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Thread: Ron Paul Odds for 2012: 50/1

  1. #31
    Quote Originally Posted by rockandrollsouls View Post
    ....those odds are greatly distorted. Does anyone in the country NOT think Sarah Palin is a complete and total moron?

    I'm tellin' you guys, odds for Ron in 2012 are great.
    I see "Sarah" or "Cuda" bumper stickers all the time - far more than McCain or even "W04" (and I still see a lot of those, as hard as that is to believe). There are a lot of neoconservative evangelicals.

    And "Moron" is relative. If you're going through life with an IQ of 90 then Palin is a genius and someone like Ron Paul is so smart he's just obnoxious and doesn't make sense when he talks about things like "fiat currency".
    NC doesn't need ThomTillis as the Republican nominee for US Senate.



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  3. #32
    Quote Originally Posted by slacker921 View Post
    I see "Sarah" or "Cuda" bumper stickers all the time - far more than McCain or even "W04" (and I still see a lot of those, as hard as that is to believe). There are a lot of neoconservative evangelicals.

    And "Moron" is relative. If you're going through life with an IQ of 90 then Palin is a genius and someone like Ron Paul is so smart he's just obnoxious and doesn't make sense when he talks about things like "fiat currency".
    Masterfully articulated.



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  5. #33
    sure its all rigged as we found out this last time without a doubt, but im hoping that this time around people will finally be pissed off enough to do things with force and make the government back down. there is nothing like mad people with a hero to lead them or to get behind. ron paul can be that man if he announces now, or right after obama is sworn in...which im wondering if thats all that is holding him back right now. he sees the massive support for him now that wasnt there even 2 months ago.

  6. #34
    Quote Originally Posted by RonPaulFanInGA View Post
    http://www.foxbusiness.com/story/mar...day-537712824/



    US Presidential Election 2012 - Winning Candidate (Next President)

    4/5 Barack Obama
    7/1 Sarah Palin
    10/1 Hillary Clinton
    11/1 Mitt Romney
    14/1 Mike Huckabee
    16/1 Joe Biden
    20/1 Jon Huntsman
    25/1 Bobby Jindal
    33/1 Fred Thompson
    33/1 Bill Owens
    40/1 Evan Bayh
    40/1 Rudolph Giuliani
    40/1 Jeb Bush
    40/1 Lindsey Graham
    40/1 David Petraeus
    50/1 Tom Ridge
    50/1 Ron Paul
    66/1 John McCain
    66/1 Al Gore
    Someone explain to me how in the heck Hillary is #3. Are they betting on Barack being assassinated or impeached or something?
    “If you're on the wrong road, progress means doing an about-turn and walking back to the right road; in that case, the man who turns back soonest is the most progressive.” -CS Lewis

    The use of force to impose morality is itself immoral, and generosity with others' money is still theft.

    If our society were a forum, congress would be the illiterate troll that somehow got a hold of the only ban hammer.

  7. #35
    If memory serves me correctly I believe bookmakers had much higher odds of Ron Paul winning in the early stages of the last election (like 250/1 or something like that). So I guess this is a small victory.
    "Governor, if I had foreseen the use those people
    designed to make of their victory,
    there would have been no surrender at
    Appomattox Courthouse; no sir, not by me.
    Had I foreseen these results of subjugation,
    I would have preferred to die at Appomattox
    with my brave men, my sword in my right hand." - Robert E. Lee to Governor Fletcher S. Stockdale (D-Texas), 1870


  8. #36
    "No way could I be elected,
    because I'm not going to play the role of Santa Claus.
    I'm going to play the role of trying to tell people the truth."

    - Ron Paul

    Campaign For Liberty
    Free State Project

  9. #37
    Quote Originally Posted by tremendoustie View Post
    Someone explain to me how in the heck Hillary is #3. Are they betting on Barack being assassinated or impeached or something?
    Just a guess and something I was thinking after Barack won the nomination...Hillary could always run as a 3rd party candidate.

    Unlikely to happen but it's possible.

  10. #38
    Quote Originally Posted by jdmyprez_deo_vindice View Post
    If memory serves me correctly I believe bookmakers had much higher odds of Ron Paul winning in the early stages of the last election (like 250/1 or something like that). So I guess this is a small victory.
    It shows how far this campaign has come....

  11. #39
    you have to understand, people looking from the outside, have plenty of reason to be pessimistic. Paul never ever had good polling numbers nor did he place well in any MAJOR primarys. His fundraising could have been a "fluke"
    but when your on the inside looking out you know that we will do well
    Please consider donating to the Mises Caucus today. We are TAKING OVER the LP.

    We have big plans including creating a program to bring libertarians like Maj Toure and Tom Woods to college campuses.

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  12. #40
    50/1 Ron Paul
    66/1 John McCain

    “...& they did it to make us safe?!? The media just pounds it in that without this type of operation we as Americans won’t be safe. And yet the exact opposite is happening.” Ron Paul on the killing of Soleimani



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  14. #41
    if you want to crossbet, and counterbet, lay 100 on obama,
    lay 100 on palin, and then bet 200 on ron paul at the 50 to 1 odds

    if ron paul wins, your initial $200 becomes $10,ooo and you are in rEVOLUTIOnARy bliss
    as you can actually get some bills paid. if "divine sarah" wins, your initial $400 dollar
    decision to counterbet has you with a $300 profit most happily. this is sorta like
    what voting g.o.p would do in 2012 would do to us as a country...methinks!
    now as to why you tossed good money after bad when laying a C~note
    on our current potus, okaaaay... if he squeaks in on this one again...
    thats how things will be feeling. full-time becomes part-time and
    yes, you need some compensation for the wad of cash you
    just blew with all the 1990s and bush years panache...
    as you get your initial 100 dollar bet back, the neat
    differential that is the payout is our inflation rate...

    cheer up! laying the $300 on both ron apul and divine sarah
    has one at least briefly with hope voting one's heart...
    even if the opinion polls have you seeing the wood for the trees!

  15. #42
    Republican Presidential Nominee

    David Petraeus 20 - 1
    Ron Paul 25 - 1
    Sarah Palin 3 - 1
    John Ensign 25 - 1
    Mitt Romney 5 - 1
    George Allen 33 - 1
    Mike Huckabee 7 - 1
    Condoleezza Rice 33 - 1
    Bobby Jindal 12 - 1
    John McCain 33 - 1
    Jon Huntsman 12 - 1
    Bill First 40 - 1
    Fred Thompson 16 - 1
    George Pataki 40 - 1
    Bill Owens 16 - 1
    Sam Brownback 50 - 1
    Lindsey Graham 20 - 1
    Arnold Schwarzenegger 50 - 1
    Jeb Bush 20 - 1
    Dick Cheney 100 - 1
    Rudolph Giuliani 20 - 1
    Laura Bush 500 - 1
    Tom Ridge 25 - 1

    Winning Party
    Democrats 4 - 6
    Republicans 11 - 10
    Any Other 80 - 1

    Paddy Power U.S Presidential Betting

  16. #43
    Quote Originally Posted by eok321 View Post
    Republican Presidential Nominee

    David Petraeus 20 - 1
    Ron Paul 25 - 1
    Sarah Palin 3 - 1
    John Ensign 25 - 1
    Mitt Romney 5 - 1
    George Allen 33 - 1
    Mike Huckabee 7 - 1
    Condoleezza Rice 33 - 1
    Bobby Jindal 12 - 1
    John McCain 33 - 1
    Jon Huntsman 12 - 1
    Bill First 40 - 1
    Fred Thompson 16 - 1
    George Pataki 40 - 1
    Bill Owens 16 - 1
    Sam Brownback 50 - 1
    Lindsey Graham 20 - 1
    Arnold Schwarzenegger 50 - 1
    Jeb Bush 20 - 1
    Dick Cheney 100 - 1
    Rudolph Giuliani 20 - 1
    Laura Bush 500 - 1
    Tom Ridge 25 - 1

    Winning Party
    Democrats 4 - 6
    Republicans 11 - 10
    Any Other 80 - 1

    Paddy Power U.S Presidential Betting
    Interesting.
    tu ne cede malis

  17. #44
    I'll take those Odds!
    "One of the great victories of the state, is that the word "Anarchy" terrifies people but, the word "State" does not" - Tom Woods

  18. #45
    Quote Originally Posted by ClayTrainor View Post
    I'll take those Odds!
    Considering I've lost several hundred dollars playing roulette in the last month, I'm not satisfied with those odds. We need to get him to like 1 - 4 then i'll feel safe.

  19. #46
    If we start raising money early enough, we can make those odds skyrocket. And Ron Paul has to spend a LOT of time in New Hampshire (the remainder in Iowa in the beginning) and then Nevada this time around without wasting time in places like New York or South Carolina. Prioritize to win strategy.
    "When one gets in bed with government, one must expect the diseases it spreads."
    -Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX)

    "Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
    -Benjamin Franklin
    http://purecommonsense.net/

  20. #47
    Keep in mind that the true odds on these bets are much worse than are being offered by the sportsbook. They might be offering 50/1 on Paul, but his true odds are much, much worse. They are basically fishing for sucker bets.
    Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch.

  21. #48
    Quote Originally Posted by qh4dotcom View Post
    Lindsey Graham 40/1? What are these oddsmakers smoking? That video of him calling bigots whoever opposes his amnesty should ruin any chance he has.
    They aren't smoking anything. They are relying on the general public smoking something and placing the bet. If the true odds are 10000/1 and they can get away with offering only 40/1, they will gladly do so.
    Democracy is two wolves and a lamb voting on what to have for lunch.



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  23. #49
    Doug Wead has it all thought out

  24. #50
    The PC crowd will crush him again. McArdle was proving (re-proving?) her anti-racist bonafides again this weekend by bring up the newsletters. If Paul ran against Bambam in '12, it is guaranteed the MSM (including all the so-called libertarian publications) would see to it those newsletters would be front page news.

    Re-reading all that refreshed my hatred for the liberaltarians.

  25. #51
    Mark Sanford will be the next president!!!

  26. #52
    it's still to early to tell. There is no guarentee that there will even be an election (or an America) in 2012

  27. #53
    Quote Originally Posted by Paul or not at all View Post
    it's still to early to tell. There is no guarentee that there will even be an election (or an America) in 2012
    There will. And the people will desperately need someone who can fix the economy, not another status-quo liar.

  28. #54
    Interesting. I don't understand how these statistics are calculated though. And why do they even bother with Democrats? We all know Obama is going to be their candidate in 2012 again, unless something cataclysmic happens to him. He could do a more crap job than Bush--and, in all likelyhood, he will--and still get re-nominated. Neither of the two parties in modern times have ever dumped an incumbent President. Even LBJ voluntarily decided not to go for re-election, he probably would have gotten their nomination again if he had.

  29. #55
    I hope Sanford and Paul don't split the liberty vote if they BOTH go for the GOP nomination. Sometimes its better to have one figure to rally behind.
    "When one gets in bed with government, one must expect the diseases it spreads."
    -Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX)

    "Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
    -Benjamin Franklin
    http://purecommonsense.net/

  30. #56
    Update..

    Republican Nominee

    Mitt Romney 8/13
    Rick Perry 5/2
    Herman Cain 14/1
    Ron Paul 14/1
    Michele Bachmann 20/1
    Jon Huntsman 22/1
    Paul Ryan 33/1
    Rudolph Giuliani 40/1
    Newt Gingrich 66/1

    Next President

    Barack Obama 4/5
    Mitt Romney 2/1
    Rick Perry 7/1
    Ron Paul 16/1
    Herman Cain 25/1
    Jon Huntsman 33/1
    Hillary Clinton 33/1
    Michele Bachmann 40/1
    Paul Ryan 66/1
    Rudolph Giuliani 80/1
    Joe Biden 80/1

    http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politi...grp_ids=482041



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  32. #57
    Iowa Caucus

    Mitt Romney 6/4
    Newt Gingrich 13/8
    Herman Cain 5/1
    Ron Paul 5/1
    Rick Perry 9/1
    Michele Bachmann 12/1
    Rick Santorum 20/1
    Jon Huntsman 40/1


    Republican Nominee

    Mitt Romney 1/2
    Newt Gingrich 7/2
    Rick Perry 10/1
    Ron Paul 10/1
    Herman Cain 14/1
    Jon Huntsman 25/1
    Michele Bachmann 50/1

    Next President

    Barack Obama 10/11
    Mitt Romney 15/8
    Newt Gingrich 8/1
    Ron Paul 16/1
    Rick Perry 22/1
    Herman Cain 22/1

  33. #58
    Ron Now 17/2 for the Nomination

    Markets reacting to the slew of better polls

  34. #59
    To Win Iowa
    Newt Gingrich 8/11
    Ron Paul 5/4
    Mitt Romney 10/1


    To Win New Hampshire
    Mitt Romney 4/6
    Newt Gingrich 2/1
    Ron Paul 7/1


    Republican Nominee

    Newt 6/5
    Mitt 6/5
    Ron 7/1


    Next President
    Obama 5/6
    Newt 10/3
    Mitt 10/3
    Ron 14/1

    http://www.paddypower.com/bet/politi...grp_ids=482041
    Last edited by eok321; 12-15-2011 at 07:39 AM.

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