05-17-2016, 11:22 AM
1. If Trump is inspiring people who only vote in the general election once every 12 years to vote in a primary, that is huge. Additionally, sporadic voters tend to be Independents or Democrats who might well have voted against the GOP candidate in the past so not only is Trump adding votes, he's taking them away from the other side.
2. Nice cherry picking. South Carolina is a state where virtually all the Democrats are black. Trump will get more of the black vote than any GOP candidate in history, but he's still going to get clobbered in the black vote. South Carolina is not a state where he will inspire party swapping on a massive scale. PA, OH, and the northeastern states are where he's hoping to do that.
3. Six percent of 2.3 million is 140,000 votes. Nothing to sneeze at and in fact if Romney had gotten 140,000 extra votes in 2012 he would have won Florida.