• Madison320's Avatar
    05-22-2022, 08:10 AM
    To make it worse hardly any smaller houses (1000-1500 sq ft) have been built in the last 30 years. I think there's going to be a big trend converting giant single family homes to multi famility.
    69 replies | 2801 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-21-2022, 09:58 AM
    I agree except I don't think the Fed is going to follow thru. The Fed's balance sheet is just under 9 trillion. How much you want to bet it reaches 10 trillion before it reaches 8 trillion?
    69 replies | 2801 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-20-2022, 08:31 AM
    It's not "sentiment" it's fundamentals. The markets went up from easy money and has to go down when you remove the easy money. But I agree that the Fed is going to reverse course sooner than everyone thinks. I'm guessing 2 more .5 rate hikes is about as far as they can go unless they start doing more QE.
    69 replies | 2801 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-19-2022, 01:07 PM
    I keep reading articles from "experts" saying that the Fed's inflation fight is going to cause pain in the markets and the economy, BUT that it probably won't cause a recession. Are you kidding me? If the Fed keeps hiking rates and stops printing we're going to get a lot more than just a recession. It's going to be a depression along with a financial crisis much worse than 2008. It's basic math. Printing and borrowing is cumulative. You can't get free stuff for 12 years and then expect there to be no downside. Like I've said a million times if that were true every country would be rich, we could all stay home and just print our way to prosperity.
    69 replies | 2801 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-18-2022, 01:02 PM
    Nobody is laughing at my little car anymore.
    478 replies | 68307 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-18-2022, 01:01 PM
    I agree, I'm not a conspiracy guy. This was just perfect for the main media. I'm pretty sure this is the first "white-supremacist" shooter. There's been several false alarms where they thought the shooter was a white supremacist and they started jumping on it but then it turned out not to be true. This was golden for them. And yeah, Fox news would do the same thing, it's just that Fox is outnumbered 50 to 1. All that being said the coverage is dying down, I think it may be because the public is seeing thru the BS. The public is more worried about day to day things like inflation. And a cratering stock market followed by massive job losses.
    110 replies | 3660 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-17-2022, 04:16 PM
    I think the media has been saving up what to write when they finally get the "white supremacist shooter". I saw dozens of articles basically saying "Don't Vote for Republican White Supremacists" hours after it happened. The media is losing their minds over this.
    110 replies | 3660 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-16-2022, 02:46 PM
    The irony is that in many ways "communist" China is more capitalistic than "capitalist" US.
    17 replies | 3245 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-16-2022, 01:46 PM
    I think the market is expecting a .5 rate hike in June. I've been expecting to lose money while the Fed is tightening, just not as much as the overall stock market. I think when the Fed starts to loosen is when gold, gold stocks, oil, oil stocks, etc are going to take off, and a lot more than other markets. The question is when will the Fed reverse course? My guess is still around the last half of this year. Biden might be pressuring the Fed to stimulate before the elections if things are crashing. At some point the crash will overtake inflation as the number one priority.
    478 replies | 68307 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-16-2022, 11:58 AM
    The only thing that's going to bail out the markets is when the Fed reverses course.
    478 replies | 68307 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-16-2022, 11:55 AM
    Meanwhile the buffalo shooting is probably going to have an anniversary like "The Siege". GOP Leaders Criticized for Enabling ‘White Supremacy’ After Buffalo Shooting https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/gop-leaders-criticized-for-enabling-white-supremacy-after-buffalo-shooting/ar-AAXlo2V?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=2ac6f240f78446cfbeb0a0689a7e479f
    19 replies | 627 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-16-2022, 08:36 AM
    This is a dream come true for them. They've been waiting for this for decades. I'll bet this lasts in the news cycle for more than a day, unlike the the last shooting.
    110 replies | 3660 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-10-2022, 03:23 PM
    I'm not big on conspiracies but there's got to be a lot of pressure to "rework" the cpi. It's already way underreporting inflation. Practically every other common measure of inflation is well into double digits. Gas, food, cars, homes, etc.
    478 replies | 68307 view(s)
  • NorthCarolinaLiberty's Avatar
    05-10-2022, 08:56 AM
    What an awesome race. Rich Strike starts in the last stall. He runs a masterful and methodical race. His first move from the gate is, of course, to head for the rail; however, he knows he doesn’t have to grab it all at once. He settles in the middle and is even in 16th place at the far turn. He then threads the needle and works the traffic. One of his best moves is going to the outside of the #6 (Messier) instead of inside. He’s got to be brushing the #6 as he passes him. The play-by-play guy, Larry Collmus, doesn’t mention Rich Strike’s name again until 5 seconds before the race is over. They ran the fastest quarter mile in the race’s history. Rich Strike’s win was the second worst odds in 148 runs. Here’s a couple of videos. Rich Strike is #21 with the red capped jockey. The second one is a great overhead shot. I think Larry Collmus is one of the best at what he does. Great race call. Great thundering hooves in the audio. If this doesn’t get your blood flowing, then nothing will. Man, I love racing! :D
    2 replies | 182 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-09-2022, 02:19 PM
    In theory you're supposed to raise rates higher than the rate of inflation to stop price inflation. That way you have a positive savings rate and people will save instead of spend. That would mean we'd have to raise rates at least to 8.5% to tame inflation. But then we'd have to default on us debt because we couldn't pay the interest. You don't have to be a genius to figure this out. Think about it, since 2008 the debt has gone from 10 trillion to 30 trillion and the amount of printed money has gone from 1 trillion to 9 trillion. How can we get all that free stuff with no consequences? This is just the natural result of living beyond our means for decades. At some point we have to live below our means to balance things out.
    69 replies | 2801 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-09-2022, 12:55 PM
    So the last time they tried to tighten (2019) they made it to about 2.5% before everything started to crash. Since then we've printed another 5 trillion and borrowed another 8 trillion. So it's starting to look like .75% is the breaking point this time. That's not even going to faze price inflation.
    69 replies | 2801 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-09-2022, 08:39 AM
    When the nasdaq gets below 10,000 or so I'm guessing we'll start hearing from fed members that they might not need as many rate hikes as previously thought.
    69 replies | 2801 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-06-2022, 08:20 AM
    My guess is that most major countries are going to be hiking rates to try to stop inflation. The question is which ones will be able to without collapsing their economies and going back to easy money?
    69 replies | 2801 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-05-2022, 10:51 AM
    Give it another 6 months of no QE and a few more rate hikes and let's see what happens. The Fed has barely moved from all time record easy policy. QE had been neutral for a month and they hiked to .75. That's microscopic.
    69 replies | 2801 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-02-2022, 12:36 PM
    I think the mistake is letting the government control the supply of money. It may be the single most important factor in economic growth. It should be set by the free market.
    28 replies | 970 view(s)
  • NorthCarolinaLiberty's Avatar
    05-02-2022, 10:55 AM
    The funny thing is Hamlin volunteered for "diversity" training when he started the team with Michael Jordan and Bubba Wallace. Total cuck. I didn't even hear about Kyle Busch using the word retarded. He should have just told NASCAR to fuck themselves and retire or go to Indy cars. I wonder if someone like Hailie Deegan told NASCAR to fuck off and then go on hiatus for a year or so. She probably has enough money to tide her over, and it would be interesting to see if everyone has a short memory. All of these people are cucks. It's one thing not to have the money and relent because you have to feed your family. It's another thing altogether when you have money. Trump is the only public figure I know of who tells all these assholes to go fuck themselves. That's his popularity. If anyone else did it, their grassroots popularity would go thru the roof.
    13 replies | 250 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    05-01-2022, 08:47 AM
    Eventually all dollars will chase goods. There's no point in holding dollars forever if you can't buy stuff with them. So eventually prices will go up. Well here we are, right? This is the moment of truth. The question is can the Fed reduce the supply of money without crashing the economy. I'm guessing they can't do it and my reasoning is it would be too damn easy. Every country would be rich if all you had to do was print money and then when prices started rising all you had to do was take a little money out, get prices under control and then start printing again.
    28 replies | 970 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    04-30-2022, 06:50 PM
    This is a great point. And eventually that money would absolutely find it's way into the general price level for common things.
    28 replies | 970 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    04-30-2022, 06:34 PM
    You're saying that printing money has little connection with rising prices. Think about that.
    28 replies | 970 view(s)
  • Madison320's Avatar
    04-29-2022, 06:22 PM
    Wait what? Do you think the Fed's balance sheet drives M2? In other words will an increase in the Fed's balance sheet eventually lead to an increase in M2?
    28 replies | 970 view(s)
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