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Thread: Peter Schiff: Abolish Corporate and Personal Income Taxes

  1. #1

    Peter Schiff: Abolish Corporate and Personal Income Taxes




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  3. #2
    Abolish Corporate and Personal Income Taxes
    b..b...but who will build the roads?
    "One of the great victories of the state, is that the word "Anarchy" terrifies people but, the word "State" does not" - Tom Woods

  4. #3
    Peter also talks about balancing the budget and supports a Balanced Budget amendment. Curious how he would propose to do that while getting rid of all (well, most anyways) of your revenue. Ron Paul at least has said you need to balance the budget first before you reduce taxation. A nice goal- but not a realistic one. For the year 2009, total government revenues were $2.7 trillion and $1.55 trillion of that came from individual income taxes ($1.2 trillion) and corporate taxes($339 billion). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Un...federal_budget If you eliminated those without any budget cuts, your deficit would go from $1.7 trillion to $3.29 trillion. It would be impossible (it already is) to achieve a balanced budget via cuts and tossing in those tax cuts. That would leave you with $1.1 trillion to spend- "Mandatory spending" alone comprises twice that amount. 2010 budget numbers- let's see him cut $3.2 trillion out of this (I would like to see him balance this even without any tax changes- getting rid of $1.7 trillion in spending):

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Un...federal_budget
    Mandatory spending: $2.009 trillion (-20.1%)

    $695 billion (+4.9%) – Social Security
    $571 billion (−15.2%) – Other mandatory programs
    $453 billion (+6.6%) – Medicare
    $290 billion (+12.0%) – Medicaid
    $164 billion (+18.0%) – Interest on National Debt
    $11 billion (+275%) – Potential disaster costs
    $0 billion (−100%) – Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP)
    $0 billion (−100%) – Financial stabilization efforts

    .Discretionary spending: $1.368 trillion (+13.1%)

    $663.7 billion (+12.7%) – Department of Defense (including Overseas Contingency Operations)
    $78.7 billion (−1.7%) – Department of Health and Human Services
    $72.5 billion (+2.8%) – Department of Transportation
    $52.5 billion (+10.3%) – Department of Veterans Affairs
    $51.7 billion (+40.9%) – Department of State and Other International Programs
    $47.5 billion (+18.5%) – Department of Housing and Urban Development
    $46.7 billion (+12.8%) – Department of Education
    $42.7 billion (+1.2%) – Department of Homeland Security
    $26.3 billion (−0.4%) – Department of Energy
    $26.0 billion (+8.8%) – Department of Agriculture
    $23.9 billion (−6.3%) – Department of Justice
    $18.7 billion (+5.1%) – National Aeronautics and Space Administration
    $13.8 billion (+48.4%) – Department of Commerce
    $13.3 billion (+4.7%) – Department of Labor
    $13.3 billion (+4.7%) – Department of the Treasury
    $12.0 billion (+6.2%) – Department of the Interior
    $10.5 billion (+34.6%) – Environmental Protection Agency
    $9.7 billion (+10.2%) – Social Security Administration
    $7.0 billion (+1.4%) – National Science Foundation
    $5.1 billion (−3.8%) – Corps of Engineers
    $5.0 billion (+100%) – National Infrastructure Bank
    $1.1 billion (+22.2%) – Corporation for National and Community Service
    $0.7 billion (0.0%) – Small Business Administration
    $0.6 billion (−14.3%) – General Services Administration
    $19.8 billion (+3.7%) – Other Agencies
    $105 billion – Other
    Last edited by Zippyjuan; 03-28-2011 at 01:43 PM.

  5. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Curious how he would propose to do that while getting rid of all (well, most anyways) of your revenue.
    He proposes abolishing entire departments, cutting military spending, and most importantly, implementing means testing for the entitlements, to the point that you can only receive them if you're destitute.

  6. #5
    You can cut every single department 100% and still not get rid of the deficit at current levels. Check the numbers above. Those suggestions would not even cut it in half. Abolish every single department including the Department of Defense and you are still $400 billion short. Rand Paul's proposal goes farther- and even his would only reduce the deficit by one third- you need to cut three times even Rand's numbers. Any tax cuts would make things even worse as far as the deficit is concerned.
    Last edited by Zippyjuan; 03-28-2011 at 02:20 PM.

  7. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Peter also talks about balancing the budget and supports a Balanced Budget amendment. Curious how he would propose to do that while getting rid of all (well, most anyways) of your revenue. Ron Paul at least has said you need to balance the budget first before you reduce taxation.
    I haven't heard RP say that. I hope you misheard him. But if that really is RP's position, I have to go with Schiff on this one. Reducing taxation should always happen. There is no limit to how much taxes should be cut and to how soon they should be cut. And there should be no prerequisite placed on it. If you want government to spend less, the best way to achieve that is to starve it of its funds.

  8. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    You can cut every single department 100% and still not get rid of the deficit at current levels. Check the numbers above. Those suggestions would not even cut it in half. Abolish every single department including the Department of Defense and you are still $400 billion short. Rand Paul's proposal goes farther- and even his would only reduce the deficit by one third- you need to cut three times even Rand's numbers. Any tax cuts would make things even worse as far as the deficit is concerned.
    You forgot to read the most important part of the proposal, the part about implementing means testing for entitlements.

  9. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by low preference guy View Post
    You forgot to read the most important part of the proposal, the part about implementing means testing for entitlements.
    I read it. Check the numbers again. Cut every department by 100%. (I seriously doubt Schiff has proposed anything near that drastic). You are now down to $400 billion for your deficit. Now let's means test Social Security. Let's make it harsh and reduce payouts by 50%. You have reduced spending by $350 billion (down from $695 billion). You still have a deficit. Granted it is now about $50 billion but it is not gone. And again- that is before any tax cuts. Get rid of simply income taxes and you have to cut a further $1.2 trillion dollars on top of all that.

    I haven't heard RP say that. I hope you misheard him.
    I would have to dig to find it, but he stated it a couple of times during the Presidential campaign. Cutting taxes was the ultimate goal, but getting finances in order had to be accomplished first.
    Last edited by Zippyjuan; 03-28-2011 at 02:41 PM.



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  11. #9
    However, Schiff is for the dreaded, so-called "Fair Tax."

  12. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by ClayTrainor View Post
    b..b...but who will build the roads?
    I suppose federal gas taxes will pay for them like they always have since the creation of the Federal Highway system. If socialist dolts are going to advocate income theft, they should at least understand where the stolen money goes.
    "Where liberty dwells, there is my country."
    Benjamin Franklin

  13. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    I read it. Check the numbers again. Cut every department by 100%. (I seriously doubt Schiff has proposed anything near that drastic). You are now down to $400 billion for your deficit. Now let's means test Social Security. Let's make it harsh and reduce payouts by 50%. You have reduced spending by $350 billion (down from $695 billion). You still have a deficit. Granted it is now about $50 billion but it is not gone. And again- that is before any tax cuts. Get rid of simply income taxes and you have to cut a further $1.2 trillion dollars on top of all that.
    Just a note : You did not factor in any revenue from the alternative proposed consumption tax.

    Also: listen to the interview. The headline for the interview is misleading. Peter doesn't come out and flat out say cut income tax and corporate tax. He only says to cut the corporate tax to zero. He then lists alternatives to the income tax - including a consumption tax or flat tax or combination. But for your figures - he only explicitly wants to cut the corporate tax to zero. (339B)
    Last edited by TheNcredibleEgg; 03-28-2011 at 03:45 PM.

  14. #12
    Quote Originally Posted by Fredom101 View Post
    However, Schiff is for the dreaded, so-called "Fair Tax."
    I'd take the fair tax over the income tax. That is his position as well. It is also Ron's. I doesn't mean he likes either tax, just that one is better than the other.

  15. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Peter also talks about balancing the budget and supports a Balanced Budget amendment. Curious how he would propose to do that while getting rid of all (well, most anyways) of your revenue. Ron Paul at least has said you need to balance the budget first before you reduce taxation. A nice goal- but not a realistic one. For the year 2009, total government revenues were $2.7 trillion and $1.55 trillion of that came from individual income taxes ($1.2 trillion) and corporate taxes($339 billion). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2009_Un...federal_budget If you eliminated those without any budget cuts, your deficit would go from $1.7 trillion to $3.29 trillion. It would be impossible (it already is) to achieve a balanced budget via cuts and tossing in those tax cuts. That would leave you with $1.1 trillion to spend- "Mandatory spending" alone comprises twice that amount. 2010 budget numbers- let's see him cut $3.2 trillion out of this (I would like to see him balance this even without any tax changes- getting rid of $1.7 trillion in spending):

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_Un...federal_budget
    Your numbers are wrong. Those were estimates, for one thing. Even the link you provide estimates outlays to be $3.1 Trillion. So how can you add $1.55 Trillion to a $1 Trillion deficit and get $3.2 Trillion? Not that it matters, since those numbers are wrong.

    Actual 2009 revenue: $2.1 Trillion
    Actual 2009 outlays: $3.5 Trillion

    Revenue from individual and corporate income tax: $1.1 Trillion

    Deducting $1.1 T from $2.1 T leaves $1 Trillion in revenue and a $2.5 Trillion deficit.

    http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/120xx/doc...les%5B1%5D.pdf

    Also, Schiff has said he favors a national sales tax as the least bad form of taxation to balance the budget, in addition to massive budget cuts. Ron Paul has said something similar - that a sales tax was preferable to the income tax, although nothing is preferable to both.

  16. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Cut every department by 100%. (I seriously doubt Schiff has proposed anything near that drastic).
    Pretty close. Peter Schiff makes Rand Paul look like just another big government politician.

  17. #15
    Quote Originally Posted by enoch150 View Post
    Your numbers are wrong. Those were estimates, for one thing. Even the link you provide estimates outlays to be $3.1 Trillion. So how can you add $1.55 Trillion to a $1 Trillion deficit and get $3.2 Trillion? Not that it matters, since those numbers are wrong.

    Actual 2009 revenue: $2.1 Trillion
    Actual 2009 outlays: $3.5 Trillion

    Revenue from individual and corporate income tax: $1.1 Trillion

    Deducting $1.1 T from $2.1 T leaves $1 Trillion in revenue and a $2.5 Trillion deficit.

    http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/120xx/doc...les%5B1%5D.pdf

    Also, Schiff has said he favors a national sales tax as the least bad form of taxation to balance the budget, in addition to massive budget cuts. Ron Paul has said something similar - that a sales tax was preferable to the income tax, although nothing is preferable to both.
    I was using the projected $1.7 trillion deficit for this year and adding in the 2009 estimated income taxes collected. $1.7 trillion plus $1.5 trillion if you got rid of income taxes comes to $3.2 trillion. I don't use estimated income tax collections for this year since those numbers are not available.

    Let us consider what a national sales tax would be.

    Using US GDP of $14 trillion (which includes government spending) and 2010 spending of $3.55 trillion, to balance the budget simply by using a sales tax on everything in the GDP that comes to 25%. Subtract out the government spending and you have $10.4 trillion in goods and services so a tax on that amount to fund all of the government spending would be 34% on every good and service except government. This increases your tax burden unless you are already in the top bracket. This does assume that spending stays where it is and the sales tax replaces all other taxes including Social Security and Medicare taxes along with income and corporate taxes.

    Peter has in the past said that tax cuts without spending cuts make things worse. http://www.economiccollapse.net/fund...s-through-debt
    December 8, 2010 12:35 pm · 0 Comments

    According to Peter Schiff, the extension of the current federal income tax structure is a good thing, but without government spending cuts, we’re funding it through more debt. We’re going to face the same old problems,
    He does talk about reducing the deficit and balancing the budget but I have not really seen any detailed proposals. Perhaps somebody can provide a link. Thank you.

  18. #16
    Quote Originally Posted by TheNcredibleEgg View Post
    Just a note : You did not factor in any revenue from the alternative proposed consumption tax.

    Also: listen to the interview. The headline for the interview is misleading. Peter doesn't come out and flat out say cut income tax and corporate tax. He only says to cut the corporate tax to zero. He then lists alternatives to the income tax - including a consumption tax or flat tax or combination. But for your figures - he only explicitly wants to cut the corporate tax to zero. (339B)
    Thank you for pointing that out. If we get rid of corporate taxes we only have to cut $2 trillion (current $1.7 trillion deficit plus some $350 billion in corporate taxes cut) from the budget to get it to balance. Still impossible to do.



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  20. #17
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Thank you for pointing that out. If we get rid of corporate taxes we only have to cut $2 trillion (current $1.7 trillion deficit plus some $350 billion in corporate taxes cut) from the budget to get it to balance. Still impossible to do.
    So what's your plan? Sit on unsustainable budget until default? Redistribute wealth?

    The government spends money on consumption and not investment. The fact that Joe sixpack will get his entitlements will not cause America as a country produce more. If anything we are neglecting investment into capital. Something has to give and if we do nothing it will be across the board cuts. Do you suggest we wait until then since sentiment is so much against us? You think it is a waste of time or something?

    The reason why I am asking is because I don't understand the point of criticizing someone without having your own opinion to insert. Sorry if I jump to conclusions about your opinion in the absence of it.
    Quote Originally Posted by Cowlesy View Post
    Americans in general are jedi masters of blaming every other person.

  21. #18
    Quote Originally Posted by Maximus View Post
    I'd take the fair tax over the income tax. That is his position as well. It is also Ron's. I doesn't mean he likes either tax, just that one is better than the other.
    Not true, RP has stated repeatedly that he would like to replace the income tax with NOTHING. He only said that given the choice, he would go with the "fair" tax, but he understands that both taxes are theft, and consumption taxes would be a nightmare for a lot of reasons.

    Let's have NO tax, since even a little bit of theft is too much.

  22. #19
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    I was using the projected $1.7 trillion deficit for this year and adding in the 2009 estimated income taxes collected. $1.7 trillion plus $1.5 trillion if you got rid of income taxes comes to $3.2 trillion. I don't use estimated income tax collections for this year since those numbers are not available.

    Let us consider what a national sales tax would be.

    Using US GDP of $14 trillion (which includes government spending) and 2010 spending of $3.55 trillion, to balance the budget simply by using a sales tax on everything in the GDP that comes to 25%. Subtract out the government spending and you have $10.4 trillion in goods and services so a tax on that amount to fund all of the government spending would be 34% on every good and service except government. This increases your tax burden unless you are already in the top bracket. This does assume that spending stays where it is and the sales tax replaces all other taxes including Social Security and Medicare taxes along with income and corporate taxes.

    Peter has in the past said that tax cuts without spending cuts make things worse. http://www.economiccollapse.net/fund...s-through-debt


    He does talk about reducing the deficit and balancing the budget but I have not really seen any detailed proposals. Perhaps somebody can provide a link. Thank you.
    Why would you use estimated 2009 revenue and 2011 spending projections? Like I said, your numbers are wrong.

    In any case, I don't think I've ever seen a consolidated list of everything Schiff has proposed cutting, but I think you'd have an easier time finding the things he hasn't suggested cutting. At one time or another he's suggested abolishing just about every department and hasn't spared defense or entitlements from major reform and reduction. Schiff favors an immediately balanced budget, not one of these five year plans.

    Even without specifics, given that Schiff has proposed the wholesale elimination of numerous departments, slashing defense, and entitlement reform - why would you assume his advocacy for a balanced budget with a national sales tax would fund government at the current $3.5 Trillion level?
    Last edited by enoch150; 03-29-2011 at 03:25 PM.

  23. #20
    Quote Originally Posted by enoch150 View Post
    Why would you use estimated 2009 revenue and 2011 spending projections? Like I said, your numbers are wrong.

    In any case, I don't think I've ever seen a consolidated list of everything Schiff has proposed cutting, but I think you'd have an easier time finding the things he hasn't suggested cutting. At one time or another he's suggested abolishing just about every department and hasn't spared defense or entitlements from major reform and reduction. Schiff favors an immediately balanced budget, not one of these five year plans.

    Even without specifics, given that Schiff has proposed the wholesale elimination of numerous departments, slashing defense, and entitlement reform - why would you assume his advocacy for a balanced budget with a national sales tax would fund government at the current $3.5 Trillion level?
    Perhaps you can provide us with some alternative numbers. I was using the most recent available figures. I welcome a look at others. We have to start with some sort of assumptions- unless we get specific numbers from somebody. You too are making assumptions that he would cut every program by 100% if he was elected to office.

    I am going to make some more assumptions- based on some of your questions. Let us assume that we get a Rand Paul sized $500 billion in cuts instututed. Budget cuts are politically difficult to achieve since cutting popular programs (every program is popular to somebody) means losing votes- which elected officials don't want. That will drop government spending down to $3.05 trillion. Lets assume that the non- governemnt (and taxable) portion of GDP stays where it is or $10.4 trillion. Now keep the assumption that we use a national sales tax as the only source of revenue and balance our budget. Congratulations. We have reduced the national sales tax down to 29%.

  24. #21
    I say instigate a tax revolt. Propose legislation to end payroll withholding of taxes. Make everyone write a check, or pay in cash, to the US Treasury every month.
    Make it into a job creation program so the Democrats can support it. Hire more tax collectors. The Post Office is closing offices, turn those into IRS collection offices so it is convenient for everyone to visit their local tax office every month and pay their obligation to living in a civilized society.
    Would people accept this state of affairs, or would they get sick of it in a hurry?
    Let's find out by having our Tea Party Republicans introduce legislation to outlaw payroll withholding.
    --------------------------------------------
    First step to ending the income tax: end payroll tax withholding.
    Require each American to write a check to their state and federal governments every month.

  25. #22
    dont forget "property" tax


    that is a contradiction in terms.

    if you get "taxed" (punished) you do not own.

  26. #23
    Quote Originally Posted by MN Patriot View Post
    I say instigate a tax revolt. Propose legislation to end payroll withholding of taxes. Make everyone write a check, or pay in cash, to the US Treasury every month.
    Make it into a job creation program so the Democrats can support it. Hire more tax collectors. The Post Office is closing offices, turn those into IRS collection offices so it is convenient for everyone to visit their local tax office every month and pay their obligation to living in a civilized society.
    Would people accept this state of affairs, or would they get sick of it in a hurry?
    Let's find out by having our Tea Party Republicans introduce legislation to outlaw payroll withholding.
    sadly, I don't think that would make much of a difference, although I do like the idea. These people are just too far gone.

  27. #24
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Perhaps you can provide us with some alternative numbers. I was using the most recent available figures. I welcome a look at others. We have to start with some sort of assumptions- unless we get specific numbers from somebody. You too are making assumptions that he would cut every program by 100% if he was elected to office.
    I've already posted a link to the numbers for 1971 - 2010 . Total revenue and outlays are on page 1. Revenue by source is on page 4.

    http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/120xx/doc...les%5B1%5D.pdf

    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    I am going to make some more assumptions- based on some of your questions. Let us assume that we get a Rand Paul sized $500 billion in cuts instututed. Budget cuts are politically difficult to achieve since cutting popular programs (every program is popular to somebody) means losing votes- which elected officials don't want. That will drop government spending down to $3.05 trillion. Lets assume that the non- governemnt (and taxable) portion of GDP stays where it is or $10.4 trillion. Now keep the assumption that we use a national sales tax as the only source of revenue and balance our budget. Congratulations. We have reduced the national sales tax down to 29%.
    $500 billion in cuts is no more politically viable than a balanced budget, so why not just talk about Schiff's proposals as is? As explained in this interview with Rand Paul, Schiff operates on the assumption that Rand's one year $500 billion cut and balanced budget in five years is useless because we don't have five years. He thinks we need to balance the budget "right now." He was pushing Rand to go further - "if we're going to go down, go down swinging." He also asks Rand, about Social Security, "is there any way to reform a Ponzi scheme to make it work?"

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TXuJCmOWB2k&t=9m15s

    In an interview with someone on the board of trustees for the SS Administration, Schiff startles the trustee by suggesting we immediately begin phasing out Social Security.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ITMEZImvNio

    I've heard other speeches and interviews where he goes into more detail. But, like I said, I don't know of any single source that lists everything he has suggested cutting. Entitlements, the military, the departments - he'd take an axe to everything. I'm fairly certain he would propose enough cuts to balance the budget in a single year, and then start cutting more in the out years so that taxes could be cut, too. I'd expect $2.2 trillion in proposed outlays from him the first year - no more.

    Now, if that happens, you could not assume a static $10.4 trillion private sector GDP. For one thing, you'd have an extra $1.3 trillion in investment capital available. And that's to say nothing of the regulatory burdens which would suddenly go unenforced because the government would no longer have the manpower. Conservatively, I would estimate the private sector GDP to jump to $11 trillion, which would make the national sales tax 20%. FICA taxes alone amount to 15.3% of people's income as federal taxes, even if they don't pay income taxes (employees effectively pay for the employer's portion). Do you really want me to find another 4.7% of income that even poor people pay to the feds as taxes?



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  29. #25
    Thank you for the info. Your numbers posted match the "wrong" ones I used. I don't deny that Schiff has called for balancing the budget but don't see the details. He does speak in broad terms of things he thinks should be cut- and he is right on most of them. I also don't disagree that we need to start doing someting right now. The devil is in the details. As I pointed out, even without any changes in taxation, you can immediately reduce Social Security by 50% and cut every department in government by 100% including the Department of Defense- make them ALL zero dollars- and still not balance the budget this year.

    He thinks we need to balance the budget "right now."
    Now if you do institute cuts of $1.7 trillion (the projected shortfall for 2011), the GDP will take a huge hit. Not only do you lose the government spending portion of GDP, but those people in those jobs now have no job and no income. They are no longer out buying things from other businesses like grocery stores, hardwares stores, Best Buy or Walmart etc. Those businesses then have less money coming in and they need fewer workers so there will be even more layoffs. Tax base goes down even more meaning even less revenue for governments and more cuts. We have seen how this plays out over the past couple of years when even people who did not lose their jobs cut back on spending out of fear for losing theirs. Those cutbacks led to lower sales and businesses laid off even more people. And as we have seen, this trend is hard to reverse. Knocking $1.7 trillion out of the economy would have a similar negative impact on things.
    Last edited by Zippyjuan; 03-31-2011 at 04:06 PM.

  30. #26
    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Thank you for the info. Your numbers posted match the "wrong" ones I used.
    No they don't. You said "For the year 2009, total government revenues were $2.7 trillion (it was actually $2.1 T) and $1.55 trillion of that came from individual income taxes ($1.2 trillion) (it was actually $.92 T) and corporate taxes($339 billion) (it was actually $.14 T).... Everything you used was estimates and projections, not the actual numbers (and from mismatched years, to confuse things even further).

    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    I don't deny that Schiff has called for balancing the budget but don't see the details. He does speak in broad terms of things he thinks should be cut- and he is right on most of them. I also don't disagree that we need to start doing someting right now. The devil is in the details. As I pointed out, even without any changes in taxation, you can immediately reduce Social Security by 50% and cut every department in government by 100% including the Department of Defense- make them ALL zero dollars- and still not balance the budget this year.
    In 2010:

    Defense: $689 Billion. Cut in half, it's $345 Billion
    SS, Medicaid, Medicare, and the rest of that stuff: $1.909 Trillion. Cut in half it's $955 Billion
    Interest on debt: $197 Billion
    All other departments go to $0

    $955 + $345 + $197 = $1.497 Trillion

    In 2010:

    Individual income tax: $899 Billion
    Corporate income tax: $191 Billion
    Social insurance tax: $865 Billion
    Excise tax: $67 Billion
    Estate and Gift tax: $19 Billion
    Customs: $25 Billion
    Miscellaneous taxes: $96 Billion

    Total tax confiscations in 2010: $2,162 Trillion

    $2,162 (revenue) - 1,497 (outlays) = $665 Surplus

    Not every department would have to go to $0, plus entitlement and defense spending reduced by 50% to balance the budget.

    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Now if you do institute cuts of $1.7 trillion (the projected shortfall for 2011), the GDP will take a huge hit.
    Government projections are notoriously worthless. Use the 2010 numbers. $1.3 T. And no, the GDP will not take a huge hit. The money just stays in the private sector rather than being extracted and redistributed by the government. Unless you're referring just to the Fed's money printing? But the Fed isn't monetizing the entire deficit and that's not real GDP growth anyway, just inflation.

    Quote Originally Posted by Zippyjuan View Post
    Not only do you lose the government spending portion of GDP, but those people in those jobs now have no job and no income. They are no longer out buying things from other businesses like grocery stores, hardwares stores, Best Buy or Walmart etc. Those businesses then have less money coming in and they need fewer workers so there will be even more layoffs. Tax base goes down even more meaning even less revenue for governments and more cuts. We have seen how this plays out over the past couple of years when even people who did not lose their jobs cut back on spending out of fear for losing theirs. Those cutbacks led to lower sales and businesses laid off even more people. And as we have seen, this trend is hard to reverse. Knocking $1.7 trillion out of the economy would have a similar negative impact on things.
    Totally untrue. A lot of government jobs would be private sector jobs if the government wasn't involved. There will always be a need for teachers, firemen, police, etc. They may not have the same income if their jobs were funded by the private sector rather than with stolen tax money, but those jobs will still be there. And the reduced salary for them simply means other people have a higher income, so there is no net income change.

    There are some jobs that the private sector would probably never fund: border patrol, tax collector, politician, and the like. Those people will experience a bout of unemployment, but if it forces them to find a productive line of work, then it will be for the better. Finding a more productive line of work ought to be easier in a much less encumbered economy.

    Keep in mind that, Fed monetization aside, government debts compete with the private sector for capital. The government may take the money and pay for a bunch of unproductive people to sit on the border all day. This may or may not aid in consumption, but it is unequivocally harmful to a productive economy. It is production that grows an economy, not consumption. Forcing some people to pay for other people to be unproductive does not help an economy, and eliminating such government programs will not damage the economy. If the money was instead used in the private sector, maybe the unstolen tax money would be used to build a factory and the would-be border patrol agents instead could manufacture widgets.

  31. #27
    Thank you for the correction on the numbers. I just quickly looked a the figure of a $1.4 trillion deficit for 2010 which agreed with what I said earlier. I admitedly did not scan down the page further. The differences you point out are not terribly significant with the size of the numbers. ($1.2 trilllion vs $0.92 trillion or being off by $100 billion on corporate revenue in a $3.5 trillion dollar budget). Projected deficit for 2011 was $1.7 trillion. I also did not assume to cut Medicare/ Medicaid as you do which is fine if you want to cut it and save some money for the DOD. Should a polititian propose to slash Social Security and Medicare by 50% in one year (to achieve Schiff's goal of a balanced budget in one year), they would be immediately voted out of office in the following election.

    I do disagree with your optomistic view of cuts of that magnitude having minimal to no impact on the overall economy. New jobs may get created in the long term but would take many years. How long is it taking to replace the jobs vacated since 2008? Has that had "no impact on GDP" that corporations made the cuts they did? That should free up people and capital to create new jobs, right? The government cutting enough jobs to reduce spending by $1.7 trillion has the exact same impact on the economy as businesses cutting the same number. The result is people losing jobs and those people having $1.7 trillion less to spend supporting other jobs. You still have thousands if not millions suddenly losing their income. Yes, the Treasury will not have to borrow an additional $1.7 trillion they would have otherwise which should lower the cost of borrowing for others, but if all those people lost their jobs, demand for goods would drop significantly and business would have no reason to create more new jobs. Companies already are showing huge profit increases have more money available to invest since the collapse in 2008- but they are not adding more jobs or increasing investment. Why? Demand does not yet justify it. They won't build a widget factory in Wisconsin unless they believe they can sell all their widegets. Businesses have and have had access to adequate capital if they wanted to invest and hire more people- they just don't see the incentive to do so until their sales pick up enough. Freeing up more capital by laying off millions of government workers will not get them to use it any more than they do now- in fact they most likely would take the opposite tract. Fearning these people not buying stuff from them, they will probably reduce their investments and payroll- expecting lower sales in the future.
    Last edited by Zippyjuan; 03-31-2011 at 08:04 PM.

  32. #28
    I don't think so. There is an infinite amount of work to be done and at the right price there is a market for everything. That includes labor. Some companies may have a lot of cash, but if they aren't hiring, it's because the work the company wants done isn't worth the minimum wage demanded by government. Schiff wants to eliminate the minimum wage.

  33. #29
    Let us try a small scale example and see what may happen. You work for a company and you have a buddy out of work. We will use this one company to represent all companies and you to represent those with jobs and your friend to represent those without one. Let us say that you agreed to cut your wages in half so your buddy could have a job. Very kind of you. Will your business experience an increase in sales? No. The money consumers have to spend did not increase- it is just divided between two people now. Your buddy does have more money to spend (he had none previously) but your money to spend was cut in half so you are now buying half as much from the company. Your buddy got a job but other than that, the net gain to the economy was zero. Sales at the company are not going to double because this happened. Are you willing to take a pay cut so that the laid off government workers can have a job?

    Ford makes a profit off each car they sell, but if they can only sell a certain amount of them they are not going to make more than that. Companies are not hiring because they aren't selling enough goods to be worth hiring more people- even at lower wages. And lowering wages means that people have even less money to buy the goods so demand is even lower.

  34. #30
    I wish they would abolish the personal and corporate income taxes totally and not replace it with anything. Starve the beast!
    In 200 years the American people have replaced 1 dictator 3,000 miles away with 3,000 dictators 1 mile away.


    It is the first responsibility of every citizen to question authority.--Benjamin Franklin

    No man's life, liberty or fortune is safe
    while our legislature is in session
    .--Benjamin Franklin

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