I would like to revisit this in a couple years and we will see who is closest.
My prediction:
Ron Paul runs
He gets 4th place in IA, 3rd in NH. Whoever got 1st in IA will get 2nd in NH. Romney will win NH. Ron gets 4th in SC
He will end up with about 12% of the vote overall in the primary, and last long enough to get 3rd or a distant 2nd. Whoever wins the GOP primary will end up losing to Obama in the general, but it will be quite a bit closer than McCain got in 2008. GOP will retain the House and pick up a narrow victory in the Senate -51 or 52 seats.
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