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Thread: Martin Armstrong: 2016 - The Year From Hell -- A Third Party on the Horizon?

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    Martin Armstrong: 2016 - The Year From Hell -- A Third Party on the Horizon?

    He mentions RP a few times in this piece. (Not sure if he meant to say Rand rather than Ron in the Senate or not).

    For decades, the people may cheer a politician when he is running for office. But the polls have consistently shown the public just has never trusted them and have been demanding for decades that some ethical standards be enforced. Good luck! Since they and judges give themselves the title of Honorable without earning it, pretty much nothing will ever change. It is simply foolish to expect otherwise. Society has to be brought to the brink of extinction to get political reform. The good politicians who want to do the right thing are too few to matter and are ignored, like Ron Paul.
    [...]
    Third Party votes have impacted the Senate more so than the House. Nevertheless, in the Senate we have Ron Paul who everyone knows and speaks a lot of common sense. We can see that there is a rise in Third Party activity and by 2016, we should see a sharp return to the same levels of political instability that we saw going into both the Great Depression and the Civil War. As politicians cut all the promises they made for so long, a lot of people are going to get really upset. This will be reflected in a rise of Third Party activity that once captured 30% of the total vote!
    [...]
    The raw numbers show interesting trends. The Democrats on an Electoral College basis reached 523 votes in 1936. The Republicans reached 520 with Nixon in 1971 and 525 in 1984. The Democrats fell for 12 election cycles (48 years) before making a rally with Clinton reaching 370 in 1992 and 379 in 1996. Obama reached only 365 so he did not restore a bullish trend, but simply made a bear market rally. Therefore, even with Obama being black, the Democrats were unable to beat that achieved by Bill Clinton. The numbers show that the days of Marxism are numbered. But the days of the right wing religious followers do not look so good either. What is percolating behind the scenes appears to be a political change toward greater independence. The Revolution Cycle is likely to hit in 2068.

    The Democrats have promised the moon, but funded nothing. Their constant attack on the class structure and corporations has done far more harm than good. They have chased jobs from America and no matter what you show them, they will not change their ways. The Republicans have also lost their way and desire to be the world policeman of imperialism forcing American doctrine upon the rest of the world, but we ran out of the bankroll to support that agenda. The Republicans are behavior Marxists and demand to control what people think and do. They have destroyed the LIBERTY that was supposed to be the number one objective of the constitution and transformed the USA into the biggest prison camp the world has ever seen. The US imprisons more people than Europe, Russia, and China combined. We prosecute everything and aggressively seek tax prosecution cases. They forgot what made Reagan popular – FISCAL CONSERVATISM, not religious fanaticism. As his son said at his funeral, his father never imposed his religion upon anyone else.

    The future appears one of rising political discontent. A return to fiscal conservatism and the right wing has become as nuts as the left. Americans will rise once again to a Third Party. To the shock of most, this will exceed the old highs of 30% and 2016 looks like the YEAR FROM HELL!
    So, according to MA's cycle theory, there will be no real change until 2016, and the revolution will begin in 2068. That's his story and he's sticking to it.
    Based on the idea of natural rights, government secures those rights to the individual by strictly negative intervention, making justice costless and easy of access; and beyond that it does not go. The State, on the other hand, both in its genesis and by its primary intention, is purely anti-social. It is not based on the idea of natural rights, but on the idea that the individual has no rights except those that the State may provisionally grant him. It has always made justice costly and difficult of access, and has invariably held itself above justice and common morality whenever it could advantage itself by so doing.
    --Albert J. Nock



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  4. #3
    For Martin Armstrong, every day is Pi Day!

    The next 4.3 years
    We the People v Them
    Borrowing from the rich to keep socialism going


    As we look ahead for the next 4.3 years, things are going to get much more confusing. The Sovereign Debt crisis will continue to percolate until we reach a maximum brew. There are so many trends converging it’s crazy. Already Texas is in the worst drought since the Dust Bowl and this has just got started. Sorry, it’s not global warming. It is a natural 7 year drought cycle that has existed even from Biblical time (i.e. Joseph warns the Pharaoh of 7 years of plenty followed by a 7 year drought). This will keep food prices rising and the peak is not due until 2014. Politics will grow ever more unstable and a third party element will rise by 2016.
    [...]
    This is a battle between the investment bankers and the people. The debts have to be devalued or we will be looking a massive civil unrest by 2016. It is time to make a choice. It is them against us!
    http://armstrongeconomics.com/
    Based on the idea of natural rights, government secures those rights to the individual by strictly negative intervention, making justice costless and easy of access; and beyond that it does not go. The State, on the other hand, both in its genesis and by its primary intention, is purely anti-social. It is not based on the idea of natural rights, but on the idea that the individual has no rights except those that the State may provisionally grant him. It has always made justice costly and difficult of access, and has invariably held itself above justice and common morality whenever it could advantage itself by so doing.
    --Albert J. Nock

  5. #4
    I'm more inclined to believe Neil Strauss' saeculum theory. The crisis will last another 10-15 years before there's stability again. The question is what kind of country we'll be left with when it's over.




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