By: Chris Stirewalt
Political Editor
December 28, 2009
The 2010 census is sure to be controversial.
Republicans will thunder about the community organizers who get hired to do the counting, and Democrats will wail that the homeless and migrant workers are undercounted.
But in the final pre-count estimate just released by the Census Bureau, we already have a broad idea of where the results are headed and what they will mean politically.
The numbers are cause for alarm for Democrats.
Of the states gaining House seats -- Texas (three) and Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, Utah and Washington -- only Washington is reliably Democratic, having last voted for a Republican presidential candidate in 1984.
Of the states losing seats and electors -- Ohio (two), Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, New York and Pennsylvania -- only Louisiana is reliably Republican. And the fact that there are 170,000 fewer residents of New Orleans than before Hurricane Katrina has made the state even more reliably red.
But the real shocker is California. After a consistently large gains in the second half of the 20th century, California is on track for only 9 percent growth in the first decade of the 21st. Compare that to 14 percent growth in the '90s, 26 percent growth in the '80s, 19 percent in the '70s and 27 percent in the '60s.
The nonpartisan Election Data Services projects that for only the second time in the state's history, 1920 being the other, the state will not gain a seat in Congress after a census.
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/po...-80169682.html
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