Wuh Woh
It's October, time for a crash. It's not that easy is it? Is it?
http://www.safehaven.com/article-14697.htm
Market Crash Looming
Wuh Woh
It's October, time for a crash. It's not that easy is it? Is it?
http://www.safehaven.com/article-14697.htm
I've been saying for a while that a second deflationary crash is inevitable. It's going to happen by the beginning of 2010.
Some say early 2010 for another big dump.
Basch's target could set up a big head and shoulders further out.
Interesting US bond market is looking sketchy and IIRC Australia central bank raised rates.
Originally Posted by krazy kaju
BAM model calling for a crash now,
http://www.baminvestor.com/blog/
If the Fed were not playing games, we might have had one already. It is hard to trust a chart anymore as they mess with them all. Not just me noticing that. Watch the end of the day tape antics.
Most people are not picking up that the daily and hourly ADS line on the SPX are both dancing around the zero line. Starting to show a sick market. ETF'S appear to be messing up the $VIX as an indicator anymore.
Time will tell.
No way. I don't care what charts, what graphs what historical perspective anyone throws around if anything was going to crash it would have happened last year. This whole gloom and doom crap is rubbish. I think you'll start to see corporate earnings and quarter growth rise. With a few bumps here and there the FED will again print their way out of this whole mess without repercussion. They've got way too much invested to suffer another big drop.
Just when it comes to the fundamentals, I believe we have a second round of debt deflation coming. As soon as all of the pumped into financial markets enter the economy and cause general inflation, we will see a stock market crash as cash leaves the stock markets, a banking crisis as banks overexposed to stocks go under, and a general financial panic as investors pull out because of fear and high uncertainty. The resulting fall in the velocity of money will cause price deflation, especially in the valuation of assets like stocks and real estate.
We could also fall into a liquidity trap if the federal government becomes over-indebted, which is in itself a possibility. If debt exceeds over 100% of GDP, which looks like it will soon, investors might not be willing to buy T-bills at the current low rates. But since the Fed and other central banks will keep US Treasuries and T-bills at low rates, we could see a classical liquidity trap where monetary pumping ends up in bank reserves and under beds as creditors become too afraid to lend to anyone.
But after the second deflationary wave, it looks like we'll have major, double digit inflation in the cards.
The BOJ was unable to print their way out of their decade long depression. The Fed was unable to print their way out of the Great Depression (and yes, they tried). The Fed has been trying to print its way out of this crisis for over a year and they have been failing, for the most part.
This. And the deflationary crash happens or it does not, in the close future there is stagflation like in the 70's but probably worse, not a recovery.
Why do you think it will happen at the beggining of 2010 and not now?
Any big dates for Dr Paul's Fed Audit Bill coming up?
The week it goes up for a vote you can bet there will be havoc in the US markets so the bankers can say something about shaken confidence in the markets and martial law.
Not a conspiracy theory, just a conspiracy fact.
Well a huge wedge up on low volume usually doesn't just turn into another up move.
I've noticed a lot of buying that would usually drive prices up is now doing almost nothing.
This is the exact opposite of what happened in March.
There are big bears above this market biting the heads off the salmon as they pop out of the water. Grrrrrr.
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