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Thread: Kansas' caucus will help decide Republican nominee (some caucus info)

  1. #1

    Kansas' caucus will help decide Republican nominee (some caucus info)

    "Integrity means having to say things that people don't want to hear & especially to say things that the regime doesn't want to hear.” -Ron Paul

    "Bathtub falls and police officers kill more Americans than terrorism, yet we've been asked to sacrifice our most sacred rights for fear of falling victim to it." -Edward Snowden



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  3. #2
    We need some firepower in this state.

  4. #3
    Huckabee won with 60% last time.
    "Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one."
    —Charles Mackay

    "god i fucking wanna rip his balls off and offer them to the gods"
    -Anonymous

  5. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by kathy88 View Post
    Huckabee won with 60% last time.
    I wouldn't expect Santorum to get anywhere near Huckabee's 60%

    The mass majority of Kansas is extremely evangelical but hopefully some of that evangelical vote will go to Ron since he's the only "Christian" in the race.

  6. #5
    I know making predictions is generally useless... but I am going to take a stab at how the state will look.



    As you can see, I believe Romney will do well in the highly populated areas (such as Wichita and the Kansas city metropolitan statistical area). Santorum will do well in the less populated areas. Gingrich will win some counties. For whatever reason he is popular here, I can see him getting 15%+ of the vote (I am thinking closer to 20).

    Every county I have Paul winning are college counties. Douglas (location of KU), Riley(KSU), Lyon (Emporia State), Crawford (Pitt State), and Ellis (Fort Hays State). A large portion (20%+) of their population in each of these counties is college students. We will have to see how things go, but I am hoping for the best and preparing for the worst.

    If I have to make a prediction... Ron gets 3rd.

    Probably something like:

    31% Santorum
    26% Romney
    22% Paul
    19% Gingrich.



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