Has Zippy read the Creature From Jekyll Island?
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Hell no, he hasn't read it.
Zippy is a FED Troll
Zippy wrote the Federal Reserve Act
Zippy is undefined
Has Zippy read the Creature From Jekyll Island?
Member of Ron Paul Forums Double Flat Tariff Only Society - Working towards eliminating all the foreign producer/outsource subsidizing internal federal taxes in favor of an across the board flat tariff applied equally to every country and every product.
If people who've read the book can't convince him, it probably wouldn't do any good for him to read a book with a bias he disagrees with.
Thanks liberty Eagle
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Member of Ron Paul Forums Double Flat Tariff Only Society - Working towards eliminating all the foreign producer/outsource subsidizing internal federal taxes in favor of an across the board flat tariff applied equally to every country and every product.
Who's on first?
I am more and more convinced that man is a dangerous creature and that power, whether vested in many or a few, is ever grasping, and like the grave, cries, 'Give, give.'
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I think it would be far more important for him to read "The Mystery of Banking" by Murray Rothbard; it's far more informative and puts forth things in a more logical manner, as well.
That said, I doubt he'll read it; I've urged him, off and on, to do so for well over a year, and given some of the points in his arguments he still makes, I seriously doubt he's read even a paragraph of the book.
Bump for more votes. If the voting doesn't pick up soon, I will be forced to ask the FED to print more votes so this thread doesn't collapse and destroy democracy.
Member of Ron Paul Forums Double Flat Tariff Only Society - Working towards eliminating all the foreign producer/outsource subsidizing internal federal taxes in favor of an across the board flat tariff applied equally to every country and every product.
Anyone here ever read an intro to macro book?
zippyjuan is a great member and often a grounding one.
"My aim is not to pass laws, but to repeal them." Barry Goldwater
http://www.abelard.org/e-f-russell.htm
YouTube - Mel Brooks Catch Phrase
http://hatchetfacednutmegdealer.blogspot.com/
A majority of intro to macro books are filled with complete garbage. It is good do know the enemy, but I won't dock anyone for not reading propaganda material. I can't stand traditional macro books. There is only so much phillups curve, output gap, government multiplier, federal reserve market manipulation, and deficits are good that a person can take.
As long as you know micro you will be fine. Learning central banking shenanigans will not help.
How is learning how the system operates not helpful? Wouldn't it be prudent for an economist to understand the thinking of the FED?
"My aim is not to pass laws, but to repeal them." Barry Goldwater
http://www.abelard.org/e-f-russell.htm
YouTube - Mel Brooks Catch Phrase
http://hatchetfacednutmegdealer.blogspot.com/
None of the things you listed are even what most would consider to be the "worst" of Keynesian macroeconomics. For the most part, they're pieces of Keynesian modelling, and not actually "do this, not that" indicators.
Austrians are too quick to let morons like Krugman get in the way of the actual study. For the lack of a better analogy, it's like judging Ron Paul based on the actions of one supporter.
Agreed. It might be prudent to understand Keynesian thinking as well.
Keynes didn't say deficits forever, spend, spend, spend. People pretending to follow his ideas did. Might be useful to remind people of that just like it might be useful for Keynesians to remind Austrians that Hayek said
Hayek supported direct regulation of deforestation, some farming, as well as smoke and noise pollution. So why is it that some of those who claim to follow his thinking say the opposite? Are they representative of Hayek? Can we say that Hayek believed what his modern supporters do?"Nor can certain harmful effects of deforestation, or of some methods of farming, or of the smoke and noise of factories, be confined to the owner of the property in question or to those who are willing to submit to the damage for an agreed compensation. In such instances we must find some substitute for the regulation by the price mechanism. But the fact that we have to resort to the substitution of direct regulation by authority where the conditions for the proper working of competition cannot be created, does not prove that we should suppress competition where it can be made to function."
I read through Mish's Money, Banking and Financial Markets. It was extremely informative and I'd recommend it to everyone here as something to get your feet wet in actually understanding economics. It also happens to be available in Dubious Places.
Jordon: Are you a Keynesian (as in 1936 definition)? To me, the most fundamental problem with Keynes is the notion that a small group of individuals can maximize economic utility for the masses by command and control. The idea that a bunch of central bankers & politicians know the best course of actions for the millions in the economy just irks me to death.
"We know where interest rates should be and we will force them to that level".
"People are saving to much, we must find a way to MAKE businesses invest more".
Member of Ron Paul Forums Double Flat Tariff Only Society - Working towards eliminating all the foreign producer/outsource subsidizing internal federal taxes in favor of an across the board flat tariff applied equally to every country and every product.
No, I'm not.
I just wanted to note that the models are a great way to increase your understanding of economics and the markets. Besides a lot of the lower level stuff can be demonstrated to be true. Inflation, for example, would increase employment in both the short and long run because of the minimum wage. Devalue the dollar by half, the new legal minimum wage is the equivalent to $3.625 of yesterday's cash.
Recently, Malkusm was speaking to his graduate level "Keynesian" level studies and how they were working in class on a mathematical model that, as part of one of the variables, indicates the government expects to eventually pay off the national debt. If you were to listen to Austrians exclusively here or elsewhere, you wouldn't ever even think that to be true.
I think it would be best to consume all possible information prior to choosing where you stand. Even if you come out an even stronger Austrian, I'm sure there will be quite a few things to learn from Keynesian study.
Keynes was a intelligent man and nobody with a minimum intelligence will accept that premise. Keynes opened the door for government spending, under the pretense that politicians would do (what Keynes said) "the right thing". Nobody, nor even Keynes, believed politicians would do the right thing. Its obvious that Keynes was opening the door and was fully aware of what would happen.
First, Hayek, is not the bible, he can get some things wrong. Second, Hayek is contradictory in his writtings. Using Hayek writings you can justify one thing and the contrary at the same time. Hayek was a curious mind and in a lot of his writings he is exploring new ideas, that he later on contradicts in other writings. Being curious is a good thing, but it makes your legacy less consistent. Other authors, like for example Mises is far more consistent (although Mises is not the bible neither, nobody is).Might be useful to remind people of that just like it might be useful for Keynesians to remind Austrians that Hayek said
Hayek supported direct regulation of deforestation, some farming, as well as smoke and noise pollution. So why is it that some of those who claim to follow his thinking say the opposite? Are they representative of Hayek? Can we say that Hayek believed what his modern supporters do?
I personally like Hayek a lot in respect of capital structure, a concept I personally think you like to ignore, for example here:
You are ignoring the distortion in the capital structure that inflation would create, triggering the boom/bust cycle and the unemployment and malinvestment it would create.I just wanted to note that the models are a great way to increase your understanding of economics and the markets. Besides a lot of the lower level stuff can be demonstrated to be true. Inflation, for example, would increase employment in both the short and long run because of the minimum wage. Devalue the dollar by half, the new legal minimum wage is the equivalent to $3.625 of yesterday's cash.
Last edited by hugolp; 12-02-2010 at 11:36 AM.
And Keynes might say that you ignore the value of an expansion of the production possibilities curve, or the amount of goods and services that can be reasonably produced within the context the current economic capacity by lowering the effective minimum wage.
I think it is interesting that you mention the concept of capital structure as it relates to inflation. Basically, capital structure = The price system says that investments and opportunities with the highest yield are the most demanded/necessary in the market. To lower the cost of borrowing would affect the capital structure, since previously unprofitable market needs could now be afforded, maybe if only temporary, and would become more attractive.
With the concept of capital structure, it seems to me that with positive expectations people would invest first in high yield returns. Borrow low, lend high. Take a cut. Then the money would trickle into low returns. That is the idea behind capital structure, after all.
But wait, wouldn't deflation be even worse? I mean, if the value of currency is increasing, the amount of risk capital available to the market would decline, since the risk/reward of holding onto capital would be greater than that of any other investment. Holding onto cash: 0 risk/ positive reward vs. risk / positive reward.
See the Sharpe Ratio. Even if the potential risk of full loss is 10% and potential profit is 20%, the risk to reward ratio is better for savings (2% annual return divided by 0 risk) than it is for investment (20% return divided by 10% risk of loss). Adjusting against risk-free returns, holding onto your cash provides an infinite reward to risk ratio, better than the investment opportunity (which would, by the way, fill a market need and increase the standard of living.)
In a deflationary scenario, investments would be made at only the most extreme level of return, those needs only SOOOOOO desperately needed, since a positive return can be obtained by merely holding cash. Why accept risk when positive returns can be achieved by accepting ZERO risk? All reward, no risk? Wouldn't deflation encourage savings but provide disincentive for consumption as well as investment?
In what would you invest if no one is willing to consume, and what would you consume if no one is willing to invest? You would have to reallllllly want to invest in something or reallllllly want to consume it to do so in a deflationary environment.
Not necessarily. In a deflationary environment, there is more certainty in investment. (that is, future-oriented investors tend to be more inclined to invest) Conversely, in an inflationary environment, there is great uncertainty in currency value, prices, etc. High uncertainty=high risk with no guarantee of break-even returns, much less profit. Except for very brave and savvy investors, it is not likely that inflation is better than deflation.
You're right that inflationary periods encourage a lot of investment, but this is not necessarily the same as good investment. Along with all the investment in inflationary booms comes tremendous waste which could have been put to better use.
JMHO.
Inflation and deflation both have the same uncertainties about the future. If the rates of either are consistant, then the uncertainty is low. If they are changing, then the uncertainty of the future is higher. That is why the Fed has in the past attempted to target a stable rate of inflation. Can you differentiate between what is "good" investment and what is "bad" investment? You have both all the time. A good investment is one that pays off. This can occur in good or bad economic times.
During the last recession, (2001) US car makers cut back. Korean car makers in this country (think Kia) invested more. After the recession eased, Kia was in a position to improve their sales and market share. Both thought they were making good decisions based on the information they had at the time and both faced the same rates of inflation and interest rates.
What "better use" would you say a company should make during an inflationary period? If prices are rising (and they are making more off their products) should they cut back on investment in future higher production?
You're assuming that making more dollars=more profit. In inflationary periods, dollars are worth less, so your reasoning doesn't generally work out. Frank Shostak has a piece out today that explains this in more detail than I have time to today. (pay special to the section called "why deflation heals the economy")
Is Deflation Really Bad for the Economy?
I wonder how Zippy voted?
No one can control inflation or deflation and to even attempt it is pure lunacy.
The main point of the Creature is that the FED is an international banking cartel that controls the system so they can eliminate competition from smaller banks (and savings) and make all the money and destroy the middle classes of developed countries to gain more power over the world population and move toward world government... imo.
Member of Ron Paul Forums Double Flat Tariff Only Society - Working towards eliminating all the foreign producer/outsource subsidizing internal federal taxes in favor of an across the board flat tariff applied equally to every country and every product.
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