Rasmussen: "Ron Paul, in the aftermath of a huge fundraising day, jumps to 5%"
The 4% from back a week or two was apparently a bit of standard statistical fluctuation, and after he dropped back to 3% or lower, they didn't mention his name. This time, however, he suddenly jumped up to 5% (and this is a a four day rolling average, so if his previous days were, say, 5% (Tuesday, after the money bomb was complete), 4% (Monday, while the money bomb was in progress), and 3% (Sunday, before the money bomb), then to get a 5% overall, Wednesday's results (I'm assuming today's noon report covers polling done up through the previous evening; I doubt polling is done in the morning) would have to be at least 6%, assuming percentages at or above .5 are rounding up.
(3 + 4 + 5 + 6) / 4 = 4.5, or 5 rounded
But if the day before was only 3%, which I do believe it was, then that means the day that dropped out of the 4 day rolling average this time had to bring it down to 3%, and thus could be no higher than 1%.
(1 + 3 + 4 + 5) / 4 = 3.25
So more likely, it was something closer to 2%, 3%, 3%, 5%, meaning that this last individual day likely jumped up to 7%. Granted, they do a rolling average to avoid statistical fluctuations, and maybe it will bounce around between 4 and 7 from now on, for example. But I remember that when Huckabee started moving up, he really started moving up, and stayed there very well. Again, like I said last time Ron Paul got listed on this poll, I really hope it happens for him as well.