Today, 06:57 AM
The value of Alaska to the regime in Washington DC alone makes it a uniquely difficult state to remove from its rule. How much would it be worth to the powers that be to stop Alaska from seceding? It would be worth more than most other states.
War to some degree would be likely in almost any secession scenario. But for any secession to succeed, it would probably come down to a cost-benefit analysis on the part of DC where the trouble of keeping rule over these people who don't consent is costlier than just letting them go, not unlike what happened to Britain in the Revolutionary War. But with Alaska, it's not the submission of that state's tiny population that would matter, but the geography. It might even be worth killing off the entire state's population if necessary, just to retain control of that particular land.
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