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Thread: Iowa PPP Poll 12/18: Paul 23%, Romney 20%, Gingrich 14%

  1. #1

    Iowa PPP Poll 12/18: Paul 23%, Romney 20%, Gingrich 14%

    Paul 23% (+2)
    Romney 20% (+4)
    Gingrich 14% (-8)
    Bachmann 10% (-1)
    Perry 10% (+1)
    Santorum 10% (+2)
    Huntsman 4% (-1)
    Johnson 2% (+1)


    http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/m...s-in-iowa.html

    Iowa
    12/16 - 12/18
    597 likely caucus voters
    +/-4.0%


    Paul
    23
    21
    18
    10
    16
    11
    Romney
    20
    16
    16
    22
    19
    26
    Gingrich
    14
    22
    27
    8
    5
    15
    Bachmann
    10
    11
    13
    8
    18
    14
    Perry
    10
    9
    9
    9
    22
    Santorum
    10
    8
    6
    5
    5
    Huntsman
    4
    5
    4
    1
    3
    2
    Johnson
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0


    Ron Paul Crosstabs:

    12/16
    12/18
    12/11
    12/13
    12/3
    12/5
    10/7
    10/10
    8/19
    8/21
    5/27
    5/30
    18-29
    38
    42
    17
    36
    38
    25
    30-45
    31
    25
    25
    12
    15
    10
    46-65
    15
    16
    16
    7
    14
    9
    >65
    15
    13
    11
    5
    10
    9
    Man
    27
    22
    20
    8
    21
    13
    Woman
    18
    20
    15
    12
    9
    8


    Second Choice:

    12/16
    12/18
    12/11
    12/13
    12/3
    12/5
    10/7
    10/10
    Bachmann
    15
    11
    10
    11
    Perry
    14
    10
    11
    12
    Gingrich
    13
    14
    17
    17
    Romney
    12
    13
    13
    11
    Paul
    9
    12
    10
    9
    Santorum
    9
    8
    9
    5
    Huntsman
    7
    7
    5
    3
    Johnson
    1
    1
    2
    1

    Newt Gingrich's campaign is rapidly imploding, and Ron Paul has now taken the lead in Iowa. He's at 23% to 20% for Mitt Romney, 14% for Gingrich, 10% each for Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, and Rick Perry, 4% for Jon Huntsman, and 2% for Gary Johnson.

    Gingrich has now seen a big drop in his Iowa standing two weeks in a row. His share of the vote has gone from 27% to 22% to 14%. And there's been a large drop in his personal favorability numbers as well from +31 (62/31) to +12 (52/40) to now -1 (46/47). Negative ads over the last few weeks have really chipped away at Gingrich's image as being a strong conservative- now only 36% of voters believe that he has 'strong principles,' while 43% think he does not.

    Paul's ascendancy is a sign that perhaps campaigns do matter at least a little, in a year where there has been a lot of discussion about whether they still do in Iowa. 22% of voters think he's run the best campaign in the state compared to only 8% for Gingrich and 5% for Romney. The only other candidate to hit double digits on that question is Bachmann at 19%. Paul also leads Romney 26-5 (with Gingrich at 13%) with the 22% of voters who say it's 'very important' that a candidate spends a lot of time in Iowa. Finally Paul leads Romney 29-19 among the 26% of likely voters who have seen one of the candidates in person.

    Paul's base of support continues to rely on some unusual groups for a Republican contest. Among voters under 45 he's at 33% to 16% for Romney and 11% for Gingrich. He's really going to need that younger than normal electorate because with seniors Romney's blowing him out 31-15 with Gingrich coming in 2nd at 18%. Paul is also cleaning up 35-14 with the 24% of voters who identify as either Democrats or independents. Romney is actually ahead 22-19 with GOP voters. Young people and non-Republicans are an unusual coalition to hang your hat on in Iowa, and it will be interesting to see if Paul can actually pull it off.

    Let's roll.
    Last edited by Havax; 12-18-2011 at 10:42 PM.



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  8. #7
    So happy!!! Now I can sleep well!

    Oh, and I am going to drudge it too!

  9. #8
    Holy $#@!.
    twitter | blog

    Don't take refuge in the false security of consensus - Christopher Hitchens



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  11. #9
    I need to go to sleep for work but we need to spread this link all over the place... send it to every media outlet, journalist, facebook, twitter...

  12. #10

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  14. #12
    Omg. This is freaking awsome. Ron Paul 2012!!!!.!
    ‎"Everything that can be counted does not necessarily count; everything that counts cannot necessarily be counted." -Einstein

  15. #13
    Holy crap, this is good. We will probably start seeing some negatives coming at us now.

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  20. #17
    PPP Poll - Iowa Caucus / Ron Paul in 1st at 23%

    Iowa
    12/16 - 12/18
    597 likely caucus voters
    +/-4.0%


    Paul
    23
    21
    18
    10
    16
    11
    Romney
    20
    16
    16
    22
    19
    26
    Gingrich
    14
    22
    27
    8
    5
    15
    Bachmann
    10
    11
    13
    8
    18
    14
    Perry
    10
    9
    9
    9
    22
    Santorum
    10
    8
    6
    5
    5
    Huntsman
    4
    5
    4
    1
    3
    2
    Johnson
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0


    Ron Paul Crosstabs:

    12/16
    12/18
    12/11
    12/13
    12/3
    12/5
    10/7
    10/10
    8/19
    8/21
    5/27
    5/30
    18-29
    38
    42
    17
    36
    38
    25
    30-45
    31
    25
    25
    12
    15
    10
    46-65
    15
    16
    16
    7
    14
    9
    >65
    15
    13
    11
    5
    10
    9
    Man
    27
    22
    20
    8
    21
    13
    Woman
    18
    20
    15
    12
    9
    8


    Second Choice:

    12/16
    12/18
    12/11
    12/13
    12/3
    12/5
    10/7
    10/10
    Bachmann
    15
    11
    10
    11
    Perry
    14
    10
    11
    12
    Gingrich
    13
    14
    17
    17
    Romney
    12
    13
    13
    11
    Paul
    9
    12
    10
    9
    Santorum
    9
    8
    9
    5
    Huntsman
    7
    7
    5
    3
    Johnson
    1
    1
    2
    1

  21. #18
    Hoping to see NH follow suit and at least get a boost

  22. #19
    Heh good stuff man...time to attack that corporate shark, Romney now

  23. #20
    I hope all the tubers are ready to capture the epic head explosions from the neocon punditry today.

  24. #21
    Great Odin's raven. I think I'm dreaming!!!

  25. #22
    And the crowd goes crazy!!!!!!!!!!!!
    "The rifle itself has no moral stature, since it has no will of its own. Naturally, it may be used by evil men for evil purposes, but there are more good men than evil, and while the latter cannot be persuaded to the path of righteousness by propaganda, they can certainly be corrected by good men with rifles." —Jeff Cooper

    Out of suffering have emerged the strongest souls; the most massive characters are seared with scars.

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  29. #25
    O-M-G !!!
    There is only one success -- to be able to spend your life in your own way.
    -- Christopher Morley (1890 - 1957)

  30. #26
    Beautiful! Drudge has a link up "GOP will take gloves off if Paul wins IA"

    The GOP needs us so bad. No one but Paul!

  31. #27
    "We have allowed our Nation to be overtaxed, and over-regulated, and overrun by bureaucrats. The Founders would be ashamed of us for what we're putting up with."

    Never try to take the "politics" out of politics.

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  34. #30
    Just took the lead on intrade again as well! This has made me even more pumped up to start phone from home tomorrow.

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