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Looks like Herman Cain is pulling off a dominant victory with Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich close behind.
Just messing, this is awesome. There is no doubt in my mind that the name RP will go down in the annals of history. Lets win this thing.
Wtf is this? An online poll?
Dude, seriously, wtf?
Last edited by bluesc; 11-14-2011 at 11:27 PM.
If this is legit, my mind is blown.
please be legit.The Bloomberg Iowa poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points and was taken Nov. 10-12. Selzer & Co. is the same West Des Moines-based firm that conducts the Iowa Poll for the Des Moines Register newspaper.
nice.Paul’s campaign leads for voter contact, with about two thirds of respondents saying they’ve heard from his campaign, followed by 61 percent who said they’ve been reached by Bachmann’s campaign.
wait is this an online poll?
oh god I'm scared to check
ah I found the catch.
"survey of 503 voters in Iowa ages 18 or older who said they would definitely or probably participate in the January 2012 Republican Caucuses."
"the same West Des Moines-based firm that conducts the Iowa Poll for the Des Moines Register newspaper."
They released poll results 2 weeks ago on the same day as Ron Paul winning the Iowa GOP straw poll. October 29th.
Today's numbers vs 2 weeks ago:
Cain: 20 / 23 (-3)
Paul: 19 / 12 (+7)
Romney: 18 / 22 (-4)
Gingrich: 17 / 7 (+10)
Perry: 7 / 7 (+0)
Bachmann: 5 / 8 (-3)
Santorum: 3 / 5 (-2)
Huntsman: 1 / 1 (+0)
I say if we're within 5% of the frontrunner in IA we're winning the damn thing. = Turnout rules!
I thought polls took into account voter turnout in some form or fashion.
Most polls don't give equal weight to every person who is registered GOP. They correctly adjust the demographics of their poll to more accurately sample the population of voters who will vote. Sampling only those who say "definitely or probably participate" completely eliminated the casual voter population. I would guess this population does have an impact at the polls, mostly because it's a very large population.
That's how I figured these polls work. Someone correct me if I'm way off.
Last edited by Fermli; 11-14-2011 at 11:40 PM.
This is exactly right. The midwest has our highest national averages, we are far higher than 10% in Iowa.
“When the whole world is running towards a cliff, he who is running in the opposite direction appears to have lost his mind.” -CS Lewis
If this doesn't cause everyone to donate again, what will?
Finally seeing some results; so that means our money is well spent.
Time for an Iowa surge money bomb!!!!
Pray that nobody is harmed, but a badass winter storm and we'll own this thing
Best news I've seen all election.
Good God why are 20 who are for Cain cant see his cluess?
Also, it's a bit funny how 10% of people who fall in the "probably or definitely will vote" group, say they are undecided.
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