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Thread: Voter Turnout for Primaries?

  1. #1

    Default Voter Turnout for Primaries?

    Since I'm just 19 years old and this is going to be my first time really voting in an election, I was wondering what the turnout is for primaries. I would think that it is pretty abysmal, and even worse this year because most Republicans seem to be disillusioned by their party.

    When I see the gallup and other polls of 1,000 or so random people, in which Giuliani, Romney, and McCain dominate I can't help to wonder how many of these people are actually going to vote in the primaries. When I look around the internet, I can't find any significant movement or websites (like this one) devoted to organize supporters for these top tier candidates. It seems that right now the only thing they have is name recognition, and is name recognition actually going to bring people to the polls come primaries? On the other hand, I know that every one of the rabid Paul supporters is going to be voting.

    When I think about that I get very optimistic, and we still have time to keep spreading the word.



  • #2

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    I've thought the same thing. Paul's support is frequently dismissed as 'merely' a minority of dedicated fanatics, but in a country where those who actually vote are in the minority, I would think that this would be a great strength.

  • #3

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    It's VERY low. The last presidential primaries only had a 7.2% turnout.

    Republican turnout was 6.6%
    Democratic turnout was 11.4%
    http://www.usatoday.com/news/politic...-turnout_x.htm

  • #4

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    Quote Originally Posted by cujothekitten View Post
    It's VERY low. The last presidential primaries only had a 7.2% turnout.

    Republican turnout was 6.6%
    Democratic turnout was 11.4%
    http://www.usatoday.com/news/politic...-turnout_x.htm
    I suppose that implies if we can just get a few hundred thousand that don't normally vote in primaries to vote for our guy, we might really make a difference.

  • #5

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    ok. What's the total population of 6.6% of Iowan Republicans? It'll be lower this year.

  • #6

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    Quote Originally Posted by burnice View Post
    I suppose that implies if we can just get a few hundred thousand that don't normally vote in primaries to vote for our guy, we might really make a difference.
    I'd say that's a big YES. It's just a few thousand in each state.

  • #7

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    Quote Originally Posted by cujothekitten View Post
    It's VERY low. The last presidential primaries only had a 7.2% turnout.

    Republican turnout was 6.6%
    Democratic turnout was 11.4%
    http://www.usatoday.com/news/politic...-turnout_x.htm
    It should be closer to the 11.4% one this time. Republicans will care more when the presidential primary is actually at issue. Bush was their guy last time.

  • #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by JosephTheLibertarian View Post
    ok. What's the total population of 6.6% of Iowan Republicans? It'll be lower this year.
    I think it will be higher actually. Last time there wasn't a presidential election at stake. That is the race that really gets people to the polls. I expect it to be double what last year's turnout was.

  • #9

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    I would imagine that in states like Iowa and New Hampshire the percentage is higher since the spotlight is on them and it usually seems that they dictate how the race will go. But still, if we spread the word to our family and friends and encourage them to do the same I think we can definitely get more people excited about Ron Paul than the number of people who only know McCain and Giuliani because of name recognition and actually go to vote. I've looked around the internet, and I seriously cannot find a base of supporters for them that can come close to ours.

    Also, the later primaries probably have an even lower turnout than 6.6% so even if things don't go great in Iowa stay engaged and we can win the larger states that are even more apathetic.

  • #10

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    I do think it's important to push the message about how important it actually is to vote in the primaries. Get people acclimated to the idea that they have to step away from the PC for an hour or so that day.

    I"ve been guilty of not voting in the primaries, because I typically didn't care which generic candidate won.

    This time it's different.

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