05-02-2016, 05:48 PM
I agree that he would likely do better than Cruz. Kasich would be an absolute bore, but he's more of a standard fare Republican who comes off as a centrist to potential voters. He won't inspire Trump's supporters to come out and vote for him, but he also isn't alienating women and minorities to the extent Trump is. Cruz is even worse than Trump because he's absolutely serious about his positions.
Trump talks a lot of sh!t, but he's likely going to pivot to the left once he locks in the Republican nomination which may sway some independents and vindictive Bernie supporters. He speaks to a portion of the population that's fed up and feels better when they hear platitudes — even if they aren't backed with any real substance. It's clear that Trump has tapped into something with his populism much like Sanders, but Democrats are going to come out in droves against him which offsets his gains. Heck, some Republicans are going to hold their nose and vote Hillary, too. I really don't see a path for Trump, but it will be interesting to see how close it ends up being. He would really have to pivot hard to the left and "evolve" again to come close. Normally, I'd say that radically shifting your views to appeal to another segment of the population would be political suicide, but Trump has essentially been for and against everything at this point, so labeling him a flip-flopper won't work like it did on John Kerry or Mitt Romney.