• Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-30-2022, 06:38 PM
    I don't think he does. The Fed doesn't believe M2 matters which is why they only publish it once a month. And apparently those Austrian economists don't understand inflation either (at least not the living ones) Double-Digit Inflation Bet with Bob 2009 Murphy https://www.econlib.org/archives/2009/12/double-digit_in_1.html "At any point between now and January 2013, if there is a year/year increase in seasonally adjusted CPI that is at least 10%, then I pay Bob at that time $500."
    546 replies | 76747 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-30-2022, 05:55 AM
    Strangely the masses keep getting richer and richer. A middle class person today has a higher standard of living than the wealthiest people in the world a century ago. Two-thirds of the budget is welfare spending. How much more free stuff should people be getting?
    30 replies | 831 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-29-2022, 06:35 AM
    They work perfectly at causing shortages. Didn't work in ancient Rome, didn't work in Chile. Didn't work for Hugo Chavez. Didn't work for Nixon. Been a disaster for housing. If futures markets were limited to growers and producers you would have no market. Someone has to assume the risk and take the other side of the trade. There aren't enough growers and producers to trade with each other at one time. Thinly traded markets are the most easy to manipulate. Liquid markets are almost impossible to mainupulate.
    30 replies | 831 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-28-2022, 09:11 AM
    I find it amusing as life gets better and better and the world gets wealthier and as markets continue to work amazing well to allocate scarce resources, people like you get more and more miserable and want to inflict that misery on everyone else. The year 2022 is the best time in human history to be alive. Literally the only possible way for the golden goose to be killed is turning America into Venezuela with price controls and nationalizing industries. The zero percent success rate of price controls should be a tip off it is a bad idea.
    30 replies | 831 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-26-2022, 08:44 PM
    I read a book called Trumped about 15 or so years ago. The guy who wrote it ran one of Trump's Atlantic City casinos while Ivana ran the other one. Trump already had two casinos in one city. Then decided to open a third called the Taj Mahal which was supposed to be the biggest casino in the world. It made no sense to have three casinos in competition with each other but Trump was always just a reckless gambler with other people's money. Trump was so overleveraged and didn't have the money for the Taj Mahal so he just deferred payment to the people who built it then stiffed them when the job was done. Then the casinos went bankrupt so the people never got paid. Edit: This article basically says what I just said. https://www.northjersey.com/story/news/columnists/mike-kelly/2020/01/24/donald-trump-still-owes-money-to-contractors-who-built-taj-mahal-atlantic-city/4547037002/
    61 replies | 1271 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-26-2022, 09:40 AM
    For those who thought turning primitives in the third world into crypto speculators, feel free to take your L. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/25/el-salvador-bitcoin-experiment-not-saving-countrys-finances.html
    19 replies | 3362 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-25-2022, 12:09 PM
    Krugminator2 replied to a thread roe GONE in U.S. Political News
    Rand Paul and every libertarian legal theorist that I know of disagree. https://www.google.com/amp/s/reason.com/2013/04/11/rand-paul-vs-ron-paul-on-the-constitutio/%3famp Unless Ron Paul has changed his legal philosophy since 2005 he would have to oppose the recent gun decision. He thought the Fifth Amendment didn't apply for eminent domain for private businesses is reasonable if done below the federal level. https://www.lewrockwell.com/2005/07/ron-paul/we-have-no-jurisdiction-in-kelo/
    67 replies | 1753 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-25-2022, 11:02 AM
    Krugminator2 replied to a thread roe GONE in U.S. Political News
    That is what I think too with specifically Obergefell. You know infinitely more than me about this stuff. But it seems like the contraceptive decision and sodomy laws are less certain. I can't believe those would be challenged but.... “We should reconsider all of this Court’s substantive due process precedents, including Griswold, Lawrence, and Obergfell,” Thomas wrote. And worth pointing out what the namesake of the site said about this. Third paragraph. I could not disagree more but it certainly is a line of thought. https://www.lewrockwell.com/2003/08/ron-paul/the-imaginery-constitution/
    67 replies | 1753 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-25-2022, 08:11 AM
    Krugminator2 replied to a thread roe GONE in U.S. Political News
    The amusing part of this is how wildly incoherent left wing and conservative justices are at applying their legal philosophies. If you accept the original Roe reasoning (I do), then you logically have to accept the reasoning of Lochner. It can't be any other way. Alito (who along with every other justice reject Lochner) pointed this out in the majority opinion. The left wing's dissenting opinion addresses this by saying freedom of contract is different because well.... reasons. So 18 year old girl, her body her choice for abortion. Same 18 year old girl working for five dollars an hour not her body her choice because social justice or something. On the other hand conservative justices shoot down gun laws at the state level (I agree) because the Constitution supersedes the states. But want to relitigate abortion and same sex marriage. Abortion is semi-reasonable because determining when life begins is debatable. But overturning Obergfell will delegitimize the court completely and make it seen as a means for political activism
    67 replies | 1753 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-17-2022, 09:23 AM
    That worked as well as possible. This not so much. That said same view. 1537530936786567169
    110 replies | 5926 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-17-2022, 08:49 AM
    The 90s were a golden age for small government people. Spending was flat in inflation adjusted dollars after Republicans took the House in 1994 for Bill Clinton's last six years. Bill Clinton added fewer regulatory employees than any modern President before him. Trade was freer. The United States finished that era 2nd in economic Freedom behind Hong Kong and still ahead of Singapore. It is now 25th. The 1994 Republican Congress was a grand slam homerun success.. Dick Armey was an economist who was a big fan of Mises and was the House Majority leader. Phil Gramm was a Milton Friedman economist. Mark Sanford had a voting record rivaling Ron Paul's for how small government it was.
    8 replies | 332 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-13-2022, 02:34 PM
    Pretty big selloff in energy stocks, XLE (along with everything else). Perhaps looking to the future of lower energy prices. This is a more brutal market than the dotcom bust and 2008. Just no let up. Both of the other bear markets had a number of double digit rallies. This has been six months of almost pure liquidation with two small rallies that got smashed almost instantly.
    110 replies | 5926 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-12-2022, 12:08 PM
    He's playing politics but he is single best person in the White House right now. He's probably more fiscally conservative than at least half of Trump's appointees. He was very early and very right about inflation and got ridicule from think piece after think piece. One of a hundred examples. First sentence says it all. https://jacobin.com/2021/09/larry-summers-inflation-predictions-biden-stimulus-american-rescue-plan-federal-reserve-treasury He was a pretty good Treasury secretary under Clinton. Was a big deregulatory. He stood up to political correctness at Harvard and got fired. He called Cornell West out for race hustling https://www.nytimes.com/2002/04/16/us/defector-indignant-at-president-of-harvard.html said maybe men went into engineering because there are differences in aptitude between sexes. https://www.theguardian.com/science/2005/jan/18/educationsgendergap.genderissues Harvard has a number of economists on the right and he stood up for them when they were attacked. There was a walkout a decade or so ago from Greg Mankiw's class and I remember Summers being the first to stick up for him. Also wrote a good eulogy for Milton Friedman. https://www.nytimes.com/2006/11/19/opinion/19summers.html He took all the arrows from the left for a decade. I've watched a few YouTube's of him ripping to shreds left wing economists with great arguments. For example https://www.econlib.org/larry-summers-does-a-first-rate-economic-analysis/
    16 replies | 474 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-07-2022, 09:56 PM
    There is no stagflation now. The unemployment rate is 3.6%. All 50 states have growing economies. Maybe that will change but not likely until at least 2023. Banks still have a wide spread between short term deposits and longer term loans so despite all the negativity in the press and how people feel, things still look great for a little while longer. M2 growth has already normalized. If the Fed engineers a recession, inflation is probably done as a problem.for a long time. If they ease up, you probably don't get a recession and you have mid single digit inflation if loan growth stays strong.
    546 replies | 76747 view(s)
  • Krugminator2's Avatar
    06-03-2022, 11:31 AM
    94% of Nasdaq stocks and 98% of the tech XLK were above their 10 day moving average after yesterdays close. The short term bias was heavy to the downside/sideways. You just had one of the strongest breadth thrusts that only happen a couple of times a decade. The next couple of months are solidly biased to the upside. 1530253033531092992 To see how this works, here is a magic trick. XLE is the energy sector ETF. 100% of its components are currently above the 10 day moving average. It might keep going up but it will likely give back any gains. of the next couple of weeks and then there will be a Business Insider or Marketwatch article talking about inflation fears easing or recession or Russia.
    110 replies | 5926 view(s)
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