http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2011/im.../23/topnh1.pdf
UNH/CNN/WMUR
NH Primary
Romney: 33%
Paul: 9%
Gingrich: 7%
Giuliani: 6%
Pawlenty: 6%
Palin: 5%
Bachmann: 4%
Cain: 4%
Huntsman: 4%
Santorum: 2%
Damn Romney
Solid 2nd vs 3 or 4-way tied for 2nd in another recent poll.
If it comes down to Romney vs Paul, there's no way the other 68% are going to vote for him. I'm confident that Ron can defeat Mittens, even without the special interest millions.
Hey, we may be able to get about 15% in the final.
I have 2 questions:
Why is Romney so popular?
and
Why is Romney so popular in NH?
A lotta mass expat rinos in nh
Romney has a house here in NH.
Romney spends LOTS of time in NH.
Romney's PAC spent a lot of money here in 2010 elections.
If Ron comes in 2nd or 3rd in NH that is gonna be GREAT.
And the only person who can beat Romney in NH IS... (drumroll)Originally Posted by Dreepa
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Second place is really good for this stage in the game. The key is to 1) Keep any other competitors from overtaking us for second; and 2) Ensure that the plurality of ex-Romney voters who find out about his healthcare stance switch to Paul.
9% is kinda low with Huckabee and Trump out, but 2nd place is very good. Ron needs to keep 2nd for sure, and (I agree) grab those turned off of Romneycare.
15% have Ron Paul as one of their top 3 choices.
15% have Giuliani as one of their top 3 choices.
15% have Gingrich as one of their top 3 choices.
21% have Palin as one of their top 3 choices.
16% for Bachmann
17% for Pawlenty
61% for Romney
Ron Paul could use a little bit more depth of support.
"Strongest Leader" - Ron Paul gets just 3%
"Most believable" - Romney over Paul by 20% to 12% (this is a good result)
"Most likeable" - Ron Paul gets just 7%
"Handle terrorism" - Ron Paul gets just 5%
"Best chance of beating Obama" - Paul gets just 1% even though the latest CNN poll shows Ron Paul did the best!
Last edited by Epic; 05-23-2011 at 04:32 PM.
Wtf is this Romney love-fest?
If you look at the crosstabs its both good and bad. The good is that Rons support seems to be strong. He shouldnt "dip" any lower than hes at. The bad news is that if it comes down to Paul VS. Romney, Romney is the preferred 2nd choice candidate of 20% of the voters whereas Ron is the second place choice of only 4% of voters....
h xxp://www.foxnews.com/on-air/oreilly/index.html
vote for ron lower right side of page
Last edited by sailingaway; 05-23-2011 at 04:52 PM.
It must be the hairspray that does it for Romney.
I agree it's kinda low. I keep seeing the bin Laden smear and the heroin smear, but hopefully by the time there is a key date in NH there will be good ads running, including one explaining Ron's foreign policy "I would have gone for bin Laden ten years ago, and what if we had? We'd have saved ten years and thousands of lives and hundreds of thousands of disabilities, and vast sums of money. We must never compromise strong defense of this country, but our defense includes having the funds to engage in war at need. We hurt not only our safety nets but our national security with this debt....."
And we need to have the polls showing how well Ron does against Obama in all our flyers. People need to KNOW that.
Last edited by sailingaway; 05-23-2011 at 04:56 PM.
"Integrity means having to say things that people don't want to hear & especially to say things that the regime doesn't want to hear.” -Ron Paul
"Bathtub falls and police officers kill more Americans than terrorism, yet we've been asked to sacrifice our most sacred rights for fear of falling victim to it." -Edward Snowden
New poll and already Ron Paul is winning: http://www.glbanners.com/polls/21/20...lelection.html
Cain is winning:
Mitt Romney
17.53% (112 votes)
Newt Gingrich
7.51% (48 votes)
Tim Pawlenty
17.06% (109 votes)
Herman Cain
31.3% (200 votes)
Ron Paul
26.6% (170 votes)
"Integrity means having to say things that people don't want to hear & especially to say things that the regime doesn't want to hear.” -Ron Paul
"Bathtub falls and police officers kill more Americans than terrorism, yet we've been asked to sacrifice our most sacred rights for fear of falling victim to it." -Edward Snowden
Romney has spent A LOT of time in New Hampshire over the past four years and it has paid off for him handsomely. That's pretty much all there is to it. NH primary voters are spoiled; if a presidential candidate wants their support that candidate had better show up in their backyard (preferably repeatedly).
Romney is part of the ole boys club around there. It will take a LOT to win N.H. I think winning Iowa is more likely
It's acting funny. You can vote as many times as you want to, but they won't all be counted. Wasn't there another FOX poll that took 2 votes or more for RP to register one vote?
Gary Johnson was omitted.
Based on the idea of natural rights, government secures those rights to the individual by strictly negative intervention, making justice costless and easy of access; and beyond that it does not go. The State, on the other hand, both in its genesis and by its primary intention, is purely anti-social. It is not based on the idea of natural rights, but on the idea that the individual has no rights except those that the State may provisionally grant him. It has always made justice costly and difficult of access, and has invariably held itself above justice and common morality whenever it could advantage itself by so doing.
--Albert J. Nock
We finally have a poll with Cain.....4%. I guess he was never a threat at all.
Now 2nd place is very good....but it's shocking that Romney has 33% of the vote in that state, compared to maybe 20% in most others.
The Heart of Conservatism is Libertarianism - Ronald Reagan
I know, I was asking myself the same thing. Are these people idiots or what??? Oh, let me guess: "He looks Presidential." Think I'll go puke now.
Paranoia is having all of the facts.
www.classifiedwoman.com
Pat Buchanan pulled off the NH upset in '96....
Buchanan lost Iowa by 2% tho so he was going in strong.
Why does Giuliani keep appearing in polls? Is there any indication at all he is going to run? It's almost like they put him in there just as a placeholder because all the other neo-cons in the game are so bad.
The biggest thing that could help us would be winning Iowa, and carrying that momentum into N.H. and all the voters gunning for the fringe candidates (everyone except Paul and Romney, feels good saying that.) vote for Paul as the "anti-Romney."
Romney's hair in the lead, no surprise unfortunately.
Slightly OT: Anyone think Huntsman's entrance will split the LDS bloc vote?
Everything is going to change after the summer, with a few more debates, the field will be pretty much settled (Palin or Bachman in or out etc..), campaign money raised and reported, and ground games active and firmly in place, you'll see the polls change quite a bit...
this is great, ROmney is polling too high to early, and his poll numbers are getting to close to Obamas this makes him a target of the left wing media and of plethora of Rpeublicans candidates trying to edge their way to the race.
Romney poll numbers are calling to much attention to his despite his attempt to have a low profile, mud will be slinged at him from all sides for the next few months.
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