Tab Content
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Today, 04:47 PM
    How are you making out in the current price slump? Then again things are tough for everyone except gun store owners.
    118 replies | 4190 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 03:37 PM
    It will not be a significant number. The characteristics are getting more solidly indentifiable. History, physical exam, imaging studies and labs are extremely reliable in suggesting who has the disease without confirmatory testing. Will many be counted that actually had another similar looking process? Sure, but overall, I don’t think it will be that much of a significant factor. I could be wrong. Hopefully they do postmortem testing to get more accurate results.
    7 replies | 71 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 03:31 PM
    It certainly doesn’t look to have the same mortality rate compared to the flu when looking at the numbers coming out of Western Europe and the US. Until we get more testing done (and importantly serological testing to see who has had it and didn’t know it which is still an unknown though I think a small relative number), it is just speculation. What we do know is that this is a true and vicious pandemic, serious and deadly, and because it is novel and there is no herd immunity, it will continue to spread and cause lots of death. Even if it’s final mortality rate is close to the flu at 0.1% (which I think is very much on the lower end because of its fast spread and overcoming of the health care system because of it being novel), if everyone gets it, that is 350,000 people dead. I don’t think that it will get that high but only because I think many states are getting better prepared and new treatment strategies are coming out every week.
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 03:04 PM
    That is true, which is why they modeled that without mitigation, if it does have such a mortality rate, upwards to 2 million Americans could die. Time will tell after more data what the true rate is. But with so many unknowns, it is better to assume the worst and then scale back as needed. We may find out it’s rate averaged out is closer to a bad flu, but in hotspots with overrun medical care, that number could be relatively higher.
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 02:57 PM
    And that is for a very serious flu. Our last flu pandemic in 2009 (swine flu) had a mortality rate of 0.02% So this could go up to 100 x increase in mortality rate if it ends up at 2%
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 02:45 PM
    No. Seasonal flu mortality rate is about 0.1%
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 02:36 PM
    It’s all speculation at this time until broad surveillance serological studies are performed to see who has antibodies. But I won’t be surprised if it is 1-2% case fatality rate which is very high for a highly contagious respiratory illness. Again, ultimately the case fatality rate also depends on medical services available. In a perfect system with endless resources, the rate would be lower than during a severe pandemic.
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 02:33 PM
    One of the factors that determine how sick you get is the initial viral load you receive. For example, if you touch a contaminated service and then touch your mouth, you may receive a smaller initial load of virus. By the time this multiplies to become a formidable army and overtake your immune system, you have a chance to build antibodies and fight it off. However, if someone who is teaming with virus coughs in your face or you sit close to someone for a while who is breathing/coughing, you can’t get exposed to a large viral load initially. Because of that, this army grows very quickly and can overtake your immune system before you can develop antibodies. Most of the very sick young front line patients are because they were exposed to a large viral load all at once (intubating someone, getting coughed on, etc). Other factors also weigh in (ones baseline immune status/co morbidities/genetics etc), but it seems one of the greatest factors is how high of an initial viral load you are exposed to.
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 02:17 PM
    I can tell you that the numbers infected in the US is significantly higher than what is being recorded due to the lack of testing up until recently. Even now, we are not testing patients suspected with mild symptoms, as the tests are limited and the treatment up until now has been the same. I would guess half the patients I see and I suspect don’t get tested because they do not fit criteria. As we get more tests, this should change and then we can get more accurate data.
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • Theocrat's Avatar
    Today, 02:12 PM
    Oh, my bad. He's a fascist.
    12 replies | 259 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 02:11 PM
    The problem is that it is a novel virus. No one has encountered it before. So even if the final case fatality rate is closer to the flu (which so far it looks to be worse than the flu), the problem is that because there is no herd immunity to it, it is spreading like a wildfire and causing many who contract it to get sick and a high percentage, very sick. This cannot be compared to the a bad flu season because much of the population has some immunity to the flu and thereby it naturally mitigates the spread and virulence. No flu season in recent memory has done anything close to this. The Spanish flu was extremely bad, but you must also factor in that at that time there was little in terms of effective supportive treatments or antibiotics to help with super infections. The Spanish flu now would look like the H1N1 pandemic of 2009. Yes it was bad, but nothing like this.
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 01:01 PM
    Oh hell no I won’t take it
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • Theocrat's Avatar
    Today, 12:36 PM
    You don't need a Joe Biden in office when you already have a socialist in the Oval Office. :shrugging:
    12 replies | 259 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 12:15 PM
    I am not one to easily take a vaccine. My children do not get the flu vaccine every year. I have to at work because it is mandated and I have little choice. With regards to a Covid vaccine, it all depends on what is going on at that time. If there seems to be more understanding of this disease and better treatment options, I may opt out (unless it become mandatory for my job). If I get sick and recover, I wouldn’t. If it continues to demonstrate little therapy options and significant mortality rate, and the vaccine is shown to be safe and effective, I may be more inclined to voluntarily take it. Too early to tell for me, personally. As for tracking capabilities, I’m not sure what you are referring to.
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • Cap's Avatar
    Today, 12:00 PM
    https://youtu.be/Lij8j815_Ms
    replies | 88 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 11:15 AM
    Yes, they are. At first, before the FDA gave the okay, it was given only to the sickest and didn’t show much improvement probably because it was given so late. Now, pending availability of the medicine (which is a big issue), is it routinely being given much earlier in the course. I hope and pray it helps. Still not 100%clear it has at our site.
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 11:13 AM
    I have seen seasoned ER docs break down in full blown panic attacks and in tears, and these are strong people who have more fortitude than the average person. Staff members are quitting mid shift. Colleagues on ventilators and worsening daily. No one, I repeat no one I know, including those gray haired doctors who have been working for over 40 years, have ever seen or thought they would see something like this. No one working in the medical field in those current hot spots would downplay this or say it is being overblown or a hoax. Only those who are comfortably sitting at home, in areas where it has not yet hit to that extreme, would suggest such a thing. I hope and pray it stays that way for them. But all I and my colleagues would ask is, do your part to flatten the curve, not only for the protection of many thousands of lives, but for your own sakes so that your own community doesn’t get hit so bad. Yes the economy is suffering, and there are consequences. But no one I know living in the hotspots is as worried about that. They are just hoping no one else they know gets sick or dies from this.
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 10:57 AM
    I am not revealing personal info. I will say I am in the NY metro area. My hospital has seventy Covid intubated patients spanned out within the hospital in makeshift ICUs. The majority of admitted patients are Covid patients on oxygen. People dying at record pace (It is most definitely the number one cause of death in my area right now). Many die in the ER waiting days for an inpatient bed. We are sending patients home with oxygen saturation that are 92% and only admitting those who have lower sats. Staff is getting sick, some extremely so. All elective cases have been cancelled and we are resorting to surgical specialists/medical students managing icu medical patients. We’ve changed policies on who can get on a vent because of lack of equipment/support staff. All former restrictions have been abandoned (licensures/hospital privileges) and anyone willing to work is given a mask and caring for patients. There are freezers getting filled with the deceased. Everyone working is going to have some form of PSTD when this is over. Are people recovering? Sure, the majority are not getting as sick. No one has immunity to this novel virus and most will be able to form antibodies in time before the cytokines storm hits. But when that happens, it is near 85% mortality rate. So it is a numbers game. The vast numbers have overwhelmed the resources available. Flattening the curve is essential. It buys time for treatments to be found and importantly, helps lower the volume of sick patients at any given time. When that critical threshold is reached, mortality skyrockets like you see in Italy and Spain. Even those who have unrelated sicknesses die because of the dirth of medical resources. So the mortality rate of the run of the mill bacterial pneumonia or urosepsis or chf etc goes up as well. The anecdotes people will have is dependent on the community outbreak they are in and their own personal exposure. So someone living in the sticks with low prevalence of the disease can see this as not serious. Or have known a couple of people who got it and recovered. But pray it stays that way, because if it happens like it has happened in Italy, Spain, France, NY, NJ and now more growing numbers of cities, many many people will die. I don’t want to fear monger. I’m just laying out what I see, what I know, and what I believe will happen if this continues unchecked. Be happy that your local ERs and hospital are quiet and they seem over supplies and over staffed. Because if it hits in earnest, you will need everything you have to keep people alive.
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • TER's Avatar
    Today, 08:44 AM
    Whoever thinks this virus is a hoax and a nothingburger obviously does not work on the front lines or live in areas with high prevalence. I am seeing these patients coming in extremely sick and have colleagues on ventilators. Pronouncing multiple patients daily in the ED. The hospitals around me have entire floors filled with Covid patients on oxygen and struggling to hang on. Is it not as crazy in other parts of the nation? Of course. It hasn’t hit them yet. When and if it does at the intensity it is hitting the hot spots right now, everyone here will likely know of someone who has been hospitalized for it or has died of it. I personally know several already who have. Is Dr. Fauci duplicitous? Maybe. Is the media instilling panic and fear? Sure, they always do. Is this virus serious and deadly? Oh hell yes.
    53 replies | 497 view(s)
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Today, 08:36 AM
    And people wonder why they can't find toilet paper. You can't have it both ways. You can't beer monger and keep pushing the idea that there's going to be a total lockdown and then blame people for hoarding. Taiwan South Korea and Japan are not doing the lock down. They have universal available testing and universal wearing a face mask. neither of those things should be mandatory but available to whoever wants it. Freedom can fix this thing if it was allowed to work.
    12 replies | 302 view(s)
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Yesterday, 08:30 AM
    Are you sure this wasn't covered in the 100 billion allocated for healthcare in the 2 trillion dollar boondoggle? https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/03/27/822666582/whats-in-the-2-trillion-bill-for-health-care I'm asking....because I honestly don't know. Actually....seems it wasn't included. Jen Kates of the Kaiser Family Foundation says one thing that's missing is consideration of all the treatment costs that patients might face as more and more Americans get the coronavirus. Patients could still be stuck with paying their full high deductibles or even face surprise bills after being hospitalized.
    8 replies | 129 view(s)
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Yesterday, 08:22 AM
    Reported for asking you to actually answer a question that you are hiding from? LOL. Answer the question. What does anything you wrote have to do with Trump almost scuttling the GM ventilator deal? If you're scared to answer that question, just say so.
    74 replies | 1458 view(s)
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Yesterday, 08:19 AM
    That would be a good thing. I wish you would ignore the entire forum. All you add is noise. Trump's FDA appointee called for the public wearing masks when the CDC said no. Then the CDC reversed itself. So, by your "logic", Trump wants to arrest and beat people for not wearing masks. WTF?
    72 replies | 1310 view(s)
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Yesterday, 08:03 AM
    WTF are you even babbling about? Seriously?
    72 replies | 1310 view(s)
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Yesterday, 08:02 AM
    Universal testing exists just not in America and Trump didn't even make it a priority in his 2 trillion dollar bill that Massie bravely stood up against. Where universal testing has been use along with widespread use of masks is has been shown to stop the virus. People might get their $1,200 check (which by the way hasn't come yet) but they are not staying at home. That goes against human nature. And again WHAT THE HELL DOES THAT HAVE TO DO WITH THE FACT THAT TRUMP ALMOST SCUTTLED THE VENTILATOR DEAL? Quit dodging the question coward.
    74 replies | 1458 view(s)
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Yesterday, 07:54 AM
    So don't tell everyone to wear masks EVEN THOUGH THE CDC NOW IS TELLING EVERYONE TO WEAR MASKS because Taiwan may have done something objectionable ALL THE WHILE THE U.S. IS DOING A LOT OF OBJECTIONABLE SHYT LIKE ARRESTING PASTORS FOR HAVING CHURCH? Really? That....that's your argument? I didn't even MENTION China. China is already a police state. We are becoming China while not taking sensible measures that don't restrict civil liberties Unproven conspiracy theory. Even if that were true, ultraviolet light kills the virus. But hey, your Trump Delusion Syndrome forced you to come up with an excuse for idiocy even after Trump has moved on from it. Also when the CDC, a private organization, was saying don't wear masks, Trump's FDA appointee was saying wear masks. So I guess that means Trump is deep state trying to infect all of America with Chinese contaminated masks.
    72 replies | 1310 view(s)
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Yesterday, 07:48 AM
    You are really not bright. I made a post about ventilators and Trump almost scuttling a deal and then you talked about testing. That said the universal testing on the new virus is happening in other countries, just not hear. How much of the 2 trillion bill Trump signed was for testing? Answer...only a small percentage. Trump hasn't even made a statement that he WANTS universal testing. But again, that had NOTHING to do with the post you were responding to. Sometimes I wonder if you are a bot. Or maybe you are the chicken in your AV and you are just pecking on a keyboard.
    74 replies | 1458 view(s)
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Yesterday, 07:36 AM
    I'm already on record for donating to the Massie moneybomb. Maybe it should be called the Massive (hopefully it will be) Massie Moneybomb or MMM for short.
    74 replies | 1458 view(s)
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Yesterday, 07:34 AM
    Ventilators are NOT "new technology." Like I said, private industry was already stepping up to the plate before the bill was even announced and Trump almost scuttled the ventilator deal with GM over costs. Sometimes you just say random shyt that doesn't even address the post to which you are responding. It's just irritating.
    74 replies | 1458 view(s)
  • jmdrake's Avatar
    Yesterday, 07:32 AM
    Origami mask. https://www.facebook.com/matt.culen/videos/pcb.678232819653780/10101208193532446/?type=3&theater&ifg=1
    17 replies | 289 view(s)
More Activity

49 Visitor Messages

  1. View Conversation
    Please stop trying to "out" Erowe1. Let it go.
  2. I know. Like I said I was going to yank your chain but realized that in the current circumstances it would be bad taste even for me.
  3. View Conversation
    At least until every county or so willingly decided to submit to Christ, which I think will happen eventually because I'm a postmillennialist.
  4. View Conversation
    I wish things were a lot more local too. I'm really not looking for a country of 300 million at all. I think that's too big. Those who didn't want to live by Christian law could live somewhere else and choose God's judgment over his blessings.
  5. View Conversation
    And while I do believe the BIble requires civil authorities to punish homosexuality, and with death as the maximum penalty, I don't think it would be legitimate even for the government to just round up people in a gay bar.

    My reasons on the bearing arms bit are much closer to yours (resistance against tyranny.)
  6. View Conversation
    To be perfectly clear, I absolutely oppose vigilantism. I know you were joking around but I just want you to be clear on where I stand.
  7. View Conversation
    Will you kindly give a tongue lashing to the racist of the board, AmericanSpartan? Thank you. I'd like to see it.
  8. Sorry, but you have failed. That verse does not contain the words "Grace is irresistible." You can interpret it that way, but that's not what the verse says. You had to admit there was "relational language" in the Bible. Yet you have stuck to your guns that there isn't a verse that says "Have a relationship with Jesus." Likewise there is no verse that says "Grace is irresistible." If you were honest you would simply admit that. But you aren't honest.
  9. View Conversation
    Acts 13:48
    And when the Gentiles heard this, they began rejoicing and glorifying the word of the Lord, and as many as were appointed to eternal life believed.
Showing Visitor Messages 1 to 10 of 49
Page 1 of 5 123 ... LastLast
Page 1 of 5 123 ... LastLast
About jmdrake

Basic Information

Profile Sidebar Configuration

Profile Sidebar Configuration

Activist Reputation (Self-Rated):
1
Select if you "Stand with Rand":
I Stand with Rand (This will add a "Stand with Rand" badge by your name badge by yourr name in all posts.)
Select if you do not support Trump or Hillary.:
No Trump. No Hillary. (This will add a "None of the Above" badge by your name in all posts.)

Signature


9/11 Thermate experiments

Winston Churchhill on why the U.S. should have stayed OUT of World War I

"I am so %^&*^ sick of this cult of Ron Paul. The Paulites. What is with these %^&*^ people? Why are there so many of them?" YouTube rant by "TheAmazingAtheist"

"We as a country have lost faith and confidence in freedom." -- Ron Paul

"It can be a challenge to follow the pronouncements of President Trump, as he often seems to change his position on any number of items from week to week, or from day to day, or even from minute to minute." -- Ron Paul
Quote Originally Posted by Brian4Liberty View Post
The road to hell is paved with good intentions. No need to make it a superhighway.
Quote Originally Posted by osan View Post
The only way I see Trump as likely to affect any real change would be through martial law, and that has zero chances of success without strong buy-in by the JCS at the very minimum.

Statistics


Total Posts
Total Posts
42,825
Posts Per Day
9.14
Visitor Messages
Total Messages
49
Most Recent Message
11-05-2016 03:40 PM
General Information
Last Activity
Today 04:47 PM
Join Date
06-06-2007
Referrals
5

35 Friends

  1. affa affa is offline

    Member

    affa
  2. bobbyw24 bobbyw24 is offline

    Banned

    bobbyw24
  3. Cap Cap is offline

    Member

    Cap
  4. Captain Shays Captain Shays is offline

    Member

    Captain Shays
  5. Christian Liberty
  6. cjm cjm is offline

    Member

    cjm
  7. Crowish Crowish is offline

    Member

    Crowish
  8. DGambler DGambler is offline

    Member

    DGambler
  9. Dr.3D Dr.3D is offline

    Member

    Dr.3D
  10. GigiBowman GigiBowman is offline

    Member

    GigiBowman
Showing Friends 1 to 10 of 35
Page 1 of 4 123 ... LastLast
View jmdrake's Blog

Recent Entries

How Ron Paul could smack down Iran critics

by jmdrake on 05-15-2013 at 08:34 AM
Quote Originally Posted by jmdrake View Post
Ron needs to quit playing defense and go on offense. It's not enough to say "the Soviet Union was worse than Iran." If he could point out the following documented facts it would shut the naysayer up for good or at least make them back-peddle.

1) In 2003 Iran was the only Muslim country to help us fight and remove the Taliban from power.

See: Jane's Defense Weekly India joins anti-Taliban coalition. "India is believed to have joined Russia, the USA

Read More

Categories
Uncategorized

The new bill of rights.

by jmdrake on 05-15-2013 at 08:33 AM
Quote Originally Posted by jmdrake View Post
This parody is an attempt to "rewrite" the bill of rights in keeping with the current application by our criminal government. Original text will be in italics followed by a list of possible options.


Amendment I

Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the government

Read More

Categories
Uncategorized

Federal Reserve advised gold standard for Russia

by jmdrake on 05-15-2013 at 08:32 AM
Quote Originally Posted by jmdrake View Post
I ran across this information by accident (providence?) while looking for something else. The first link is an essay from Jude Wanniski who went with fed governor Wayne Angell to Moscow right after the collapse of the soviet union. Note that Angell advocated the new Russia to go to a gold backed currency! The second link is an online Google book from the Mises institute that talks about the same essay. I've excerpted the essay bellow. (It's too long to post directly). It's interesting to note

Read More

Categories
Uncategorized

Washington Post 2002 : The U.S. pushed jihad on Afghan schoolchildren.

by jmdrake on 09-13-2011 at 01:15 PM
Quote Originally Posted by dannno View Post
From U.S., the ABC's of Jihad
Violent Soviet-Era Textbooks Complicate Afghan Education Efforts


By Joe Stephens and David B. Ottaway
Washington Post Staff Writers
Saturday, March 23, 2002; Page A01

In the twilight of the Cold War, the United States spent millions of dollars to supply Afghan schoolchildren with textbooks filled with violent images and militant Islamic teachings, part of covert attempts to spur resistance to the Soviet occupation.

Read More

Categories
Uncategorized
Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast

04-03-2020


04-01-2020


03-31-2020


03-30-2020


03-18-2020

  • 02:58 PM - Deleted Posts

02-11-2020


12-22-2019


12-06-2019


08-10-2019


08-06-2019


07-28-2019


05-11-2019


03-21-2019


03-18-2019


02-16-2019

  • 12:47 PM - Hidden

10-25-2018

  • 03:48 PM - Hidden

10-24-2018

  • 02:19 PM - Hidden
  • 09:12 AM - Hidden


Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast

11-17-2017


Page 1 of 218 1231151101 ... LastLast

04-04-2020


04-03-2020



Page 1 of 218 1231151101 ... LastLast