First CNN Exit Poll New Hampshire

[Agorism]

Wolf just said after commercial, they will go into the first CNN exist polls of NH.

[Havax]

My guess: Romney 33%, Paul 19%, Huntsman 18%

[Harald]

Hmm... Are there some guidelines of not releasing exit polls until the polling is over?

[Tyler_Durden]

Sorry for being so new, but what exactly is an exit poll?

[Cody1]

Edit: thinking of entrance polls

[UNC08]

Hmm... Are there some guidelines of not releasing exit polls until the polling is over?

They'll probably just include turnout facts and facts about demographics.

[MyEyesTheyBurn]

My guess: Romney 33%, Paul 19%, Huntsman 18%

My guess:
Romney 31
Paul 25
Huntsman 14

[Kords21]

I suspect that huntsman must be doing good early which is why CNN is doing an exit poll this early

[Agorism]

Hmm... Are there some guidelines of not releasing exit polls until the polling is over?

You'd think, but the CNN commercial just ended, and in the text at the bottom it says "NH primary awaiting first exit polls."

[SamuraisWisdom]

Hmm... Are there some guidelines of not releasing exit polls until the polling is over?

One would hope so. It doesn't seem right that they could release "results" before voting is over, which might influence the vote of a few people watching the program.

[evadmurd]

Sorry for being so new, but what exactly is an exit poll?

Polling people as they leave the polling station to ask who they voted for.

[Havax]

THink someone posted earlier about exit polls potential to influence the election. Illegal maybe?

Well they do this in the general election since some states vote later than others yet results roll in...

[Indiana4Paul]

Hmm... Are there some guidelines of not releasing exit polls until the polling is over?

There are exceptions made in cases where the media desperately wants to influence the election with a 'surging' candidate story.

[pauliticalfan]

Okay, they're not gonna show numbers for the candidates. It's gonna be pointless crap like "what's the most important quality in a candidate" and "what's your number one issue."

It will tell us next to nothing about the actual race.

[IterTemporis]

Did I just hear Ron Paul up next?

[ronpaulfollower999]

They probably won't have polling numbers. It will likely be demographics (age, income, location, etc).

[musicmax]

Wolf just said after commercial, they will go into the first CNN exist polls of NH.

I vote that CNN not exist.

[sailingaway]

They had Ron ahead in Iowa. I think they do rotten polls.

[freejack]

It's funny how we're so concerned about exit polls being released early when the msm has been pumping Huntsman all day. Fairness went out the door a long time ago.

[bt53]

I suspect that huntsman must be doing good early which is why CNN is doing an exit poll this early

Sadly I agree, if Paul was crushing him they'd definitely hold off in order to avoid any sort of bump.

[UNC08]

Okay, they're not gonna show numbers for the candidates. It's gonna be pointless crap like "what's the most important quality in a candidate" and "what's your number one issue."

It will tell us next to nothing about the actual race.

Like I said, they don't release the actualy candidate numbers before polls close. But someone somewhere should be getting those numbers. They often leak -- or at least the general direction leaks (like the idea that Santorum was going to do really well in Iowa).

[Tyler_Durden]

I vote that CNN not exist.

Bain can buy it, gut it, and close it up..

[Agorism]

They had Ron ahead in Iowa. I think they do rotten polls.

Nah, they nailed Iowa perfect. The CNN exist polls updated 2 times so the the third time they showed with 1700 in their sample, CNN had the late voters tallied in and put Paul right around 21-22%.

It is true the first sample and the first update showed Paul winning, but once we got the late arrivals in, their sample was pretty much perfect.

[The One]

I like the way people always jump in with their guesses...wish I understood the point of that.

[MyEyesTheyBurn]

I like the way people always jump in with their guesses...wish I understood the point of that.

There is no point

Romney 57
Paul 21
Huntsman 11

[Canderson]

Are exit poll releases before voting illegal or just entrance polls?

[jersdream]

Before they released the Iowa Entrance polls, they talked about in 2008 how they did early birds versus late arrivals to the caucuses. HOw there were candidates last time that did better with the early arrivals than the late ones....

Paul did great amount the early arrivals, not so well with the late arrivals. all in all...CNN nailed it.

[realtonygoodwin]

They had Ron ahead in Iowa. I think they do rotten polls.

People change their minds in caucuses.

[Agorism]

This is what CNN had for its entrance polls for Iowa

Paul: 21.68%
Romney: 24.23%
Santorum: 23.53%

I calculated it on election night in my CNN entrance poll thread.
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/epolls/ia


http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthr...al-break/page7

[sailingaway]

Nah, they nailed Iowa perfect. The CNN exist polls updated 2 times so the the third time they showed with 1700 in their sample, CNN had the late voters tallied in and put Paul right around 21-22%.

It is true the first sample and the first update showed Paul winning, but once we got the late arrivals in, their sample was pretty much perfect.

OK, their early ones are rotten, and they should wait.