say. Channel stuffing is a confirmed practice and Im happy to provide links to that if you'd like. Others on this thread recognize that "sales" figures generally are manufacturer-to-dealer too, not to end-users, and therefore is not a worthwhile metric. If you post the article the burden of proof is on you to prove it's not just CNBC pump monkey hype.
    I guess you don't read your own posts. That's OK- I can help you. Let's go back and read one. See post #125.
    The vehicles haven't been sold. No one has bought them. They're not sales. How hard is that to understand? Preach about green shoots once they're actually sold to the buying public. Until then it's just CNBC pump monkey nonsense from cherry picked "analysts".
    Last edited by Zippyjuan; 12-05-2012 at 01:10 PM.
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  • #143

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    Confirmed channel stuffing and the lame street media is reporting it now.
    From Zerohedge about new WSJ article on the big 3.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-1...uffing-scandal

    WSJ link
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000...googlenews_wsj

  • #144

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    Quote Originally Posted by Trimbeaux View Post
    Confirmed channel stuffing and the lame street media is reporting it now.
    From Zerohedge about new WSJ article on the big 3.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-1...uffing-scandal

    WSJ link
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000...googlenews_wsj
    Again, one firm does not the market make. I already posted actual industry wide numbers a few pages back and the days-to-sale number has been relatively flat over the past year.

  • #145

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    Quote Originally Posted by Trimbeaux View Post
    Confirmed channel stuffing and the lame street media is reporting it now.
    From Zerohedge about new WSJ article on the big 3.

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2012-1...uffing-scandal

    WSJ link
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000...googlenews_wsj



    Wow. So much for "If annual sales are up, and inventories are mostly constant, then the cars are obviously being sold to the public."

    Well, since globalism, consumerism and socialism is the obvious panacea, I'm just waiting for the notion that no American should be denied the basic fundamental right to own a new car, and a "No American Driver Left Behind" program, where the government steps in and subsidizes the loans once the lenders back off from scraping the rest of the bottom of the barrel, and find themselves running out of lending courage gas. Top that with a provision similar to student loans -- that government subsidized car loans are not dischargeable in bankruptcy -- and the sky's the limit! Everything should go swimmingly after that.
    Last edited by Steven Douglas; 12-05-2012 at 01:50 PM.

  • #146

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    Quote Originally Posted by Steven Douglas View Post


    Wow. So much for "If annual sales are up, and inventories are mostly constant, then the cars are obviously being sold to the public."

    Well, since globalism, consumerism and socialism is the obvious panacea, I'm just waiting for the notion that no American should be denied the basic fundamental right to own a new car, and a "No American Driver Left Behind" program, where the government steps in and subsidizes the loans once the lenders back off from scraping the rest of the bottom of the barrel, and find themselves running out of lending courage gas. Top that with a provision similar to student loans -- that government subsidized car loans are not dischargeable in bankruptcy -- and the sky's the limit! Everything should go swimmingly after that.
    Wow, if only people would read the whole thread before posting.

    I've already shown that days inventory is mostly unchanged. And LibertyIn08 has already pointed out that GM's inventory levels are the highest of any car company, and well above the average.

    P.S. I like how that chart starts with the bottom in car sales on an annualized basis. It's designed to be misleading, given that it shows inventory without respect to annual sales. Obviously total inventories will be higher when cars are selling faster. I wonder if you guys would be surprised to learn that Walmart carries more inventory than a convenience store.
    Last edited by Jordan; 12-05-2012 at 02:09 PM.

  • #147
    Member Zippyjuan's Avatar
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    Looks like BOTH sales and inventories are up. That does not necessarily mean that the sales figures come from what is sold to dealers and not sales from dealers to customers. Say I had 100 cars and sold 50. End of month I have 50 cars left. I order 100 more but sell 60. My inventory is now 90 at the end of month which is higher but my sales also increased.

    Check this out:
    http://www.istockanalyst.com/finance...to-start-dying

    The Auto sector graduated from our emerging to our mature bull list in this week's sector performance review. According to Reuters, car sales hit a five-year high in November stepping in the gas by rising 15% to 1.14 million vehicles.

    With news like that, it's no wonder that auto sector is catching the eye of investors. Many car industry experts believe the trend will carry into 2013. However, troubling times could be ahead for automakers as incentives and a troubling rise in inventories could hit profits hard in in 2013.

    This morning, the Wall Street Journal reported, "Detroit auto makers are piling up big stocks of passenger cars at dealers despite brisk new-vehicle sales in the U.S.—a problem that executives vowed to avoid since their painful downturn three years ago." The more things change, the more they stay the same.
    Freedom is a state of mind. Nobody can take that from you unless you let them.

  • #148
    Rand can win in 2016 only after the security guards will listen to us rather than the establishment hacks and only after we are able to ensure that the rules are followed and the votes accurately tallied.

  • #149

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    Quote Originally Posted by Tod View Post
    There sure has been a spate of optimistic news lately about the US economy:

    Anyone care to speculate why that is?
    The economy is actually improving, that's why.

  • #150

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jordan View Post
    The economy is actually improving, that's why.
    So are you saying that the Keynesians' policies are good, or that the economy is improving despite their policies?

    Is the condition of the economy more dependent upon the amount of faith in it than on monetary and legislative policy?
    Rand can win in 2016 only after the security guards will listen to us rather than the establishment hacks and only after we are able to ensure that the rules are followed and the votes accurately tallied.

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